Future in biomolecular computation

Summary

Large-scale computations for biomolecules are dominated by three levels of theory: rigorous quantum mechanical calculations for molecules with up to about 30 atoms, semi-empirical quantum mechanical calculations for systems with up to several hundred atoms, and force-field molecular dynamics studies of biomacromolecules with 10,000 atoms and more including surrounding solvent molecules. It can be anticipated that increased computational power will allow the treatment of larger systems of ever growing complexity. Due to the scaling of the computational requirements with increasing number of atoms, the force-field approaches will benefit the most from increased computational power. On the other hand, progress in methodologies such as density functional theory will enable us to treat larger systems on a fully quantum mechanical level and a combination of molecular dynamics and quantum mechanics can be envisioned. One of the greatest challenges in biomolecular computation is the protein folding problem. It is unclear at this point, if an approach with current methodologies will lead to a satisfactory answer or if unconventional, new approaches will be necessary. In any event, due to the complexity of biomolecular systems, a hierarchy of approaches will have to be established and used in order to capture the wide ranges of length-scales and time-scales involved in biological processes. In terms of hardware development, speed and power of computers will increase while the price/performance ratio will become more and more favorable. Parallelism can be anticipated to become an integral architectural feature in a range of computers. It is unclear at this point, how fast massively parallel systems will become easy enough to use so that new methodological developments can be pursued on such computers. Current trends show that distributed processing such as the combination of convenient graphics workstations and powerful general-purpose supercomputers will lead to a new style of computing in which the calculations are monitored and manipulated as they proceed. The combination of a numeric approach with artificial-intelligence approaches can be expected to open up entirely new possibilities. Ultimately, the most exciding aspect of the future in biomolecular computing will be the unexpected discoveries.