Skip to main content

Introducing Preference Heterogeneity into a Monocentric Urban Model: An Agent-Based Land Market Model

  • Conference paper
Simulating Interacting Agents and Social Phenomena

Part of the book series: Agent-Based Social Systems ((ABSS,volume 7))

Abstract

This paper presents an agent-based urban land market model. We first replace the centralized price determination mechanism of the monocentric urban market model with a series of bilateral trades distributed in space and time. We then run the model for agents with heterogeneous preferences for location. Model output is analyzed using a series of macro-scale economic and landscape pattern measures, including land rent gradients estimated using simple regression. We demonstrate that heterogeneity in preference for proximity alone is sufficient to generate urban expansion and that information on agent heterogeneity is needed to fully explain land rent variation over space. Our agent-based land market model serves as a ­computational laboratory that may improve our understanding of the ­processes generating patterns observed in real-world data.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    CBD is assumed to be exogenously given. For future work it might be interesting to explore model dynamics with endogenous formation of CBD and suburban centers.

  2. 2.

    In this particular paper we replicate the monocentric urban model that assumes that sellers are agricultural land owners and that their ask price is the same for every cell. However, the code of our program integrates the possibility to model the formation of ask prices for households and agricultural sellers.

  3. 3.

    Proximity is defined as P = D max + 1 − D, where Dis distance of a cell to the CBD.

  4. 4.

    The justification and properties of this demand function are discussed in detail in [3].

  5. 5.

    For extended description of the event sequencing see [3].

  6. 6.

    An equation that quantitatively characterizes the transaction price at a given distance from the city center, estimated using linear regression analysis. The land gradient is a typical characteristic of urban spatial structure analyzed both theoretically and empirically [2].

  7. 7.

    The results of the linear regression model showed the best fit. The R 2values for linear, log-log, semi-log and inverse semi-log functional forms were 0.9923, 0.8166, 0.9738 and 0.8647 respectively.

  8. 8.

    We also ran the model with the normal distribution of preferences. The results were qualitatively similar.

  9. 9.

    A formal statistical test of the difference in significance between these estimated coefficients between the multiple model runs for both experiments is conceptually possible, but is beyond the scope of this paper.

References

  1. Alonso W (1964) Location and land use. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA

    Google Scholar 

  2. Strazsheim M (1987) The theory of urban residential location. In: Mills ES (ed) Handbook of regional and urban economics. Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., Amsterdam, pp 717–757

    Google Scholar 

  3. Filatova T, Parker D, van der Veen A (2009) Agent-based urban land markets: agent’s pricing behavior, land prices and urban land use change. J Artif Soc Soc Simulat 12(1):3. Available online: http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/12/1/3.html

  4. Kirman AP (1992) Whom or what does the representative individual represent? J Econ Perspect 6(2):117–136

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Axtell R (2000) Why agents? On the varied motivations for agent computing in the social sciences. In: Working paper no 17. Center on Social and Economic Dynamics, The Brookings Institution, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  6. Manski CF (2000) Economic analysis of social interactions. J Econ Perspect 14(3):115–136

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Arthur WB (2006) Out-of-equilibrium economics and agent-based modeling. In: Judd KL, Tesfatsion L (eds) Handbook of computational economics, vol 2. Agent-based computational economics. Elsevier B.V., Amsterdam, pp 1551–1564

    Google Scholar 

  8. Tesfatsion L (2006) Agent-based computational economics: a constructive approach to ­economic theory. In: Judd KL, Tesfatsion L (eds) Handbook of computational economics, vol 2. Agent-based computational economics. Elsevier B.V., Amsterdam, pp 831–880

    Google Scholar 

  9. Parker DC, Berger T, Manson SM (eds) (2002) Agent-based models of land-use and land-cover change: report and review of an international workshop, October 4–7, 2001. LUCC report series, vol 6, LUCC Focus 1 office: Bloomington, 140

    Google Scholar 

  10. Berger T (2001) Agent-based spatial models applied to agriculture: a simulation tool for technology diffusion, resource use changes, and policy analysis. Agr Econ 25(2–3):245–260

