Abstract
In this paper, the notion of degree of inconsistency is introduced as a tool to evaluate the sensitivity of the Full Bayesian Significance Test (FBST) value of evidence with respect to changes in the prior or reference density. For that, both the definition of the FBST, a possibilistic approach to hypothesis testing based on Bayesian probability procedures, and the use of bilattice structures, as introduced by Ginsberg and Fitting, in paraconsistent logics, are reviewed. The computational and theoretical advantages of using the proposed degree of inconsistency based sensitivity evaluation as an alternative to traditional statistical power analysis is also discussed.
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abe, J.M., Avila, B.C., Prado, J.P.A.: In: ICCIMA 1998. 2nd International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Multimidia Applications, Traralgon, Australia (1998)
Alcantara, J., Damasio, C.V., Pereira, L.M.: Paraconsistent Logic Programs. In: Flesca, S., Greco, S., Leone, N., Ianni, G. (eds.) JELIA 2002. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 2424, pp. 345–356. Springer, Heidelberg (2002)
Arieli, O., Avron, A.: Reasoning with Logical Bilattices. Journal of Logic, Language and Information 5, 25–63 (1996)
Arnold, B.C., Balakrishnan, N., Nagaraja, H.N.: A First Course in Order Statistics. Wiley, New York (1992)
Barros, C.M., Costa, N.C.A., Abe, J.M.: Tópicos de Teoria dos Sistemas Ordenados. Lógica e Teoria da Ciência, 17,18,19. IEA, Univ. São Paulo (1995)
Belnap, N.D.: A useful four-valued logic. In: Epstein, G., Dumm, J. (eds.) Modern uses of Multiple Valued Logics, pp. 8–37. Reidel, Dordrecht (1977)
Boothby, W.: An Introduction to Differential Manifolds and Riemannian Geometry. Academic Press, London (2002)
Costa, N.C.A., Subrahmanian, V.S.: Paraconsistent Logics as a Formalism for Reasoning about Inconsistent Knowledge Bases. Artificial Inteligence in Medicine 1, 167–174 (1989)
Costa, N.C.A., Abe, J.M., Subrahmanian, V.S.: Remarks on Annotated Logic. Zeitschrift für Mathematische Logik und Grundlagen der Mathematik 37, 561–570 (1991)
Darwiche, A.Y., Ginsberg, M.L.: A Symbolic Generalization of Probability Theory. In: AAAI-92. 10th Natnl. Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, San Jose, USA (1992)
Dugdale, J.S.: Entropy and its Physical Meaning. Taylor-Francis, London (1996)
Epstein, G.: Multiple-Valued Logic Design. Inst.of Physics, Bristol (1993)
Evans, M.: Bayesian Inference Procedures Derived via the Concept of Relative Surprise. Communications in Statistics 26, 1125–1143 (1997)
Fitting, M.: Logic Programming on a Topological Bilattice. Fundamentae Informaticae 11, 209–218 (1988)
Fitting, M.: Bilattices and Theory of Truth. J. Phil. Logic 18, 225–256 (1989)
DeGroot, M.H.: Optimal Statistical Decisions. McGraw-Hill, New York (1970)
Ginsberg, M.L.: Multivalued Logics. Computat. Intelligence 4, 265–316 (1988)
Gokhale, D.V.: On Joint Conditional Enptropies. Entropy Journal 1, 21–24 (1999)
Good, I.J.: Good Thinking. Univ. of Minnesota (1983)
Good, I.J.: Surprise indices and p-values. J. Statistical Computation and Simulation 32, 90–92 (1989)
Kapur, J.N.: Maximum Entropy Models in Science Engineering. Wiley, New York (1989)
Lauretto, M., Pereira, C.A.B., Stern, J.M., Zacks, S.: Comparing Parameters of Two Bivariate Normal Distributions Using the Invariant FBST. Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics (2004) (to appear)
Madruga, M.R., Esteves, L.G., Wechsler, S.: On the Bayesianity of Pereira-Stern Tests. Test 10, 291–299 (2001)
Madruga, M.R., Pereira, C.A.B., Stern, J.M.: Bayesian Evidence Test for Precise Hypotheses. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 117, 185–198 (2003)
Pereira, C.A.B., Stern, J.M.: Evidence and Credibility: Full Bayesian Significance Test for Precise Hypotheses. Entropy Journal 1, 69–80 (1999)
Pereira, C.A.B., Stern, J.M.: Model Selection: Full Bayesian Approach. Environmetrics 12, 559–568 (2001)
Perny, P., Tsoukias, A.: On the Continuous Extension of a Four Valued Logic for Preference Modelling. In: IPMU-1998. 7th Conf. on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge Based Systems, Paris, France (1998)
Stern, J.M., Zacks, S.: Testing the Independence of Poisson Variates under the Holgate Bivariate Distribution. The Power of a new Evidence Test. Statistical and Probability Letters 60, 313–320 (2002)
Stern, J.M.: Significance Tests, Belief Calculi, and Burden of Proof in Legal and Scientific Discourse. Laptec-2003, 4th Cong. Logic Applied to Technology. Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence and its Applications 101, 139–147 (2003)
Abe, J.M., Avila, B.C., Prado, J.P.A.: In: ICCIMA 1998. 2nd International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Multimidia Applications, Traralgon, Australia (1998)
Zellner, A.: Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics. Wiley, NY (1971)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2004 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Stern, J.M. (2004). Paraconsistent Sensitivity Analysis for Bayesian Significance Tests. In: Bazzan, A.L.C., Labidi, S. (eds) Advances in Artificial Intelligence – SBIA 2004. SBIA 2004. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3171. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28645-5_14
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28645-5_14
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-23237-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-28645-5
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive