Abstract
The spreading of an epidemic depends on the connectivity of the underlying host population. Because of the inherent difficulties in addressing such a problem, research to date on epidemics in networks has focused either on static networks, or networks with relatively few rewirings per timestep. Here we employ a simple, yet highly non-trivial, model of dynamical grouping to investigate the extent to which the underlying dynamics of tightly-knit communities can affect the resulting infection profile. Individual realizations of the spreading tend to be dominated by large peaks corresponding to infection resurgence, and a generally slow decay of the outbreak. In addition to our simulation results, we provide an analytical analysis of the run-averaged behaviour in the regime of fast grouping dynamics. We show that the true run-averaged infection profile can be closely mimicked by employing a suitably weighted static network, thereby dramatically simplifying the level of difficulty.
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© 2009 ICST Institute for Computer Science, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering
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Zhao, Z., Zhao, G., Xu, C., Hui, P.M., Johnson, N.F. (2009). Strong Dependence of Infection Profiles on Grouping Dynamics during Epidemiological Spreading. In: Zhou, J. (eds) Complex Sciences. Complex 2009. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 4. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02466-5_96
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02466-5_96
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