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Predictors of the outcome of a soccer game — a normative analysis illustrated for the Israeli Soccer League

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Abstract

A basic normative approach is suggested to evaluate a family of predictors of the outcome of a soccer game. The proposed approach can be easily extended to cover any sports games. Members of the family such as the naive and mode predictors are evaluated and their relative efficiencies are derived. Furthermore, a statistical analysis regarding these predictors is supplied to identify the factors affecting the outcomes of games in the Israeli Soccer League.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Industrial Engineering and Management, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel

    Abraham Mehrez

  2. Department of Administrative Sciences, Kent State University, 44242, Kent, Ohio, USA

    Abraham Mehrez

  3. Department of Marketing, Kent State University, 44242, Kent, Ohio, USA

    Michael Y. Hu

Authors
  1. Abraham Mehrez
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  2. Michael Y. Hu
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Mehrez, A., Hu, M.Y. Predictors of the outcome of a soccer game — a normative analysis illustrated for the Israeli Soccer League. ZOR - Methods and Models of Operations Research 42, 361–372 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01432510

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01432510

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