Skip to main content

Intelligent Decision-Making Approach Based on Fuzzy-Causal Knowledge and Reasoning

  • Conference paper

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 7345))

Abstract

Our intelligent decision-making approach (IDMA) is an instance of cognitive computing. It applies causality as common sense reasoning and fuzzy logic as a representation for qualitative knowledge. Our IDMA collects raw knowledge of humans through psychological models to tailor a knowledge-base (KB). The KB manages different repositories (e.g., cognitive maps (CM) and an ontology) to depict the object of study. The IDMA traces fuzzy-causal inferences to simulate causal behavior and estimate causal outcomes for decision-making. In order to test our approach, it is linked to the sequencing module of an intelligent and adaptive web-based educational system (IAWBES). It is used to provide student-centered education and enhance the students’ learning by intelligent and adaptive functionalities. The results reveal users of an experimental group reached 17% of better learning than their peers of the control group.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Modha, D.S., Ananthanarayanan, R., Esser, S.K., Ndirango, E., Sherbondy, A.J., Singh, R.: Cognitive Computing. Cognitive Computing Communications of the ACM 54(8), 62–71 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Anshakov, O.M., Gergely, T.: Cognitive Reasoning: A Formal Approach. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Pearl, J.: Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2000)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Panton, K., Matuszek, C., Lenat, D., Schneider, D., Witbrock, M., Siegel, N., Shepard, B.: Common Sense Reasoning – From Cyc to Intelligent Assistant. In: Cai, Y., Abascal, J. (eds.) Ambient Intelligence in Everyday Life. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 3864, pp. 1–31. Springer, Heidelberg (2006)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  5. Muller, E.T.: Common Sense Reasoning. Morgan Kaufman Publishers, California (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Bartolomei, J.E.: Qualitative Knowledge Construction for Engineering Systems: Extending the Design Structure Matrix Methodology in Scope and Procedure. PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Wallach, W., Franklin, S., Allen, C.: A Conceptual and Computational Model of Moral Decision Making in Human and Artificial Agents. In: Wallach, W., Franklin, S. (eds.) Topics in Cognitive Science, special issue on Cognitive Based Theories of Moral Decision Making, pp. 454–485. Cognitive Science Society (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Senglaub, M., Harris, D., Raybourn, E.M.: Foundations for Reasoning in Cognition-Based Computational Representations of Human Decision Making. Technical report, Sandia National Laboratories (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Ramachandran, D.: Using Common Sense for Decision Making in an Adventure Game. AAAI Spring Symposium Series. AAAI, California (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Osman, M., Shanks, D.R.: Individual Differences in Causal Learning and Decision Making. Acta Psychologica 120, 93–112 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Premchaiswadi, W., Jongsawat, N., Romsaiyud, W.: Bayesian Network Inference with Qualitative Expert knowledge for Group Decision Making. In: 5th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Systems (IS), pp. 126–131. IEEE Press, New York (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  12. Al Shayji, S., El Zant, N.: Building Fuzzy-Logic Ontology for Political Decision-Makers. Int. J. Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences 5(5), 991–1001 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Dubois, D., Prade, H.: Fuzzy Relation Equations and Causal Reasoning. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 75(2), 119–134 (1995)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. Tsadiras, A.K., Kouskouvelis, I.: Using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps as a Decision Support System for Political Decisions: The Case of Turkey’s Integration into the European Union. In: Bozanis, P., Houstis, E.N. (eds.) PCI 2005. LNCS, vol. 3746, pp. 371–381. Springer, Heidelberg (2005)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  15. Sobecki, J., Fijałkowski, D.: Student Automatic Courses Scheduling. In: Nguyen, N.T., Trawiński, B., Jung, J.J. (eds.) New Challenges for Intelligent Information and Database Systems. SCI, vol. 351, pp. 219–226. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  16. Wooldridge, M.: The Logical Modeling of Computational Multi-agent Systems. PhD thesis, Manchester Metropolitan University (1992)

    Google Scholar 

  17. FIPA-ACL: Agent Communication Language. Technical specifications, Foundation for Intelligent Physical Agents (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Canales, A., Peña Ayala, A., Perdo, R., Sossa, H., Gutierrez, A.: Adaptive and Intelligent Web based Education System: Towards an Integral Architecture and Framework. Expert Systems with Applications 33(4), 1076–1089 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Peña Ayala, A.: Student Model based on Psychological Models. In: Uzunboylu, H. (ed.) WCES. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, vol. 1(1), pp. 1996–2000. Elsevier, UK (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Peña Ayala, A., Sossa, H.: Semantic Representation and Management of Student Models: An Approach to Adapt Lecture Sequencing to Enhance Learning. In: Sidorov, G., Hernández Aguirre, A., Reyes García, C.A. (eds.) MICAI 2010, Part I. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 6437, pp. 175–186. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  21. Peña Ayala, A.: Ontology Agents and their Applications in the Web-based Education Systems: Towards an Adaptive and Intelligent Service. In: Nguyen, N.T., Jain, L.C. (eds.) Intelligent Agents in the Evolution of Web and Applications. SCI, vol. 167, pp. 249–278. Springer, Heidelberg (2009)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  22. Peña Ayala, A., Perdo, R., Sossa, H., Gutierrez, A.: Causal Knowledge and Reasoning by Cognitive Maps: Pursuing a Holistic Approach. Expert Systems with Applications 38(1), 2–18 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Peña-Ayala, A., Mizoguchi, R. (2012). Intelligent Decision-Making Approach Based on Fuzzy-Causal Knowledge and Reasoning. In: Jiang, H., Ding, W., Ali, M., Wu, X. (eds) Advanced Research in Applied Artificial Intelligence. IEA/AIE 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 7345. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31087-4_55

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31087-4_55

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-31086-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-31087-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics