Abstract
Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) is now considered to be one of the main technological options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. It seems that pipeline transmission is an effective way to transport the large amount of CO2 from the capture site to the storage site over long distance for most CCUS projects. Therefore, risk assessment of CO2 transmission pipelines has been an important aspect for successful development of the CCUS industry in the future. Failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is a group-based activity to prioritize risk. A group multi-criteria decision-making approach based on combined weights and the hesitant fuzzy VIKOR (vlsekriterijumska optimizacija i kompromisno resenje in Serbian, meaning “multi-criteria optimization and compromise solution”) method is proposed to evaluate the risk of CO2 transmission pipelines. First, a pair-wise comparison matrix for risk factors is constructed according to the evaluation information given by the FMEA team members, and a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is used to determine the subjective weight vector of these risk factors. The maximizing deviation method is used to determine the objective weights of risk factors. Then, to select the most serious failure modes for CO2 transmission pipelines, the hesitant fuzzy VIKOR method is used to prioritize the potential failure modes that have been identified by the FMEA team members. Finally, a numerical example for risk assessment is given to illustrate the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed method.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Benayoun R, Roy B, Sussman B (1966) ELECTRE: Une méthode pour guider le choix en presence de points de vue multiples, Note de travail 49. SEMA-METRA International, Direction Scientifique, Paris
Bowles JB, Peláez CE (1995) Fuzzy logic prioritization of failures in a system failure mode, effects and criticality analysis. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 50:203–213
Braglia M, Frosolini M, Montanari R (2003a) Fuzzy criticality assessment model for failure modes and effects analysis. Int J Qual Reliab Manag 20:503–524
Braglia M, Frosolini M, Montanari R (2003b) Fuzzy TOPSIS approach for failure mode, effects and criticality analysis. Qual Reliab Eng Int 19:425–443
Brans JP, Mareschal V (1984) PROMETHEE: a new family of outranking methods in multicriteria analysis. In: Brans JP (ed) Operational research’ 84. North-Holland, New York, pp 477–490
Chai JY, Ngai EWT (2015) Multi-perspective strategic supplier selection in uncertain environments. Int J Prod Econ 166:215–225
Chang DY (1996) Applications of the extent analysis method on fuzzy AHP. Eur J Oper Res 95:649–655
Chang KH (2009) Evaluate the orderings of risk for failure problems using a more general RPN methodology. Microelectron Reliab 49:1586–1596
Chang KH, Cheng CH (2010) A risk assessment methodology using intuitionistic fuzzy set in FMEA. Int J Syst Sci 41:1457–1471
Chang CL, Hsu CH (2009) Multi-criteria analysis via the VIKOR method for prioritizing land-use restraint strategies in the Tseng-Wen reservoir watershed. J Environ Manag 90:3226–3230
Chang KH, Cheng CH, Chang YC (2010) Reprioritization of failures in a silane supply system using an intuitionistic fuzzy set ranking technique. Soft Comput 14:285–298
Chao CH (2012) Construct factor evaluation model of Health Management Center selected by customers with fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Exp Syst Appl 39:954–959
Chin KS, Wang YM, Poon GKK, Yang JB (2009) Failure mode and effects analysis using a group-based evidential reasoning approach. Comput Oper Res 36:1768–1779
Duncan I, Wang H (2014) Evaluating the likelihood of pipeline failures for future offshore CO2 sequestration projects. Int J Greenh Gas Control 24:124–138
Ebrahimnejad S, Mousavi SM, Tavakkoli-Moghaddam R, Hashemi H, Vahdani B (2012) A novel two-phase group decision making approach for construction project selection in a fuzzy environment. Appl Math Model 36:4197–4217
Engebo A, Ahmed N, Garstad JJ, Holt H (2013) Risk assessment and management for CO2 capture and transport facilities. Energy Procedia 37:783–2793
Farhadinia B (2014) Distance and similarity measures for higher order hesitant fuzzy sets. Knowl Based Syst 55:43–48
Gale J, Davison J (2004) Transmission of CO2—safety and economic considerations. Energy 29:1319–1328
Gough C, O’Keefe L, Mander S (2014) Public perception of CO2 transportation in pipelines. Energy Policy 70:106–114
