Skip to main content

Predicting Student Rankings Based on the Dual-Student Performance Comparison Model

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Data Science (ICPCSEE 2022)

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 1629))

  • 684 Accesses

Abstract

Currently, learning early warning mainly uses two methods, student classification and performance regression, both of which have some shortcomings. The granularity of student classification is not fine enough. The performance regression gives an absolute score value, and it cannot directly show the position of a student in the class. To overcome the above shortcomings, we will focus on a rare learning early warning method — ranking prediction. We propose a dual-student performance comparison model (DSPCM) to judge the ranking relationship between a pair of students. Then, we build the model using data including class quiz scores and online behavior times and find that these two sets of features improve the Spearman correlation coefficient for the ranking prediction by 0.2986 and 0.0713, respectively. We also compare the process proposed with the method of first using a regression model to predict scores and then ranking students. The result shows that the Spearman correlation coefficient of the former is 0.1125 higher than that of the latter. This reflects the advantage of the DSPCM in ranking prediction.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 89.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Macfadyen, L.P., Dawson, S.: Mining LMS data to develop an “Early Warning System” for educators: a proof of concept. Comput. Educ. 54(2), 588–599 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Siemens, G.: Learning analytics: the emergence of a discipline. Am. Behav. Sci. 57(10), 1380–1400 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Papamitsiou, Z., Economides, A.A.: Learning analytics and educational data mining in practice: a systematic literature review of empirical evidence. Educ. Technol. Soc. 17(4), 49–64 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Ramaswami, M., Bhaskaran, R.: A CHAID based performance prediction model in educational data mining. Int. J. Comput. Sci. Issu. 7(1), 10–18 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Golding, P., McNamarah, S.: Predicting academic performance in the School of Computing & Information Technology (SCIT). In: Proceedings Frontiers in Education 35th Annual Conference, pp. 230–233 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Parack, S., Zahid, Z., Merchant, F.: Application of data mining in educational databases for predicting academic trends and patterns. In: 2012 IEEE International Conference on Technology Enhanced Education (ICTEE), pp. 1–4. IEEE, Amrita University, Amritapuri Campus (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Du, X., Yang, J., Hung, J.: An integrated framework based on latent variational autoencoder for providing early warning of at-risk students. IEEE Access 8, 10110–10122 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Sarah, D., et al.: Computer vision for attendance and emotion analysis in school settings. In: IEEE 9th Annual Computing and Communication Workshop and Conference, pp. 134–139. IEEE, Las Vegas (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Marquezvera, C., Romero, C., Ventura, S.: Predicting school failure using data mining. In: International Conference on Educational Data Mining, pp. 271–276. (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Yang, Z.K., Yang, J., Rice, K., Hung, J.L., Du, X.: Using convolutional neural network to recognize learning images for early warning of at-risk students. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 13(3), 617–630 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Min, W., et al.: DeepStealth: game-based learning stealth assessment with deep neural networks. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 13(2), 312–325 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Sun, B., Zhu, Y., Yao, Z., Xiao, R., Xiao, Y., Wei, Y.: Tagging reading comprehension materials with document extraction attention networks. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 13(3), 567–579 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Nawang, H., Makhtar, M., Shamsudin, S.N.W.: Classification model and analysis on students’ performance. J. Fundam. Appl. Sci. 9(6), 869–885 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Tomasevic, N., Gvozdenovic, N., Vranes, S.: An overview and comparison of supervised data mining techniques for student exam performance prediction. Comput. Educ. 143, 1–18 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Baneres, D., Rodríguez-Gonzalez, M.E., Serra, M.: An early feedback prediction system for learners at-risk within a first-year higher education course. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12(2), 249–263 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Chen, W., Brinton, C.G., Cao, D., Mason-Singh, A., Lu, C., Chiang, M.: Early detection prediction of learning outcomes in online short-courses via learning behaviors. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12(1), 44–58 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Sisovic, S., Matetic, M., Bakaric, M.B.: Clustering of imbalanced moodle data for early alert of student failure. In: IEEE 14th International Symposium on Applied Machine Intelligence and Informatics (SAMI), pp. 165–170. IEEE, Herlany (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Zafra, A., Romero, C., Ventura, S.: Multiple instance learning for classifying students in learning management systems. Expert Syst. Appl. 38(12), 15020–15031 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Hachey, A.C., Wladis, C.W., Conway, K.M.: Do prior online course outcomes provide more information than G.P.A. alone in predicting subsequent online course grades and retention? An observational study at an Urban Community College. Comput. Educ. 72, 59–67 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Ramesh, A., Goldwasser, D., Huang, B., Daume, H., Getoor, L.: Interpretable engagement models for MOOCs using hinge-loss markov random fields. