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Neural Network Algorithm Variants for Malaysian Weather Prediction

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Soft Computing Applications and Intelligent Systems (M-CAIT 2013)

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 378))

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Abstract

This paper studies the performance of a newly prepared time-series rainfall data by a previous researcher. The issues related are; (i) the large amount of data, and (ii) the accuracy of the prediction. In this study, the data set was obtained from Institute of Climate Change UKM, pre-processed using improved Symbolic Aggregate approximation (iSAX) and verified by experts. Five neural network algorithms were tested with the data set, namely standard Back-Propagation (BPNN), Back-Propagation with Momentum (BP with Mom), Quick-Propagation (QuickProp), Genetic Algorithm with neural network (GA-NN) and Particle Swarm Optimization with neural network (PSO-NN). The performances of these engines were measured according to the accuracy of prediction and the training time taken. The experimental results showed that while standard BPNN and PSO-NN achieved about the same accuracy prediction, PSO-NN is considered to be better as it showed a faster training time with acceptable prediction accuracy.

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Kamarudin, S.N.K., Abu Bakar, A. (2013). Neural Network Algorithm Variants for Malaysian Weather Prediction. In: Noah, S.A., et al. Soft Computing Applications and Intelligent Systems. M-CAIT 2013. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 378. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40567-9_11

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40567-9_11

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-40566-2

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