Abstract
Data incompleteness and data scarcity are common problems in agroecological modelling. Moreover, agroecological processes depend on historical data that could be fed into a model in a vast number of ways. This work shows a case study of modelling in agroecology using artificial neural networks. The variable to be modelled is sugar cane yield and for this purpose we used climate, soil, and other environmental variables. Regarding the data precision issue, we trained different neural models using monthly and weekly data in order to compare their performance. Furthermore, we studied the influence of using incomplete observations in the training process in order to include them and thus use a larger quantity of input patterns. Our results show that the gain in observations due to the inclusion of incomplete data is preferable in this application.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Baxt, W.G., White, H.: Bootstrapping confidence intervals for clinical input variable effects in a network trained to identify the presence of acute myocardial infarction. Neural Computation 7, 624–638 (1995)
Bellman, R.: Adaptive control processes. A guided tour. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1961)
Bishop, C.: Neural networks for pattern recognition. Oxford University Press, New York (1995)
Çamdevýren, H., Demýr, N., Kanika, A., Keskýn, S.: Use of principal component scores in multiple linear regression models for prediction of Chlorophyll-a in reservoirs. Ecological Modelling 181, 581–589 (2005)
Chuanyan, Z., Zhongren, N., Guodonga, C.: Methods for modelling of temporal and spatial distribution of air temperature at landscape scale in the southern Qilian mountains, China. Ecological Modelling 189, 209–220 (2005)
Efron, B.: Estimating the error rate of a prediction rule: Improvement on cross-validation. J. of the American Statistical Association 78, 316–331 (1983)
Goutte, C.: Note on free lunches and cross-validation. Neural Computation 9, 1211–1215 (1997)
Hashimoto, Y.: Applications of artificial neural networks and genetic algorithms to agricultural systems. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 18, 71–72 (1997)
Kaul, M., Hill, R., Walthall, C.: Artificial neural networks for corn and soybean yield prediction. Agricultural Systems 85, 1–18 (2005)
Lek, S., Guégan, J.F.: Artificial neural networks as a tool in ecological modelling, an introduction. Ecological Modelling 120, 65–73 (1999)
Markey, M.K., Tourassi, G.D., Margolis, M., DeLong, D.M.: Impact of missing data in evaluating artificial neural networks trained on complete data. Computers in Biology and Medicine 36, 516–525 (2006)
Nelson, M.C., Illingworth, W.T.: Practical Guide to Neural Nets. Addison-Wesley, Reading (1991)
Park, S.J., Hwang, C.S., Vlek, P.L.G.: Comparison of adaptive techniques to predict crop yield response under varying soil and land management conditions. Agricultural Systems 85, 59–81 (2005)
Pesonen, E., Eskelinen, M., Juhola, M.: Treatment of missing data values in a neural network based decision support system for acute abdominal pain. Artificial Intelligence in Medicine 13, 139–146 (1998)
Schultz, A., Wieland, R.: The use of neural networks in agroecological modelling. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 18, 73–90 (1997)
Schultz, A., Wieland, R., Lutze, G.: Neural networks in agroecological modelling – stylish application or helpful tool? Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 29, 73–97 (2000)
Tan, S.S., Smeins, F.E.: Predicting grassland community changes with an artificial neural network model. Ecological Modelling 84, 91–97 (1996)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2007 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Satizábal M., H.F., Jiménez R., D.R., Pérez-Uribe, A. (2007). Consequences of Data Uncertainty and Data Precision in Artificial Neural Network Sugar Cane Yield Prediction. In: Sandoval, F., Prieto, A., Cabestany, J., Graña, M. (eds) Computational and Ambient Intelligence. IWANN 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4507. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-73007-1_139
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-73007-1_139
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-73006-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-73007-1
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)