Skip to main content
Log in

The role of coherence for handling probabilistic evaluations and independence

  • Published:
Soft Computing Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper deals with coherent conditional probability able to manage uncertainty, partial knowledge and conditional independence, overcoming the critical situations presented by the classic independence definition. When a probability is not complete (i.e. it is defined on an arbitrary set of conditional events) the conditional independence statements are not necessarily automatically induced by the values of the assessment, so given a set of independence statements its compatibility with the numerical values (conditional probability) need to be checked. This problem related to the compatibility of independence statements and conditional probability assessment is studied and a procedure for checking the compatibility is proposed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Explore related subjects

Discover the latest articles, news and stories from top researchers in related subjects.

References

  • Billingsley P (1995) Probability and Measure. Wiley, New York

  • Bouchon-Meunier B, Coletti G, Marsala C (2002) Independence and possibilistic conditioning. Ann Math Artif Intell 35: 107–124

    Google Scholar 

  • Capotorti A, Vantaggi B (2002) Locally strong coherence in inferential processes. Ann Math Artif Intell 35: 125–149

    Google Scholar 

  • Capotorti A, Vantaggi B (2003) Locally strong coherence and inference with lower-upper probabilities. Soft Comput 7(5): 280–287

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G (1994) Coherent numerical and ordinal probabilistic assessments. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern 24(12): 1747–1754

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (1996) Characterization of coherent conditional probabilities as a tool for their assessment and extension. Int J Uncertainty Fuzziness Knowl-Based System, 4(2): 103–127

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (1997) Exploiting Zero Probabilities. In: Proceedings of EUFIT’97, Aachen, Germany, ELITE Foundation 1499–1503

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (1998) Null events and stochastical independence. Kibernetika, 34(1): 69–78

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (2000) Zero probabilities in stochastic independence, Information, Uncertainty, Fusion Bouchon-Meunier B, Yager RR, Zadeh LA (Eds.) Kluwer, Dordrecht 185–196 (Selected papers from IPMU ‘98).

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (1999) Conditioning and inference in intelligent systems. Soft Computing 3: 118–130

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (2000) The Role of Coherence in Eliciting and Handling ‘‘Imprecise’’ Probabilities and its Application to Medical Diagnosis. Inf Sci 130: 41–65

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R, Vantaggi B (2001) Probabilistic Reasoning as a General Unfying Tool. Lect Notes Comput Sci Benferhat S, Besnard P (Eds.) Vol. LNAI 2143, pp 120–131, Springer-Verlag, Berlin

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (2001) From conditional events to conditional measures: a new axiomatic approach. Ann Math Artif Intell 32: 373–392

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (2001) Stochastic independence in a coherent setting. Ann Math Artif Intell 35: 151–176

    Google Scholar 

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (2002) Probabilistic logic in a coherent setting. Trends in logic n. 15, Kluwer Dordrecht

  • Coletti G, Scozzafava R (2003) Toward a general theory of conditional beliefs. In: Proceedings of 6th Workshop on Uncertainty Processing, Hejnice, Czeck Republic, 65–76 (An extended version has been submitted in International Journal of Intelligent Systems)

  • de Dombal FT, Gremy F (1976) (Eds.) Decision Making and Medical Care. North Holland

  • de Finetti B (1949) Sull’impostazione assiomatica del calcolo delle probabilitá. Annali dell’Universitá di Trieste 19: 3–55 (Eng. transl.: Ch. 5 in Probability, Induction, Statistics, London: Wiley, 1972)

  • Dempster AP (1967) Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping. Ann Math 38: 325–339

    Google Scholar 

  • Dubins LE (1975) Finitely additive conditional probabilities, conglomerability and disintegration. Ann Probab 3: 89–99

    Google Scholar 

  • Dubois D, Prade H (1994) Conditional objects as nonmonotonic consequence relationships. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern 24(12): 1724–1740

    Google Scholar 

  • Hill JR (1993) Comment on ‘‘Graphical models”. Stat Sci 8: 258–261

    Google Scholar 

  • Holzer S (1985) On coherence and conditional prevision. Bull. Unione Matematica Italiana, Analisi funzionale e applicazioni 6(4): 441–460

    Google Scholar 

  • Jirousek R (1991) Solution of the marginal problem and decomposable distributions. Kybernetika 27: 403–412

    Google Scholar 

  • Nguyen HT, Walker EA (1997) A first course in fuzzy logic. CRC Press

  • Krauss PH (1968) Representation of conditional probability measures on Boolean algebras. Acta Math. Acad Scient Hungar 19: 229–241

    Google Scholar 

  • Regazzini E (1985) Finitely additive conditional probabilities. Rend Sem Mat Fis Milano 55: 69–89

    Google Scholar 

  • Rényi A (1956) On conditional probability spaces generated by a dimensionally ordered set of measures. Theor Probab Appl 1: 61–71

    Google Scholar 

  • Shafer G (1976) A mathematical theory of evidence. Princeton University Press, New York

  • Scozzafava R (2000) The role of probability in statistical physics. Transport Theor Stat Phys 29(1–2): 107–123

    Google Scholar 

  • Studeny M (1995) Marginal problem in different calculi of AI. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 945, Springer-Verlag, Berlin - Heidelberg pp 348–359

  • Vantaggi B (2001) Conditional independence in a finite coherent setting. Ann Math Artif Intell 32: 287–314

    Google Scholar 

  • Vantaggi B (2002) The L-separation criterion for description of cs-independence models. Int J Approximate Reasoning 29: 291–316

    Google Scholar 

  • Vantaggi B (2003) Graphical Representation of Asymmetric Graphoid Structures. Proceeding del ‘‘3rd International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and their Applications’’ (Eds. Bernard, Seidenfels, Zaffalon), Carlenton Scientific pp 562–576

  • Vantaggi B (2003) Conditional Independence Structures and Graphical Models. Int J Uncertainty Fuzziness Knowl-based Syst 11(5): 545–571

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Barbara Vantaggi.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Vantaggi, B. The role of coherence for handling probabilistic evaluations and independence. Soft Comput 9, 617–628 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-004-0407-2

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-004-0407-2

Keywords