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Time Series Causality Inference Using Echo State Networks

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Latent Variable Analysis and Signal Separation (LVA/ICA 2010)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 6365))

Abstract

One potential strength of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) is their – theoretical – ability to find a connection between cause and consequence in time series in an constraint-free manner, that is without the use of explicit probability theory. In this work we present a solution which uses the echo state approach for this purpose. Our approach learns probabilities explicitly using an online learning procedure and echo state networks. We also demonstrate the approach using a test model.

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© 2010 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Mayer, N.M., Obst, O., Yu-Chen, C. (2010). Time Series Causality Inference Using Echo State Networks. In: Vigneron, V., Zarzoso, V., Moreau, E., Gribonval, R., Vincent, E. (eds) Latent Variable Analysis and Signal Separation. LVA/ICA 2010. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 6365. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15995-4_35

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15995-4_35

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-15994-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-15995-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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