Skip to main content
Log in

SP2LSTM: a patch learning-based electrical load forecasting for container terminal

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Neural Computing and Applications Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Short-term electricity load forecasting plays a crucial role in modern container terminal. In this work, we design a short-term forecasting approach aimed at port load under the framework of patch learning. Firstly, singular spectrum analysis is applied to obtain denoised and noise features, respectively; then, a patch learning model based on the long short-term memory network is employed to address such a time-series forecasting problem. LSTM network and BiLSTM are considered as the global models to process denoised and noisy data, respectively, and convolutional neural network is selected as the patch model. Furthermore, an endpoint detection strategy is designed for adaptively identifying the positions of patches. The performance of the proposed model is tested and verified on a real Chinese container terminal load dataset. Experimental results show that the proposed approach, compared with state-of-the-art load forecasting models, has the greatest performance with respect to seven evaluation criteria.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13
Fig. 14
Fig. 15
Fig. 16
Fig. 17

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

The dataset generated during the current study is not publicly available due to data availability statement of support funding but is available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

References

  1. Iris Ç, Lam JSL (2019) A review of energy efficiency in ports: operational strategies, technologies and energy management systems. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 112:170–182

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Alamoush AS, Ballini F, Ölçer AI (2020) Ports’ technical and operational measures to reduce greenhouse gas emission and improve energy efficiency: a review. Mar Pollut Bull 160:111508

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Jiang R, Zeng S, Song Q, Wu Z (2022) Deep-chain echo state network with explainable temporal dependence for complex building energy prediction. IEEE Trans Ind Inform 19(1):426–435

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Mb A, Jadm B, Tmos B, Jl B, Cdm B (2020) Multiple households very short-term load forecasting using Bayesian networks. Electr Power Syst Res 189:106733

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Sun JX, Wang JN, Yu WX, Wang ZH, Wang YH (2020) Power load disaggregation of households with solar panels based on an improved long short-term memory network. J Electr Eng Technol 15(5):2401–2413

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Wu Z, Li Q, Xia X (2020) Multi-timescale forecast of solar irradiance based on multi-task learning and echo state network approaches. IEEE Trans Ind Inform 17(1):300–310

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Dudek G (2021) Pattern similarity-based machine learning methods for mid-term load forecasting: a comparative study. Appl Soft Comput 104(1):107223

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Peng Y, Liu H, Li X, Huang J, Wang W (2020) Machine learning method for energy consumption prediction of ships in port considering green ports. J Clean Prod 264:121564

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Yu Y, Sun R, Sun Y, Shu Y (2022) Integrated carbon emission estimation method and energy conservation analysis: the port of los angles case study. J Mar Sci Eng 10(6):717

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Nigitz T, Gölles M (2019) A generally applicable, simple and adaptive forecasting method for the short-term heat load of consumers. Appl Energy 241:73–81

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Powell KM, Sriprasad A, Cole WJ, Edgar TF (2014) Heating, cooling, and electrical load forecasting for a large-scale district energy system. Energy 74:877–885

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Tan Z, De G, Li M, Lin H, Yang S, Huang L, Tan Q (2020) Combined electricity–heat–cooling–gas load forecasting model for integrated energy system based on multi-task learning and least square support vector machine. J Clean Prod 248:119252

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Bedi G, Venayagamoorthy GK, Singh R (2020) Development of an IoT-driven building environment for prediction of electric energy consumption. IEEE Internet Things J 7(6):4912–4921

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Wang Z, Hong T, Piette MA (2019) Predicting plug loads with occupant count data through a deep learning approach. Energy 181:29–42

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Liu Y, Gong C, Yang L, Chen Y (2020) DSTP-RNN: a dual-stage two-phase attention-based recurrent neural network for long-term and multivariate time series prediction. Expert Syst Appl 143(Apr.):113082–111308212

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Wei X, Zhang L, Yang HQ, Zhang L, Yao YP (2020) Machine learning for pore-water pressure time-series prediction: application of recurrent neural networks. Geosci Front 12(1):453

