Skip to main content
Log in

Semi-Markov modulated Poisson process: probabilistic and statistical analysis

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Mathematical Methods of Operations Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We consider a Poisson process that is modulated in such a way that the arrival rate at any time depends on the state of a semi-Markov process. This presents an interesting generalization of Poisson processes with important implications in real life applications. Our analysis concentrates on the transient as well as the long term behaviour of the arrival count and the arrival time processes. We discuss probabilistic as well as statistical issues related to various quantities of interest.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Berman M (1981) Inhomogeneous and modulated gamma processes. Biometrica 68:143–152

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Çınlar E (1975) Introduction to stochastic processes. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Çınlar E, Özekici S (1987) Reliability of complex devices in random environments. Prob Eng Inf Sci 1:97–115

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Cox DR (1955) Some statistical models connected with series of events. J R Stat Soc Ser B 17:129–164

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Erdem A, Özekici S (2002) Inventory models with random yield in a random environment. Int J Prod Econ 78:239–253

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fischer W, Meier-Hellstern K (1992) The Markov-modulated Poisson process cookbook. Perform Eval 18:149–171

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Kingman JFC (1964) On doubly stochastic Poisson processes. Proc Camb Philos Soc 60:923–960

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Moler C, van Loan C (1978) Nineteen dubious ways to compute the exponential of a matrix. SIAM Rev 20:801–836

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Neuts MF (1978) The M/M/1 queue with randomly varying arrival and service rates. Opsearch 15:139–157

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Özekici S (1996) Complex systems in random environments. In: Özekici S (ed) Reliability and maintenance of complex systems NATO ASI Series Vol. F154. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York, pp 137–157

    Google Scholar 

  • Özekici S (1997) Markov modulated Bernoulli process. Math Methods of Operations Research 45:311–324

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Özekici S, Soyer R (2003) Bayesian analysis of Markov modulated Bernoulli processes. Math Methods Oper Res 57:125–140

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Özekici S, Soyer R (2003) Reliability of software with an operational profile. Eur J Oper Res 149:459–474

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Prabhu NU, Zhu Z (1989) Markov-modulated queueing systems. Queueing Sys 5:215–246

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Song JS, Zipkin P (1993) Inventory control in fluctuating demand environment. Oper Res 41:351–370

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. Özekici.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Özekici, S., Soyer, R. Semi-Markov modulated Poisson process: probabilistic and statistical analysis. Math Meth Oper Res 64, 125–144 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00186-006-0067-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00186-006-0067-3

Keywords

Navigation