Abstract
The thesis analyzes the development problem of private cars’ amount in Beijing from the perspective of system dynamics. With the flow chart illustrating the relationships of relevant elements, the SD model is established by VENSIM to simulate the growth trend of private autos’ amount in the future on the background of “Public Transportation First” policy based on the original data in Beijing. Then the article discusses the forecasting impacts of “Single-and-double license plate number limit” on the number of city vehicles and private cars under the assumption that this policy implemented for long after the 2008 Olympic Games. Finally, some recommendations are put forward for proper control over this problem.
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© 2009 ICST Institute for Computer Science, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering
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Fan, J., Yan, Gl. (2009). The System Dynamics Research on the Private Cars’ Amount in Beijing. In: Zhou, J. (eds) Complex Sciences. Complex 2009. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 4. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02466-5_61
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02466-5_61
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-02465-8
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