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The GP-SET Method: A Spatial and Temporal Probabilistic Model for Geoprospective

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Bridging the Geographic Information Sciences

Abstract

The paper proposes a new method of statistical probability for prospective studies that we named GP-SET (in French, GéoprospectiveProbabilisteSpatialeEtTemporelle). It is devoted to estimating an evolution of a spatio-temporal phenomenon, in order to model future growing patterns of more or less uncertain phenomenon. Firstly, the paper presents the stages of the modeling. Secondly, the model is carried out in a retrospective way and then applied to estimate the growth rates probabilities up to 2015, in the Southern region of France, the Provence Alpes Côte d’Azur (PACA) region.

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Correspondence to Stéphane Bourrelly .

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© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Bourrelly, S., Voiron-Canicio, C. (2012). The GP-SET Method: A Spatial and Temporal Probabilistic Model for Geoprospective. In: Gensel, J., Josselin, D., Vandenbroucke, D. (eds) Bridging the Geographic Information Sciences. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography(). Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-29063-3_16

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