Skip to main content

A Day-Ahead Power Demand Prediction for Distribution-Side Peak Load Management

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Proceedings of International Joint Conference on Computational Intelligence

Part of the book series: Algorithms for Intelligent Systems ((AIS))

  • 921 Accesses

Abstract

In this paper, a day-ahead load management system is proposed using the household power demand and photovoltaic (PV) power generation prediction. The prediction is made using an artificial neural network. A power demand management algorithm is developed to process these predicted values considering the boundary conditions of battery storage to flatten the peaks in a load curve. The proposed system is tested in a real power distribution network under realistic load pattern, and power demand and PV power generation uncertainties. The study found that strategic use of battery energy storage and PV, and a time-ahead prediction of power demand can substantially reduce the peaks and improve the load factor.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Merabet A, Ahmed KT, Ibrahim H, Beguenane R, Ghias AMYM (2017) Energy management and control system for laboratory scale microgrid based wind-PV-battery. IEEE Trans Sustain Energy 8:145–154

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Kangning LIU, Qixin C, Chongqing K, Wei SU, ZHONG G (2018) Optimal operation strategy for distributed battery aggregator providing energy and ancillary services. J Mod Power Syst Clean Energy 1–11

    Google Scholar 

  3. Hesse HC, Schimpe M, Kucevic D, Jossen A (2017) Lithium-Ion battery storage for the grid—a review of stationary battery storage system design tailored for applications in modern power grids. Energies 10:2107

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Yan R, Roediger S, Saha TK (2011) Impact of photovoltaic power fluctuations by moving clouds on network voltage: a case study of an urban network. In: 2011 21st Australasian Universities power engineering conference (AUPEC), IEEE, pp 1–6

    Google Scholar 

  5. Wang L, Bai F, Yan R, Saha TK (2018) Real-time coordinated voltage control of PV inverters and energy storage for weak networks with high PV penetration. IEEE Trans Power Syst 33:3383–3395

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Otashu JI, Baldea M (2018) Grid-level battery operation of chemical processes and demand-side participation in short-term electricity markets. Appl Energy 220:562–575

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Yang Y, Ye Q, Tung LJ, Greenleaf M, Li H (2018) Integrated size and energy management design of battery storage to enhance grid integration of large-scale PV power plants. IEEE Trans Ind Electron 65:394–402

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Li J, Wu Z, Zhou S, Fu H, Zhang X-P (2015) Aggregator service for PV and battery energy storage systems of residential building. CSEE J Power Energy Syst 1:3–11

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Aktas A, Erhan K, Ozdemir S, Ozdemir E (2017) Experimental investigation of a new smart energy management algorithm for a hybrid energy storage system in smart grid applications. Electr Power Syst Res 144:185–196

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Simões MG, Busarello TDC, Bubshait AS, Harirchi F, Pomilio JA, Blaabjerg F (2016) Interactive smart battery storage for a PV and wind hybrid energy management control based on conservative power theory. Int J Control 89:850–870

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Tazvinga H, Zhu B, Xia X (2015) Optimal power flow management for distributed energy resources with batteries. Energy Convers Manag 102:104–110

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Mahmud K, Hossain MJ, Town GE (2018) Peak-load reduction by coordinated response of photovoltaics, battery storage, and electric vehicles. IEEE Access 6:29353–29365

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Reihani E, Sepasi S, Roose LR, Matsuura M (2016) Energy management at the distribution grid using a battery energy storage system (BESS). Int J Electr Power Energy Syst 77:337–344

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Howlader HOR, Sediqi MM, Ibrahimi AM, Senjyu T (2018) Optimal thermal unit commitment for solving duck curve problem by introducing CSP, PSH and demand response. IEEE Access 6:4834–4844

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Li C, Yu X, Yu W, Chen G, Wang J (2017) Efficient computation for sparse load shifting in demand side management. IEEE Trans Smart Grid 8:250–261

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Shirazi E, Jadid S (2017) Cost reduction and peak shaving through domestic load shifting and DERs. Energy 124:146–159

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Shakeri M, Shayestegan M, Abunima H, Reza SMS, Akhtaruzzaman M, Alamoud ARM, Sopian K, Amin N (2017) An intelligent system architecture in home energy management systems (HEMS) for efficient demand response in smart grid. Energy Build 138:154–164

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Tabar VS, Jirdehi MA, Hemmati R (2017) Energy management in microgrid based on the multi objective stochastic programming incorporating portable renewable energy resource as demand response option. Energy 118:827–839

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Mahmud K, Hossain MJ, Ravishankar J (2018) Peak-load management in commercial systems with electric vehicles. IEEE Syst J 1–11

    Google Scholar 

  20. Arcos-Aviles D, Pascual J, Guinjoan F, Marroyo L, Sanchis P, Marietta MP (2017) Low complexity energy management strategy for grid profile smoothing of a residential grid-connected microgrid using generation and demand forecasting. Appl Energy 205:69–84

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Shams MH, Shahabi M, Khodayar ME (2018) Stochastic day-ahead scheduling of multiple energy carrier microgrids with demand response. Energy 155:326–338

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Da Silva IN, Spatti DH, Flauzino RA, Liboni LHB, dos Reis Alves, SF (2017) Artificial neural networks. Springer International Publishing, Cham

    Google Scholar 

  23. Adhikari R, Agrawal RK (2013) An introductory study on time series modeling and forecasting. arXiv:1302.6613

  24. Mahmud K, Morsalin S, Hossain MJ, Town GE (2017) Domestic peak-load management including vehicle-to-grid and battery storage unit using an artificial neural network. In: Proceedings of the IEEE international conference on industrial technology

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Khizir Mahmud .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Mahmud, K., Peng, W., Morsalin, S., Ravishankar, J. (2020). A Day-Ahead Power Demand Prediction for Distribution-Side Peak Load Management. In: Uddin, M., Bansal, J. (eds) Proceedings of International Joint Conference on Computational Intelligence. Algorithms for Intelligent Systems. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-7564-4_27

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics