Abstract
In this paper, we investigate the real-time fine-grained passenger flows in a complex metro system. Our primary focus is on addressing crucial questions, such as determining the number of passengers on a moving train and in specific station areas (e.g., access channel, transfer channel, platform). These insights are essential for effective traffic management and ensuring public safety. Existing visual analysis methods face limitations in achieving comprehensive network coverage due to deployment costs. To overcome this challenge, we introduce FMSYS, a cloud-based analysis system leveraging smart card data for efficient and reliable real-time passenger flow predictions. FMSYS identifies each passenger’s travel patterns and classifies passengers into two groups: regular (D-group) and stochastic (ND-group). It models stochastic movement of passengers using a state transition process at the group level and employs a combined approach of KNN and Gaussian Process Regression for dynamic state transition prediction. Empirical analysis, based on six months of smart card transactions in Shenzhen, China, validates the effectiveness of FMSYS.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Chu, K.F., Lam, A.Y., Li, V.O.: Deep multi-scale convolutional LSTM network for travel demand and origin-destination predictions. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 21(8), 3219–3232 (2019)
Hao, S., Lee, D.H., Zhao, D.: Sequence to sequence learning with attention mechanism for short-term passenger flow prediction in large-scale metro system. Transp. Res. Part C Emerg. Technol. 107, 287–300 (2019)
Jiang, X., et al.: Attention scaling for crowd counting. In: 2020 IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) (2020)
Lee, M., Sohn, K.: Inferring the route-use patterns of metro passengers based only on travel-time data within a Bayesian framework using a reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. Transp. Res. Part B Methodol. 81, 1–17 (2015)
Noursalehi, P., Koutsopoulos, H.N., Zhao, J.: Dynamic origin-destination prediction in urban rail systems: a multi-resolution spatio-temporal deep learning approach. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 23(6), 5106–5115 (2021)
Wang, Q., Breckon, T.P.: Crowd counting via segmentation guided attention networks and curriculum loss. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 23(9), 15233–15243 (2022)
Zhao, J., Qu, Q., Zhang, F., Xu, C., Liu, S.: Spatio-temporal analysis of passenger travel patterns in massive smart card data. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 18(11), 3135–3146 (2017)
Zhao, J., Tian, C., Zhang, F., Xu, C., Feng, S.: Understanding temporal and spatial travel patterns of individual passengers by mining smart card data. In: 2014 IEEE 17th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC), pp. 2991–2997. IEEE (2014)
Zhao, J., et al.: Estimation of passenger route choice pattern using smart card data for complex metro systems. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 18(4), 790–801 (2016)
Zhao, J., et al.: GLTC: a metro passenger identification method across AFC data and sparse WiFi data. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 23(10), 18337–18351 (2022)
Zheng, F., Zhao, J., Ye, J., Gao, X., Ye, K., Xu, C.: Metro OD matrix prediction based on multi-view passenger flow evolution trend modeling. IEEE Trans. Big Data (2022)
Acknowledgement
This study was funded by the National Key R &D Program of China (No. 2023YFC3321600), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 62372443, No. 62376263), Shenzhen Industrial Application Projects (No. CJGJZD20210408091600002).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2024 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Sun, L., Zhao, J., Zhang, F., Zhang, R., Ye, K. (2024). FMSYS: Fine-Grained Passenger Flow Monitoring in a Large-Scale Metro System Based on AFC Smart Card Data. In: Yang, DN., Xie, X., Tseng, V.S., Pei, J., Huang, JW., Lin, J.CW. (eds) Advances in Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. PAKDD 2024. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 14649. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-2262-4_27
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-2262-4_27
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-97-2264-8
Online ISBN: 978-981-97-2262-4
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)