Skip to main content
Log in

A fuzzy decision support system for credit scoring

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Neural Computing and Applications Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Credit score is a creditworthiness index, which enables the lender (bank and credit card companies) to evaluate its own risk exposure toward a particular potential customer. There are several credit scoring methods available in the literature, but one that is widely used is the FICO method. This method provides a score ranging from 300 to 850 as a fast filter for high-volume complex credit decisions. However, it falls short in the aspect of a decision support system where revised scoring can be achieved to reflect the borrower’s strength and weakness in each scoring dimension, as well as the possible trade-offs made to maintain one’s lending risk. Hence, this study discusses and develops a decision support tool for credit score model based on multi-criteria decision-making principles. In the proposed methodology, criteria weights are generated by fuzzy AHP. Fuzzy linguistic theory is applied in AHP to describe the uncertainties and vagueness arising from human subjectivity in decision making. Finally, drawing from the risk distance function, TOPSIS is used to rank the alternatives based on the least risk exposure. A sensitivity analysis is also demonstrated by the proposed fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS method.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. http://www.myfico.com/crediteducation/whatsinyourscore.aspx.

  2. See http://www.fico.com/en/about-us/history/ for the history of FICO.

References

  1. Arya S, Eckel C, Wichman C (2013) Anatomy of the credit score. J Econ Behav Organ 95(11):175–185

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Baesens B, Setiono R, Mues C, Vanthienen J (2003) Using neural network rule extraction and decision tables for credit-risk evaluation. Manag Sci 49(3):312–329

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Behzadian M, Hosseini-Motlagh SM, Ignatius J, Goh M, Sepehri MM (2013) PROMETHEE group decision support system and the house of quality. Group Decis Negot 22(2):189–205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Behzadian M, Kazemzadeh RB, Albadvi A, Aghdasi M (2010) PROMETHEE: a comprehensive literature review on methodologies and applications. Eur J Oper Res 200(1):198–215

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Behzadian M, Khanmohammadi Otaghsara S, Yazdani M, Ignatius J (2012) A state-of the-art survey of TOPSIS applications. Expert Syst Appl 39(17):13051–13069

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Bernanke BS (2007) The Community Reinvestment Act: its evolution and new challenges. Paper presented at the Community Affairs Research Conference, Washington, DC. http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/Bernanke20070330a.htm#f6

  7. Bilbao-Terol A, Arenas-Parra M, Cañal-Fernández V, Antomil-Ibias J (2014) Using TOPSIS for assessing the sustainability of government bond funds. OMEGA 16(5):469–480

    Google Scholar 

  8. Burrell PR, Folarin BO (1997) The impact of neural networks in finance. Neural Comput Appl 6(4):193–200

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Calantone RJ, Di Benedetto CA, Errunza VR (1988) The use of discrete variable selections for credit evaluations. OMEGA 16(5):469–480

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Capotorti A, Barbanera E (2012) Credit scoring analysis using a fuzzy probabilistic rough set model. Comput Stat Data Anal 56(4):981–994

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. Celik M, Deha Er I, Ozok AF (2009) Application of fuzzy extended AHP methodology on shipping registry selection: the case of Turkish maritime industry. Expert Syst Appl 36(1):190–198

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Chang D-Y (1992) Extent analysis and synthetic decision. Optim Tech Appl 1:352

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  13. Chang D-Y (1996) Applications of the extent analysis method on fuzzy AHP. Eur J Oper Res 95(3):649–655

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. Charnes A, Cooper WW, Rhodes E (1978) Measuring the efficiency of decision making units. Eur J Oper Res 2(6):429–444

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Cheng EWL, Chiang YH, Tang BS (2007) Alternative approach to credit scoring by DEA: evaluating borrowers with respect to PFI projects. Build Environ 42(4):1752–1760

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Desai VS, Crook JN, Overstreet GA Jr (1996) A comparison of neural networks and linear scoring models in the credit union environment. Eur J Oper Res 95(1):24–37

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  17. Dubois D, Prade H (1980) Systems of linear fuzzy constraints. Fuzzy Sets Syst 3:37–48

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  18. Emel AB, Oral M, Reisman A, Yolalan R (2003) A credit scoring approach for the commercial banking sector. Socio Econ Plan Sci 37(2):103–123

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Fahner G (2012) Estimating causal effects of credit decisions. Int J Forecast 28(1):248–260

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Falbo P (1991) Credit-scoring by enlarged discriminant models. OMEGA 19(4):275–289

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Giesecke K, Kim B (2011) Systemic risk: what defaults are telling us. Manag Sci 57(8):1387–1405

