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Predictions for Epidemiologic Indicators of Age-Related Diseases and Implications for the Development of Health-Enabling Technologies

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Constructing Ambient Intelligence (AmI 2007)

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 11))

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Abstract

The steady increase in life expectancy in our modern industrialized societies will not only lead to a significant change in demographics, but also in epidemiologic factors. This paper reviews current predictions for epidemiologic indicators and derives implications for the development of future health-enabling technologies. Methods: A literature search in PubMed/MEDLINE was conducted and several statistical data bases were used to obtain up-to-date prediction data on health in the elderly population. Results: Prevalence rates for the leading diseases such as cardiovascular diseases, diabetes mellitus and cancers will remain almost constant in the next decades, but incidence rates will rise markedly because of the increase in the elderly population. For neuropsychiatric diseases such as dementias and depression an increased impact is expected. Conclusion: One focus for the development of health-enabling technologies is and will remain on monitoring, especially cardiovascular parameters. More research needs to be conducted to tap the full technological potential of preventive measures, e.g. for the prevention of social isolation and the promotion of a healthy lifestyle.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Technology and Hannover Medical School, Peter L. Reichertz Institute for Medical Informatics (PLRI), University of Braunschweig, Muehlenpfordtstrasse 23, 38106, Braunschweig,  

    Michael Marschollek, Klaus-H. Wolf & Reinhold Haux

  2. Faculty for Media, Information and Design, University of Applied Sciences and Arts, Expo Plaza 12, Hannover, 30539,  

    Oliver J. Bott

  3. Institute of Technology, Institute for Gerontopsychology, University of Braunschweig, Bueltenweg 74/75, 38106, Braunschweig,  

    Juergen Howe

Authors
  1. Michael Marschollek
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  2. Klaus-H. Wolf
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  3. Oliver J. Bott
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  4. Juergen Howe
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  5. Reinhold Haux
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Max Mühlhäuser Alois Ferscha Erwin Aitenbichler

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Marschollek, M., Wolf, KH., Bott, O.J., Howe, J., Haux, R. (2008). Predictions for Epidemiologic Indicators of Age-Related Diseases and Implications for the Development of Health-Enabling Technologies. In: Mühlhäuser, M., Ferscha, A., Aitenbichler, E. (eds) Constructing Ambient Intelligence. AmI 2007. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 11. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-85379-4_31

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-85379-4_31

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-85378-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-85379-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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