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Happe K (2004) Agricultural policies and farm structures – agent-based modelling and application to EU-policy reform. IAMO Studies on the agricultural and food sector in Central and Eastern Europe, vol 30

    Google Scholar 

  12. Polhill JG, Parker DC, Gotts NM (2005) Introducing land markets to an agent based model of land use change: a design. In: Representing social reality: pre-proceedings of the third conference of the European Social Simulation Association. Verlag Dietmar Fölbach, Koblenz, Germany

    Google Scholar 

  13. Filatova T, Parker DC, van der Veen A (2007) Agent-based land markets: heterogeneous agents, land prices and urban land use change. In: Proceedings of the 4th conference of the European Social Simulation Association (ESSA’07), Toulouse, France

    Google Scholar 

  14. Brown DG, Robinson DT (2006) Effects of heterogeneity in residential preferences on an agent-based model of urban sprawl. Ecol Soc 11(1):46

    Google Scholar 

  15. Grevers W (2007) Land markets and public policy. University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands

    Google Scholar 

  16. Parker DC, Filatova T (2008) A conceptual design for a bilateral agent-based land market with heterogeneous economic agents. Comput Environ Urban Syst 32:454–463

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Hawksworth J, Swinney P, Gilbert N (2008) Agent-based modelling: a new approach to understanding the housing market. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, London

    Google Scholar 

  18. Robinson DT, Brown DG (2009) Evaluating the effects of land-use development policies on ex-urban forest cover: an integrated agent-based GIS approach. Int J Geogr Inform Sci 23(9):1211–1232

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Anas A (1990) Taste heterogeneity and urban spatial structure – the logit model and monocentric theory reconciled. J Urban Econ 28(3):318–335

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  20. Barreteau O, Bousquet F, Attonaty J-M (2001) Role playing game for opening the black box of multi-agent systems: method and lessons of its application to Senegal River Valley irrigated systems. J Artif Soc Soc Simulat 4(2):12

    Google Scholar 

  21. Filatova T (2009) Land markets from the bottom up: micro-macro links in economics and implications for coastal risk management. PhD thesis, University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands, p 196

    Google Scholar 

  22. Filatova T, van der Veen A, Voinov A (2008) An agent-based model for exploring land market mechanisms for coastal zone management. In: Sànchez-Marrè JBM, Comas J, Rizzoli A, Guariso G (eds) Proceedings of the iEMSs fourth biennial meeting: international congress on environmental modelling and software (iEMSs 2008), Barcelona, pp 792–800

    Google Scholar 

  23. Irwin E, Bockstael N (2007) The evolution of urban sprawl: evidence of spatial heterogeneity and increasing land fragmentation. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104(52):20672–20677

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Irwin EG, Bockstael NE (2004) Land use externalities, open space preservation, and urban sprawl. Reg Sci Urban Econ 34:705–725

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Caruso G, Peeters D, Cavailhes J, Rounsevell M (2007) Spatial configurations in a Periurban city. A cellular automata-based microeconomic model. Reg Sci Urban Econ 37(5):542–567

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Parker DC, Meretsky V (2004) Measuring pattern outcomes in an agent-based model of edge-effect externalities using spatial metrics. Agr Ecosyst Environ 101(2–3):233–250

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Irwin EG, Bockstael NE (2002) Interacting agents, spatial externalities and the evolution of residential land use patterns. J Econ Geogr 2:31–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

Funding from NWO-ALW (LOICZ-NL) project 014.27.012 and the US National Science Foundation grants 0414060 and 0813799 is gratefully acknowledged.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tatiana Filatova .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2010 Springer

About this paper

Cite this paper

Filatova, T., Parker, D.C., van der Veen, A. (2010). Introducing Preference Heterogeneity into a Monocentric Urban Model: An Agent-Based Land Market Model. In: Takadama, K., Cioffi-Revilla, C., Deffuant, G. (eds) Simulating Interacting Agents and Social Phenomena. Agent-Based Social Systems, vol 7. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-99781-8_8

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-99781-8_8

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Tokyo

  • Print ISBN: 978-4-431-99780-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-4-431-99781-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics