Abstract
The increasing reliance on Computational Intelligence applications to predict stock market positions have resulted in numerous researches in financial forecasting and trading trend identifications. Stock market price prediction applications are required to be adaptive to new incoming data as well as have fast learning capabilities due to the volatility nature of market movements. This paper analyses stock market price prediction based on a Fuzzy Cerebellar Model Articulation Controller – Bayesian Ying Yang (FCMAC-BYY) neural network. The model is motivated from the Chinese ancient Ying-Yang philosophy which states that everything in the universe can be viewed as a product of a constant conflict between opposites, Ying and Yang. A perfect status is reached if Ying and Yang achieves harmony. The analyzed experiment on a set of real stock market data (Singapore Airlines Ltd – SIA) in the Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX) and Ibex35 stock index shows the effectiveness of the FCMAC-BYY in the universal approximation and prediction.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Sornette, D., Zhou, W.X.: The US 2000-2002 Market Descent: How Much Longer and Deeper? Taylor and Francis Journals Quantitative Finance 2, 468–481 (2002)
Albus, J.S.: Data Storage in the Cerebellar Model Articulation Controller (CMAC). Transaction of the ASME, Dynamic Systems Measurement and Control 97, 228–233 (1975)
Lin, C.S., Chiang, C.-T.: Learning Convergence of CMAC Technique. IEEE Trans. Neural Networks 8, 1281–1292 (1997)
Xu, L.: Advances on BYY Harmony Learning: Information Theoretic Perspective, Generalized Projection Geometry, and Independent Factor auto Determination. IEEE Trans. Neural Networks 15, 885–902 (2004)
Nguyen, M.N., Shi, D., Quek, C.: FCMAC-BYY: Fuzzy CMAC Using Bayesian Ying-Yang Learning. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern B: Cybernetic 36, 1180–1190 (2006)
Lee, E.S., Zhu, Q.: Fuzzy and Evidence Reasoning. Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg (1995)
Spain Ibex35 historical daily closing stock price (Online). Available: Yahoo! Finance website: http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EIBEX&d=t
SIA stock price value. Available: Singapore Exchange website: http://www.ses.com.sg/
Hu, J., Pratt, F.: Self-orgarnizing CMAC Neural Networks and Adaptive Dynamic Control. In: IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Control, Cambridge, MA, pp. 15–17 (1999)
Górriz, J.M., Puntonet, C.G., Salmerón, M., Lang, E.W.: Time Series Prediction using ICA Algorithms. In: IEEE International Workshop on Intelligent Data Acquisition and Advanced Computing Systems: Technology and Applications, Lviv, Ukraine, 8-10 September (2003)
Su, S.-F.: Tao, T., Hung, T-H.: Credit Assigned CMAC and Its Application to Online Learning Robust Controllers. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. B: Cybernetics 33 (2003)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2007 Springer Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Fu, J., Lum, K.S., Nguyen, M.N., Shi, J. (2007). Stock Prediction Using FCMAC-BYY. In: Liu, D., Fei, S., Hou, Z., Zhang, H., Sun, C. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2007. ISNN 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4492. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72393-6_42
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72393-6_42
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-72392-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-72393-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)