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Chance Discovery in Credit Risk Management

Estimation of Chain Reaction Bankruptcy Structure by Directed KeyGraph

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New Trends in Applied Artificial Intelligence (IEA/AIE 2007)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 4570))

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Abstract

Credit risk management based on portfolio theory becomes popular in recent Japanese financial industry. But consideration and modeling of chain reaction bankruptcy effect in credit portfolio analysis leave much room for improvement. That is mainly because method for grasping relations among companies with limited data is underdeveloped. In this article, chance discovery method with directed KeyGraph is applied to estimate industrial relations that are to include companies’ relations that transmit chain reaction of bankruptcy. The steps for the data analysis are introduced and result of example analysis with default data in Kyushu, Japan, 2005 is presented.

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Hiroshi G. Okuno Moonis Ali

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© 2007 Springer Berlin Heidelberg

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Goda, S., Ohsawa, Y. (2007). Chance Discovery in Credit Risk Management. In: Okuno, H.G., Ali, M. (eds) New Trends in Applied Artificial Intelligence. IEA/AIE 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 4570. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-73325-6_89

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-73325-6_89

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-73322-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-73325-6

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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