Hwang CL, Yoon K (1981) Multiple attribute decision making. In: Beckmann M, Künzi HP (eds) Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems. Springer, Berlin
International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook (2013) IEA, France, 2013. http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/publications/weo-2013/
Kaya T, Kahraman C (2010) Multicriteria renewable energy planning using an integrated fuzzy VIKOR & AHP methodology: the case of Istanbul. Energy 35:2517–2527
Koornneef J, Spruijt M, Molag M, Ramirez A, Turkenburg W, Faaij A (2010) Quantitative risk assessment of CO2 transport by pipelines—a review of uncertainties and their impacts. J Hazard Mater 177:12–27
Kruse H, Tekiela M (1996) Calculating the consequences of a CO2-pipeline rupture. Energy Convers Manag 37:1013–1018
Kutlu AC (2012) Fuzzy failure modes and effects analysis by using fuzzy TOPSIS-based fuzzy AHP. Expert Syst Appl 39:61–67
Liao HC, Xu ZS (2013) A VIKOR-based method for hesitant fuzzy multi-criteria decision making. Fuzzy Optim Decis Mak 12:373–392
Liao HC, Xu ZS (2015) Approaches to manage hesitant fuzzy linguistic information based on the cosine distance and similarity measures for HFLTSs and their application in qualitative decision making. Expert Syst Appl 42:5328–5336
Liao HC, Xu ZS, Zeng XJ (2014) Distance and similarity measures for hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets and their application in multi-criteria decision making. Inf Sci 271:125–142
Liou J, Tsai CY, Lin RH, Tzeng GH (2011) A modified VIKOR multiplecriteria decision method for improving domestic airlines service quality. J Air Transp Manag 17:57–61
Liu HC, Liu L, Liu N, Mao LX (2012) Risk evaluation in failure mode and effects analysis with extended VIKOR method under fuzzy environment. Expert Syst Appl 39:12926–12934
Liu HC, Liu L, Liu N (2013a) Risk evaluation approaches in failure mode and effects analysis: a literature review. Expert Syst Appl 40:828–838
Liu HC, Long Liu, Ping Li (2013b) Failure mode and effects analysis using intuitionistic fuzzy hybrid weighted Euclidean distance operator. Int J Syst Sci 38:4403–4415
Liu HC, You JX, You XY, Shan MM (2015) A novel approach for failure mode and effects analysis using combination weighting and fuzzy VIKOR method. Appl Soft Comput 28:579–588
McGillivray A, Wilday J (2009) Comparison of risks from carbon dioxide and natural gas pipelines. Health and Safety Executive research report 749. http://www.hse.gov.uk/research/rrpdf/rr749.pdf
McGillivray A, Saw JL, Lisbona D, Wardman M, Bilio M (2014) A risk assessment methodology for high pressure CO2 pipelines using integral consequence modeling. Process Saf Environ 92:17–26
Meng FY, Chen XH, Zhang Q (2015) Induced generalized hesitant fuzzy Shapley hybrid operators and their application in multi-attribute decision making. Appl Soft Comput 28:599–607
Montes R, Sánchez AM, Villar P, Herrera F (2015) A web tool to support decision making in the housing market using hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets. Appl Soft Comput 35:949–957
Opricovic S (1998) Multicriteria optimization of civil engineering systems (in Serbian, Visekriterijumska optimizacija sistema u gradjevinarstvu). Faculty of Civil Engineering, Belgrade
Opricovic S, Tzeng GH (2004) Compromise solution by MCDM methods: a comparative analysis of VIKOR and TOPSIS. Eur J Oper Res 156:445–455
Pillay A, Wang J (2003) Modified failure mode and effects analysis using approximate reasoning. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 79:69–85
Pushpinder S (2017) Distance and similarity measures for multiple-attribute decision making with dual hesitant fuzzy sets. Comput Appl Math 36:111–126
Ren ZL, Xu ZS, Wang H (2017) Dual hesitant fuzzy VIKOR method for multi-criteria group decision making based on fuzzy measure and new comparison method. Inf Sci 388–389:1–16
Rodríguez RM, Martínez L, Herrera F (2012) Hesitant fuzzy linguistic terms sets for decision making. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 20:109–119
Saaty TL (1980) The Analytic Hierarchy Process. McGraw-Hill, New York
Sayadi MK, Heydari M, Shahanaghi K (2009) Extension of VIKOR method for decision making problem with interval numbers. Appl Math Model 33:2257–2262
Sinopec Petroleum Engineering Corporation (2014) Technical progress and operation challenges of 1 million ton CO2 transportation pipelines of Shengli coal-fired power plant. In: Proceedings of workshop on pre-feasibility study of CCUS demonstration projects in China, Beijing, China
Stamatis DH (2003) Failure mode and effect analysis: FMEA from theory to execution, 2nd edn. ASQC Press, New York
Svensson R, Odenberger M, Johnsson F, Strömberg L (2004) Transportation systems for CO2—application to carbon capture and storage. Energy Convers Manag 45:2343–2353
Tan CQ, Yi WT, Chen XH (2015) Hesitant fuzzy Hamacher aggregation operators for multicriteria decision making. Appl Soft Comput 26:325–349
Torra V (2010) Hesitant fuzzy sets. Int J Intell Syst 25:529–539
Torra V, Narukawa Y (2009) On hesitant fuzzy sets and decision. In: The 18th IEEE international conference on fuzzy systems, Jeju Island, Korea, pp 1378–1382
Wang HJ, Zhao XF, Wei GW (2014a) Dual hesitant fuzzy aggregation operators in multiple attribute decision making. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 26:2281–2290
Wang JQ, Wang J, Chen QH, Zhang HY, Chen XH (2014b) An outranking approach for multi-criteria decision-making with hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets. Inf Sci 280:338–351
Wang L, Shen Q, Zhu L (2016) Dual hesitant fuzzy power aggregation operators based on Archimedean t-conorm and t-norm and their application to multiple attribute group decision making. Appl Soft Comput 38:23–50
Wei GW (2012) Hesitant fuzzy prioritized operators and their application to multiple attribute group decision making. Knowl Based Syst 31:176–182
Wei GW, Zhang N (2014) A multiple criteria hesitant fuzzy decision making with Shapley value-based VIKOR method. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 26:1065–1075
Wei CP, Zhao N, Tang XJ (2014) Comparisons and operators of hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 22:575–585
Xia MM, Xu ZS (2011) Hesitant fuzzy information aggregation in decision making. Int J Approx Reason 52:395–407
Xu ZS, Xia MM (2011a) Distance and similarity measures for hesitant fuzzy sets. Inf Sci 181:2128–2138
Xu ZS, Xia MM (2011b) On distance and correlation measures of hesitant fuzzy information. Int J Intell Syst 26:410–425
Xu ZS, Zhang XL (2013) Hesitant fuzzy multi-attribute decision making based on TOPSIS with incomplete weight information. Knowl Based Syst 52:53–64
Yang JP, Huang HZ, He LP, Zhu SP, Wen DW (2011) Risk evaluation in failure mode and effects analysis of aircraft turbine rotor blades using Dempster–Shafer evidence theory under uncertainty. Eng Fail Anal 18:2084–2092
Yavuz M, Oztaysi B, Onar SC, Kahraman C (2015) Multi-criteria evaluation of alternative-fuel vehicles via a hierarchical hesitant fuzzy linguistic model. Expert Syst Appl 42:2835–2848
Zeleny M (1982) Multiple criteria decision making, vol 25. McGrawHill, New York
Zhang N, Wei GW (2013) Extension of VIKOR method for decision making problem based on hesitant fuzzy set. Appl Math Model 37:4938–4947
Zhang X, Fan JL, Wei YM (2013) Technology roadmap study on carbon capture, utilization and storage in China. Energy Policy 59:536–550
Zhang X, Wang XW, Chen JJ, Xie X, Wang K, Wei YM (2014) A novel modeling based real option approach for CCS investment evaluation under multiple uncertainties. Appl Energy 113:1059–1067
Zhang HD, Shu L, Liao S, Xiawu CR (2017) Dual hesitant fuzzy rough set and its application. Soft Comput 21:3287–3305
Zhu B, Xu ZS, Xia MM (2012a) Hesitant fuzzy geometric Bonferroni means. Inf Sci 205:72–85
Zhu B, Xu ZS, Xia MM (2012b) Dual hesitant fuzzy sets. J Appl Math 22:1–13
Acknowledgements
The authors are highly grateful to the anonymous referees for their valuable comments and suggestions. This research was supported by grants from the Ministry of Education of Humanities and Social Science Foundation in China (Grant No. 14YJCZH041) and Program for Innovation Research in Central University of Finance and Economics.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Ethical approval
All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki Declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. This article does not contain any studies with animals performed by any of the authors. Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.
Additional information
Communicated by V. Loia.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Guo, J., Lin, Z., Zu, L. et al. Failure modes and effects analysis for CO2 transmission pipelines using a hesitant fuzzy VIKOR method. Soft Comput 23, 10321–10338 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-018-3583-1
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-018-3583-1