Abstract
For the characteristics of short-term load forecasting, we established load forecasting model based on BP neural network, combined the advantages of gray prediction and Markov forecasting, and make an amendment for the prediction residual, this has greatly improved the precision of prediction. Research has shown that neural network and gray - Markov residual error correction model has the value of popularization and application.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Bluementhal, R.M., Getoor, R.K.: Markov Process and Potential Theory. Academy Press, New York (1986)
Chen, S., Billings, S.A.: Neural Networks for Nonlinear Dynamic System Modeling and identification. Int. J. Control 56, 319–346 (1992)
Dongxiao, N., Zhihong, G.: Main Research on neural net-works based on culture particle swarm optimization and its application in power load forecasting. In: Proceedings-Third International Conference on Natural Computation, ICNC, pp. 270–274 (2007)
Habiballah, I.O., Ghosh-Roy, R., Irving, M.R.: Markov chains for multipartitioning large power system state estimation networks. Electric Power Systems Research 3, 135–140 (1998)
Youxin, L., Longting, Z., Huixin, G.: Grey system judgement on reliability of mechanical equipment. Internal J. of Plant Eng. and Management 21(3), 156–164 (2001)
Jones, D.I., Lorenz, M.H.: An application of a Markov chain noise model to wind generator simulation. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 28, 391–402 (1986)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2010 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Niu, D., Xu, C., Li, J., Wei, Y. (2010). Application of Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Improved Gray-Markov Residuals Amending of BP Neural Network. In: Tan, Y., Shi, Y., Tan, K.C. (eds) Advances in Swarm Intelligence. ICSI 2010. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 6146. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-13498-2_73
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-13498-2_73
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-13497-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-13498-2
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)