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 13(1), 107–122 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Qiu, L., Liu, Y.S., Hu, Q., Liu, Y.: Student dropout prediction in massive open online courses by convolutional neural networks. Soft. Comput. 23(20), 10287–10301 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Tan, M.J., Shao, P.J.: Prediction of student dropout in E-Learning program through the use of machine learning method. Int. J. Emerg. Technol. Learn. 10, 11–17 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Rizvi, S., Rienties, B., Khoja, S.A.: The role of demographics in online learning; a decision tree based approach. Comput. Educ. 137, 32–47 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Gitinabard, N., Xu, Y., Heckman, S., Barnes, T., Lynch, C.F.: How widely can prediction models be generalized? Performance prediction in blended courses. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12(2), 184–197 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Gray, C.C., Perkins, D.: Utilizing early engagement and machine learning to predict student outcomes. Comput. Educ. 131, 22–32 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Mhetre, V., Nagar, M.: Classification based data mining algorithms to predict slow, average and fast learners in educational system using WEKA. In: 2017 International Conference on Computing Methodologies and Communication (ICCMC), pp. 475–479. IEEE, Surya Engineering College (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Olivé, D., Du, Q.H., Reynolds, M., Dougiamas, M., Wiese, D.: A quest for a one-size-fits-all neural network: early prediction of students at risk in online courses. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12(2), 171–183 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Botelho, A.F., Varatharaj, A., Patikorn, T., Doherty, D., Adjei, S.A., Beck, J.E.: Developing early detectors of student attrition and wheel spinning using deep learning. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12(2), 158–170 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Agnihotri, L., Ott, A.: Building a student at-risk model: an end-to-end perspective from user to data scientist. In: Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Educational Data Mining (EDM), pp. 209–212 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  30. Raheela, A., Agathe, M., Mahmood, P.: Predicting student academic performance at degree level: a case study. Int. J. Intell. Syst. Appl. 7, 49–61 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Pardo, A., Jovanovic, J., Mirriahi, N., Dawson, S., Gaevi, D.: Generating actionable predictive models of academic performance. In: International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge, pp. 474–478. ACM, Edinburgh (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  32. Sweeney, M., Rangwala, H., Lester, J., Johri, A.: Next-term student performance prediction: a recommender systems approach. J. Educ. Data Mining 8, 22–51 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  33. Almutairi, F.M., Sidiropoulos, N.D., Karypis, G.: Context-aware recommendation-based learning analytics using tensor and coupled matrix factorization. IEEE J. Select. Top. Signal Process. 11(5), 729–741 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Voß, L., Schatten, C., Mazziotti, C., Schmidtthieme, L.: A transfer learning approach for applying matrix factorization to small ITS datasets. Int. Educ. Data Mining Soc. 8, 372–375 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  35. Arsad, P.M., Buniyamin, N., Manan, J.A.: A neural network students’ performance prediction model (NNSPPM). In: 2013 IEEE International Conference on Smart Instrumentation, Measurement and Applications (ICSIMA), pp. 1–5. IEEE, Kuala Lumpur (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  36. Li, S., Wang, S., Du, J., Li, M.: The characteristics of attention flow of MOOC students and their prediction of academic persistence. In: 2019 Eighth International Conference of Educational Innovation through Technology, pp. 91–98. IEEE, Biloxi (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  37. Lu, O., Huang, A.Y.Q., Huang, J.C.H., Lin, A.J.Q., Ogata, H., Yang, S.: Applying learning analytics for the early prediction of students’ academic performance in blended learning. Educ. Technol. Soc. 21(2), 220–232 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  38. Vaessen, B.E., Prins, F.J., Jeuring, J.: University students’ achievement goals and help-seeking strategies in an intelligent tutoring system. Comput. Educ. 72, 196–208 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. You, J.W.: Identifying significant indicators using LMS data to predict course achievement in online learning. Int. High. Educ. 29, 23–30 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Hung, J.L., Shelton, B.E., Yang, J., Du, X.: Improving predictive modeling for at-risk student identification: a multistage approach. IEEE Trans. Learn. Technol. 12(2), 148–157 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  41. Cao, Y., et al.: Orderness predicts academic performance: behavioral analysis on campus lifestyle. J. R. Soc. Interface 15(146), 20180210 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Ma, Y., Zong, J., Cui, C., Zhang, C., Yang, Q., Yin, Y.: Dual path convolutional neural network for student performance prediction. In: Cheng, R., Mamoulis, N., Sun, Y., Huang, X. (eds.) WISE 2020. LNCS, vol. 11881, pp. 133–146. Springer, Cham (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-34223-4_9

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yijie Chen .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Chen, Y., Zhu, Z. (2022). Predicting Student Rankings Based on the Dual-Student Performance Comparison Model. In: Wang, Y., Zhu, G., Han, Q., Zhang, L., Song, X., Lu, Z. (eds) Data Science. ICPCSEE 2022. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1629. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-5209-8_21

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-5209-8_21

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-19-5208-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-19-5209-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics