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Climate and land use change induced future flood susceptibility assessment in a sub-tropical region of India

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Abstract

Management of any uncertain state or situations allows everything to be backed up to its normal position. Disaster planning has been important for environmental planning in recent times. In every world, researchers, geographers, climatologists and regional planners are going to detect and minimize the impact of natural disasters. The recent work presents flood-prone areas in the Ajoy River basin of India, considering the “Support Vector Machine”, “Extremely Randomize Trees” and “Biogeography Based Optimization” (BBO) method in GIS platform. Various geo-environmental variables are known to determine the final outcome. “Area Under Curve” (AUC) values of “Receiver Operating Characteristics” were used to validate and determine the accuracy of the predicted models. AUC shows the state or nature of the flooding. If the outcome of AUC values indicates more than 0.95, then the likelihood of flooding will be high BBO gave us the most optimal outcomes in this research out of these models (AUC = 0.98) and assured us that BBO is an influential tool for assessing flood-prone areas in eastern India and helps to take measures for strategic management and preparing for progress.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Geography, The University of Burdwan, Bardhaman, West Bengal, India

    Paramita Roy, Subodh Chandra Pal, Rabin Chakrabortty, Indrajit Chowdhuri, Asish Saha, Sadhan Malik & Biswajit Das

  2. Department of Geomorphology, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, 14117-13116, Iran

    Alireza Arabameri

  3. Geoscience Platform Research Division, Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources (KIGAM), 124, Gwahak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon, 34132, Republic of Korea

    Fatemeh Rezaie

  4. Korea University of Science and Technology, 217 Gajeong-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon, 34113, Republic of Korea

    Fatemeh Rezaie

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  1. Paramita Roy
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  2. Subodh Chandra Pal
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Correspondence to Subodh Chandra Pal.

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Roy, P., Pal, S.C., Arabameri, A. et al. Climate and land use change induced future flood susceptibility assessment in a sub-tropical region of India. Soft Comput 25, 5925–5949 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-021-05584-w

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