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Neural Systems for Short-Term Forecasting of Electric Power Load

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Adaptive and Natural Computing Algorithms (ICANNGA 2007)

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Abstract

In this paper a neural system for daily forecasting of electric power load in Poland is presented. Basing on the simplest neural architecture - a multi-layer perceptron - more and more complex system is built step by step. A committee rule-aided hierarchical system consisting of modular ANNs is obtained as a result. The forecasting mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the most effective system is about 1.1%.

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Bartlomiej Beliczynski Andrzej Dzielinski Marcin Iwanowski Bernardete Ribeiro

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Ba̧k, M., Bielecki, A. (2007). Neural Systems for Short-Term Forecasting of Electric Power Load. In: Beliczynski, B., Dzielinski, A., Iwanowski, M., Ribeiro, B. (eds) Adaptive and Natural Computing Algorithms. ICANNGA 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4432. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71629-7_16

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71629-7_16

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-71590-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-71629-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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