Skip to main content

A Probabilistic Approach to Fuzzy Engineering Economic Analysis

  • Chapter
Fuzzy Engineering Economics with Applications

Part of the book series: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing ((STUDFUZZ,volume 233))

Abstract

Techniques for ranking simple fuzzy numbers are abundant in the literature. However, we lack efficient methods for comparing complex fuzzy numbers that are generated by fuzzy engineering economic analyses. In this chapter a probabilistic approach is taken instead of the usual fuzzy set manipulations. The Mellin transform is introduced to compute the mean and the variance of a complex fuzzy number. The fuzzy number with the higher mean is to be ranked higher. Two fuzzy cash flow analyses and a fuzzy multiple attribute decision analysis are illustrated in order to demonstrate the suitability of the probabilistic approach. A real beauty of the approach is that it can accommodate all types of fuzzy numbers such as uniform, triangular, or trapezoidal simultaneously, and all computations are easily calculated in the spreadsheet.

This chapter was adapted from the author’s article: Yoon KP (1996) A probabilistic approach to rank complex fuzzy numbers. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 80: 167-176.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Bridgman, P.W.: Dimensional analysis. Yale University Press, New Haven (1922)

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen, S.J., Hwang, C.L.: Fuzzy multiple attribute decision making: method and applications. Springer, Berlin (1991)

    Google Scholar 

  • Chiu, C.Y., Park, C.S.: Fuzzy cash flow analysis using present worth criterion. The Engineering Economist 39, 113–138 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dubois, D., Prade, H.: Fuzzy sets and systems: theory and applications. Academic Press, New York (1980)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Dubois, D., Prade, H., Testemale, C.: Weighted fuzzy pattern matching. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 28, 313–331 (1988)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, B.: Some applications of the Mellin transform in statistics. Annuals of Mathematical Statistics 19, 370–379 (1948)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Giffin, W.C.: Transform techniques for probability modeling. Academic Press, New York (1975)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hwang, C.L., Yoon, K.: Multiple attribute decision making: methods and applications. Springer, Berlin (1981)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kahraman, C., Beskese, A., Ruan, D.: Measuring flexibility of computer integrated manufacturing systems using fuzzy cash flow analysis. Information Sciences 168, 77–94 (2004)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kahraman, C., Ruan, D., Tolga, E.: Capital budgeting techniques using discounted fuzzy versus probabilistic cash flows. Information Sciences 142, 57–76 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Karsak, E.E.: Measures of liquidity risk supplementing fuzzy discounted cash flow analysis. The Engineering Economist 43, 331–344 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaufmann, A., Gupta, M.M.: Introduction to fuzzy arithmetic theory and applications. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York (1985)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kaufmann, A., Gupta, M.M.: Fuzzy mathematical models in engineering and management science. North-Holland, Amsterdam (1988)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kickert, W.J.M.: Fuzzy theory on decision making, a critical review. In: Martinus Nijhoff Social Science Division, Leiden, Netherlands (1978)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kulak, O.: A decision support system for fuzzy multi-attribute selection of material handling equipments. Expert Systems with Applications 29, 310–319 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kulak, O., Durmusoglu, N.B., Kahraman, C.: Fuzzy multi-attribute equipment selection based on information axiom. Journal of Materials processing Technology 169, 337–345 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lee, E.S., Li, R.J.: Comparison of fuzzy numbers based on the probability measure fuzzy events. Computers and Mathematics with Applications 15, 887–896 (1988)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Liou, T.S., Chen, C.W.: Fuzzy decision analysis for alternative selection using a fuzzy annual worth criterion. The Engineering Economist 51, 19–34 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McCahon, C.S., Lee, E.S.: Comparing fuzzy numbers: the proportion of the optimum method. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 4, 159–181 (1990)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Park, C.S.: The Mellin transform in probabilistic cash flow modeling. The Engineering Economist 32, 115–134 (1987)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Springer, M.D.: The algebra of random variables. John Wiley, New York (1979)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Starr, M.K.: Production management. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs (1972)

    Google Scholar 

  • Tseng, T.Y., Klein, C.M., Leonard, M.S.: A formalism for comparing ranking procedures. In: Proceedings of the 7th Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society (NAFIPS), pp. 231–235 (1988)

    Google Scholar 

  • Yoon, K.P., Hwang, C.L.: Multiple attribute decision making: an introduction. Sage, Thousand Oaks (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  • Young, D., Contreras, L.: Expected present worths of cash flows under uncertain timing. The Engineering Economist 20, 257–268 (1975)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zadeh, L.A.: Probability measures of fuzzy events. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 23, 421–427 (1968)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Zadeh, L.A.: The concept of linguistic variables and its application to approximate reasoning-I. Information Science 8, 199–249 (1975)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Zimmerman, H.J.: Fuzzy set theory and its applications. Kluwer, Boston (1985)

    Google Scholar 

  • Zimmerman, H.J.: Fuzzy set, decision making and expert system. Kluwer, Boston (1987)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Cengiz Kahraman

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Yoon, K.P. (2008). A Probabilistic Approach to Fuzzy Engineering Economic Analysis. In: Kahraman, C. (eds) Fuzzy Engineering Economics with Applications. Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, vol 233. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-70810-0_13

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-70810-0_13

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-70809-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-70810-0

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics