Skip to main content

Comparison of Two Grey Models’ Applicability to the Prediction of Passenger Flow in Sanya Airport

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Data Science (ICPCSEE 2023)

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 1880))

  • 447 Accesses

Abstract

The city airport serves as a fundamental infrastructure for air transportation, with its development planning largely contingent upon the prognostication of future airport activities' busyness. Given the multifarious factors that influence passenger flow, such as population size, economic structure, industrial policy, geographical location, and comprehensive transportation, grey system has the characteristic of incomplete information, and the passenger traffic at the airport conforms to this feature. In this article, the GM(1,1) grey prediction model and the GM(2,1) grey prediction model are respectively applied to predict the passenger flow of Sanya Airport, and the suitability of each model is compared. The outcomes show that the GM(2,1) grey model outperforms the GM(1,1) grey model in relation to the average relative error rate, the single point maximum error, the mean square error of relative error, and the average relative accuracy.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Chen, S., Wei, W.: Grey neural network forecasting for traffic flow. J. Southeast Univ. (Nat. Sci. Ed.) 34(04), 541–544 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Lyu, X., Yin, K., Li, X.: Grey multivariate variable weight combination prediction model and its application. Stat. Decis. 38(14), 25–29 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Ye, L., Dang, Y., Wang, J.: Impact effect-based grey multivariable time delay model and its application. Syst. Eng.-Theory Pract., 1–25 (2023)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Duan, H., He, C., Wang, S.: Grey differential dynamic multivariate forecasting model and its application. Syst. Eng.-Theory Pract. 42(05), 1402–1412 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Li, J., Ning, S.: Prediction and analysis of container throughput of Wuhu Port based on grey prediction model. China Storage Transp. 263(08), 95–96 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Zhu, J., Fang, Y., Li, X.: Prediction research on passenger throughput of Chengdu Shuangliu airport. Technol. Econ. Areas Commun. 21(01), 48–51+69 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Li, H., Zeng, B., Zhou, W.: Forcasting domestic waste clearing and transporting volume by employing a new grey parameter combination optimization model. Chin. J. Manag. Sci. 30(04), 96–107 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Qiu, H., Xie, R., Liu, E.: Research on passenger throughput prediction of Yuncheng Airport based on grey theory. J. Yuncheng Univ. 33(04), 33–36 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Wang, Q., Zhang, H.: Cargo throughput prediction of Nanjing Lukou international airport based on combined prediction model. Logist. Eng. Manag. 45(02), 83–86 (2023)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Hou, R., Xu, X.: Population prediction based on improved multidimensional grey model and support vector machine. Stat. Decis. 37(18), 41–44 (2021)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Peng, A., Zang, Z., Yang, W.: Preliminary study on applicability of different grey models for civil aviation passenger forecast. J. Civil Aviat. Flight Univ. China 27(03), 62–65 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Cheng, M., Liu, B.: Parameter optimization method and model application of extended simultaneous grey model. Stat. Decis. 38(21), 41–47 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Liu, S., Zeng, B., Liu, J.: Several basic models of GM(1,1) and their applicable bound. Syst. Eng. Electron. 36(03), 501–508 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Cheng, M., Han, Y.: Grey model GM(1,1) based on variable generation coefficient and its applications. Stat. Decis. 36(04), 15–18 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Deng, J.: Basic Methods of Grey Systems, 2nd edn., Chinese-English Version. Huazhong University of Science and Technology Press, Wuhan (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Si, S., Sun, X.: Mathematical Experimentation and Modelling with Python. Science Press, Beijing (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Xie, M., Wu, L.: Short-term traffic flow prediction based on GM(1, N) power model optimized by rough set algorithm. Math. Pract. Theory 51(09), 241–249 (2021)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Tian, M., Zhou, F.: Study on tourism development and economic growth based on grey relational analysis: take Shandong Province as an example. J. Chongqing Univ. Technol. (Nat. Sci.) 33(02), 208–215 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Li, Z., Liu, S.: Prediction of oscillation sequence based on grey interval GM (1,1) model – Take Shanghai Consumer confidence Index as an example. Stat. Decis. 36(14), 145–148 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Li, Y., Han, H.: Forecast and analysis of passenger flow at sanya airport based on gray system theory. In: Wang, Y., Zhu, G., Han, Q., Zhang, L., Song, X., Zeguang, L. (eds.) Data Science: 8th International Conference of Pioneering Computer Scientists, Engineers and Educators, ICPCSEE 2022, Chengdu, China, August 19–22, 2022, Proceedings, Part II, pp. 427–434. Springer Nature Singapore, Singapore (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-5209-8_29

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  21. Li, Y., Zhao, W., Han, H.: Comparison of ARIMA model and GM(1,1) model in passenger flow prediction of Sanya airport. In: 2022 International Conference on Cyber-Enabled Distributed Computing and Knowledge Discovery (2022)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

Project supported by the Education Department of Hainan Province, project number: Hnky2022ZD-25.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yinan Chen .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Chen, Y., Li, Y. (2023). Comparison of Two Grey Models’ Applicability to the Prediction of Passenger Flow in Sanya Airport. In: Yu, Z., et al. Data Science. ICPCSEE 2023. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1880. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-5971-6_17

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-5971-6_17

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-99-5970-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-99-5971-6

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics