Abstract
The ATIS (Advanced Traveler Information System) provides travelers with real-time and precise information about the shortest path to the destination, the traffic condition, travel time estimation, and so on. To offer these services, we have to collect the speed data which are necessary to ATIS. However many data are lost due to communication or sensor errors during collecting the data. In order to provide accurate service, the lost data have to be compensated. Thus, a lot of prediction methods have been proposed to compensate the lost speed data. In this paper, we propose new prediction method adopting the back propagation neural network under neighboring links’ speed as well as weekday and time. Experimental results show that our method reduces prediction error up to 41.8 % compared to the previous method.
This research was supported by the Ubiquitous Computing and Network (UCN) Project, the Ministry of Information and Communication (MIC) 21st Century Frontier R&D Program in Korea and the MIC(Ministry of Information and Communication), Korea, under the ITFSIP(IT Foreign Specialist Inviting Program) supervised by the IITA(Institute of Information Technology Assessment).
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Cheslow, M., Hatcher, S.G., Patel, V.M.: An Initial Evaluation of Alternative Intelligent Vehicle Highway Systems Architecture. Rep. No. 92w0000063, MITRE Corporation, Bedford, MA (1992)
Williams, B.M., Durvasula, P.K., Brown, D.E.: Urban Freeway Traffic Flow Prediction Application of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing Models. Transportation Research Record. 1644, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, pp. 132-141 (1998)
Okutani, I., Stephanedes, J.: Dynamic Prediction of Traffic Volume through Kalman Filter Theory. Transportation Research, Part B 18B, 1–11 (1984)
Park, D., Rilett, L.: Forecasting Multiple-Period Freeway Link Travel Times Using Modular Neural Networks. TRB (1998)
Smith, B.L., Demetsky, M.J.: Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction Neural Network Approach. Transportation Research Record, 1453, Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, pp. 98-104 (1994)
Smith, B.L., Demetsky, M.J.: Traffic Flow Forecasting Comparison of Modeling Approaches. J. Transportation Engineering. 123(4), 261–266 (1997)
Dharia, A., Adeli, H.: Neural Network Model for Rapid Forecasting of Freeway Link Travel Time. Engineer Application Artificial Intelligent 16(7-8), 607–613 (2003)
Smith, B.L., Williams, B.M., Oswald, R.K.: Comparison of Parametric and Nonparametric Models for Traffic Flow Forecasting. Transportation Research, Part C: Emerging Technology 10, 302–321 (2002)
Huang, S.H., Ran, B.: Application of Neural Network on Traffic Speed Prediction under Adv erse Weather Conditions, 03-2915 (2003)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2007 Springer Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Lee, EM., Kim, JH., Yoon, WS. (2007). Traffic Speed Prediction Under Weekday, Time, and Neighboring Links’ Speed: Back Propagation Neural Network Approach. In: Huang, DS., Heutte, L., Loog, M. (eds) Advanced Intelligent Computing Theories and Applications. With Aspects of Theoretical and Methodological Issues. ICIC 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4681. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-74171-8_62
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-74171-8_62
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-74170-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-74171-8
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)