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Hatami-Marbini A, Tavana M (2011) An extension of the Electre I method for group decision-making under a fuzzy environment. Omega 39(4):373–386

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  23. Hatami-Marbini A, Tavana M, Hajipour V, Kangi F, Kazemi A (2013) An extended compromise ratio method for fuzzy group multi-attribute decision making with SWOT analysis. Appl Soft Comput 13(8):3459–3472

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Hatami-Marbini A, Tavana M, Moradi M, Kangi F (2013) A fuzzy group Electre method for safety and health assessment in hazardous waste recycling facilities. Saf Sci 51(1):414–426

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Hajialiakbari F, Gholami MH, Roshandel J, Hatami-Shirkouhi L (2013) Assessment of the effect on technical efficiency of bad loans in banking industry: a principal component analysis and neuro-fuzzy system. Neural Comput Appl 23(1):315–322

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Ho W (2008) Integrated analytic hierarchy process and its applications—a literature review. Eur J Oper Res 186(1):211–228

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  27. Hwang CL, Yoon K (1981) Multiple attribute decision making. In: Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems, vol 186. Springer, Berlin

  28. Iç YT (2012) Development of a credit limit allocation model for banks using an integrated Fuzzy TOPSIS and linear programming. Expert Syst Appl 39(5):5309–5316

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Iç YT, Yurdakul M (2009) Development of a quick credibility scoring decision support system using fuzzy TOPSIS. Expert Syst Appl 37(1):567–574

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Javanbarg MB, Scawthorn C, Kiyono J, Shahbodaghkhan B (2012) Fuzzy AHP-based multicriteria decision making systems using particle swarm optimization. Expert Syst Appl 39(1):960–966

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Kulak O, Kahraman C (2005) Fuzzy multi-attribute selection among transportation companies using axiomatic design and analytic hierarchy process. Inf Sci 170(2–4):191–210

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  32. Lin SJ, Hsu MF (2016) Incorporated risk metrics and hybrid AI techniques for risk management. Neural Comput Appl 1–13. doi:10.1007/s00521-016-2253-4

  33. Malhotra R, Malhotra DK (2002) Differentiating between good credits and bad credits using neuro-fuzzy systems. Eur J Oper Res 136(1):190–211

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  34. Malhotra R, Malhotra DK (2003) Evaluating consumer loans using neural networks. Omega 31(2):83–96

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Mikhailov L (2004) A fuzzy approach to deriving priorities from interval pairwise comparison judgements. Eur J Oper Res 159(3):687–704

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  36. Mikhailov L, Tsvetinov P (2004) Evaluation of services using a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Appl Soft Comput 5(1):23–33

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Min JH, Lee Y-C (2008) A practical approach to credit scoring. Expert Syst Appl 35(4):1762–1770

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Motlagh SMH, Behzadian M, Ignatius J, Goh M, Sepehri MM, Hua TK (2015) Fuzzy PROMETHEE GDSS for technical requirements ranking in HOQ. Int J Adv Manuf Technol 76(9):1993–2002

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Rosenberg E, Gleit A (1994) Quantitative methods in credit management: a survey. Oper Res 42(4):589–613

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  40. Saaty TL (1980) The analytic hierarchy process. McGraw-Hill, New York

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  41. Troutt MD, Rai A, Zhang A (1996) The potential use of DEA for credit applicant acceptance systems. Comput Oper Res 23(4):405–408

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. West D (2000) Neural network credit scoring models. Comput Oper Res 27(11–12):1131–1152

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  43. Wiginton JC (1980) A note on the comparison of logit and discriminant models of consumer credit behavior. J Financ Quant Anal 15(03):757–770. doi:10.2307/2330408

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Yu L, Wang S, Lai KK (2009) An intelligent-agent-based fuzzy group decision making model for financial multicriteria decision support: the case of credit scoring. Eur J Oper Res 195(3):942–959

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  45. Yurdakul M, İç YT (2004) AHP approach in the credit evaluation of the manufacturing firms in Turkey. Int J Prod Econ 88(3):269–289

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. Zadeh LA (1965) Fuzzy sets. Inf Control 8:338–353

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  47. Zimmerman HJ (1996) Fuzzy sets theory and its applications. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston

    Book  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Adel Hatami-Marbini.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ignatius, J., Hatami-Marbini, A., Rahman, A. et al. A fuzzy decision support system for credit scoring. Neural Comput & Applic 29, 921–937 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-016-2592-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-016-2592-1

Keywords

Navigation