Introduction
The Akaike Information Criterion, AIC, was introduced by Hirotogu Akaike in his seminal 1973 paper “Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle.” AIC was the first model selection criterion to gain widespread attention in the statistical community. Today, AIC continues to be the most widely known and used model selection tool among practitioners.
The traditional maximum likelihood paradigm, as applied to statistical modeling, provides a mechanism for estimating the unknown parameters of a model having a specified dimension and structure. Akaike extended this paradigm by considering a framework in which the model dimension is also unknown, and must therefore be determined from the data. Thus, Akaike proposed a framework wherein both model estimation and selection could be simultaneously accomplished.
For a parametric candidate model of interest, the likelihood function reflects the conformity of the model to the observed data. As the complexity...
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References and Further Readings
Akaike H (1973) Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: Petrov BN, Csáki F (eds) Proceedings of the 2nd International symposium on information theory. Akadémia Kiadó, Budapest, pp 267–281
Akaike H (1974) A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE T Automat Contra AC-19:716–723
Bengtsson T, Cavanaugh JE (2006) An improved Akaike information criterion for state-space model selection. Comput Stat Data An 50:2635–2654
Bozdogan H (1987) Model selection and Akaike’s information criterion (AIC): the general theory and its analytical extensions. Psychometrika 52:345–370
Cavanaugh JE, Shumway RH (1997) A bootstrap variant of AIC for state-space model selection. Stat Sinica 7:473–496
Davies SL, Neath AA, Cavanaugh JE (2005) Cross validation model selection criteria for linear regression based on the Kullback-Leibler discrepancy. Stat Methodol 2:249–266
Hurvich CM, Shumway RH, Tsai CL (1990) Improved estimators of Kullback-Leibler information for autoregressive model selection in small samples. Biometrika 77:709–719
Hurvich CM, Tsai CL (1989) Regression and time series model selection in small samples. Biometrika 76:297–307
Ishiguro M, Sakamoto Y, Kitagawa G (1997) Bootstrapping log likelihood and EIC, an extension of AIC. Ann I Stat Math 49:411–434
Konishi S, Kitagawa G (1996) Generalised information criteria in model selection. Biometrika 83:875–890
Kullback S (1968) Information Theory and Statistics. Dover, New York
Kullback S, Leibler RA (1951) On information and sufficiency. Ann Math Stat 22:76–86
Linhart H, Zucchini W (1986) Model selection. Wiley, New York
Pan W (2001) Akaike’s information criterion in generalized estimating equations. Biometrics 57:120–125
Shibata R (1980) Asymptotically efficient selection of the order of the model for estimating parameters of a linear process. Ann Stat 80:147–164
Shibata R (1981) An optimal selection of regression variables. Biometrika 68:45–54
Shibata R (1997)Bootstrap estimate of Kullback-Leibler information for model selection. Stat Sinica 7:375–394
Stone M (1977) An asymptotic equivalence of choice of model by cross-validation and Akaike’s criterion. J R Stat Soc B 39:44–47
Sugiura N (1978) Further analysis of the data by Akaike’s information criterion and the finite corrections. Commun Stat A7:13–26
Takeuchi K (1976) Distribution of information statistics and criteria for adequacy of models. Mathematical Sciences 153:12–18(in Japanese)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this entry
Cite this entry
Cavanaugh, J.E., Neath, A.A. (2011). Akaike’s Information Criterion: Background, Derivation, Properties, and Refinements. In: Lovric, M. (eds) International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04898-2_111
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04898-2_111
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-04897-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-04898-2
eBook Packages: Mathematics and StatisticsReference Module Computer Science and Engineering