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Coherent Conditional Previsions and Proper Scoring Rules

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Advances in Computational Intelligence (IPMU 2012)

Abstract

In this paper we study the relationship between the notion of coherence for conditional prevision assessments on a family of finite conditional random quantities and the notion of admissibility with respect to bounded strictly proper scoring rules. Our work extends recent results given by the last two authors of this paper on the equivalence between coherence and admissibility for conditional probability assessments. In order to prove that admissibility implies coherence a key role is played by the notion of Bregman divergence.

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© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Biazzo, V., Gilio, A., Sanfilippo, G. (2012). Coherent Conditional Previsions and Proper Scoring Rules. In: Greco, S., Bouchon-Meunier, B., Coletti, G., Fedrizzi, M., Matarazzo, B., Yager, R.R. (eds) Advances in Computational Intelligence. IPMU 2012. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 300. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31724-8_16

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31724-8_16

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-31723-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-31724-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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