Abstract
In recent years, deep learning has been applied to data analysis in the financial field. One of the important applications is time series prediction. Meanwhile, with the advent of blockchain technology, cryptocurrencies have attracted attention in the financial field and the public. Therefore, there has been a lot of researches done on the time series prediction of cryptocurrencies. However, most of these studies are about predicting the prices of various cryptocurrencies, lacking in predicting the transaction amount. As platforms for trading cryptocurrencies, cryptocurrency exchanges play an important role in the crypto market. In this paper, we collect the transaction data of 15 exchange addresses on Ethereum which is an open-source public blockchain platform with smart contract functions. By modeling the prediction of the transaction value as a time series prediction problem, we conduct experiments using deep learning-based methods to make predictions. Experimental results show that deep learning is more effective in predicting transaction value compared with traditional methods.
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Acknowledgments
The work described in this paper is supported by the National Key R&D Program of China (2020YFB1006005), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61973325, U1811462).
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Gu, Z., Lin, D., Zheng, J., Wu, J., Hu, C. (2021). Deep Learning-Based Transaction Prediction in Ethereum. In: Dai, HN., Liu, X., Luo, D.X., Xiao, J., Chen, X. (eds) Blockchain and Trustworthy Systems. BlockSys 2021. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1490. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-7993-3_3
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