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Rahman A, Srikumar V, Smith AD (2018) Predicting electricity consumption for commercial and residential buildings using deep recurrent neural networks. Appl Energy 212:372

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Wang Z, Hong T, Piette MA (2020) Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning. Appl Energy 263:114683

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Cui M (2022) District heating load prediction algorithm based on bidirectional long short-term memory network model. Energy 254:124283

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Dai Y, Zhou Q, Leng M, Yang X, Wang Y (2022) Improving the Bi-LSTM model with XGBoost and attention mechanism: a combined approach for short-term power load prediction. Appl Soft Comput 130:109632

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Huang Y, Chen D, Zhao W, Lv Y, Wang S (2022) Deep patch learning algorithms with high interpretability for regression problems. Int J Intell Syst 37(11):8239–8276

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Huang Y, Chen D, Zhao W, Lv Y (2022) Fuzzy c-means clustering based deep patch learning with improved interpretability for classification problems. IEEE Access 10:49873

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Lee CS, Tsai YL, Wang MH, Kubota N (2020) AI-FML agent with patch learning mechanism for robotic game of go application. In: 2020 IEEE international conference on systems, man, and cybernetics (SMC). IEEE, pp 3708–3713

  24. Zhao D, Wang X, Mu Y, Wang L (2021) Experimental study and comparison of imbalance ensemble classifiers with dynamic selection strategy. Entropy 23(7):822

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Wu D, Mendel JM (2019) Patch learning. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 28(9):1996–2008

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Dan Z, Wang B, Zhang Q, Wu Z, Fan H, Liu L, Sun M (2022) Fitting multiple temporal usage patterns in day-ahead hourly building load forecasting under patch learning framework. Neural Comput Appl 34:1–19

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Cleveland RB, Cleveland WS (1990) STL: a seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. J Off Stat 6(1):3–73

    Google Scholar 

  28. He H, Gao S, Jin T, Sato S, Zhang X (2021) A seasonal-trend decomposition-based dendritic neuron model for financial time series prediction. Appl Soft Comput 108(5952):107488

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Xz A, Jw A, Kz B (2017) Short-term electric load forecasting based on singular spectrum analysis and support vector machine optimized by cuckoo search algorithm. Electr Power Syst Res 146:270–285

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Vaghefi A, Jafari MA, Bisse E, Lu Y, Brouwer J (2014) Modeling and forecasting of cooling and electricity load demand. Appl Energy 136:186–196

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Geysen D, De Somer O, Johansson C, Brage J, Vanhoudt D (2018) Operational thermal load forecasting in district heating networks using machine learning and expert advice. Energy Build 162:144–153

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Xuan W, Shouxiang W, Qianyu Z, Shaomin W, Liwei F (2021) A multi-energy load prediction model based on deep multi-task learning and ensemble approach for regional integrated energy systems. Int J Electr Power Energy Syst 126:106583

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Lu Y, Tian Z, Zhou R, Liu W (2021) Multi-step-ahead prediction of thermal load in regional energy system using deep learning method. Energy Build 233:110658

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Ekonomou L (2010) Greek long-term energy consumption prediction using artificial neural networks. Energy 35(2):512–517

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Sun Y, Haghighat F, Fung BC (2020) A review of the-state-of-the-art in data-driven approaches for building energy prediction. Energy Build 221:110022

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Taieb SB, Bontempi G, Atiya AF, Sorjamaa A (2012) A review and comparison of strategies for multi-step ahead time series forecasting based on the NN5 forecasting competition. Expert Syst Appl 39(8):7067–7083

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Hou X, Zhang L (2007) Saliency detection: A spectral residual approach. In: 2007 IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition. IEEE, pp 1–8

  38. Wei N, Yin L, Li C, Wang W, Qiao W, Li C, Zeng F, Fu L (2022) Short-term load forecasting using detrend singular spectrum fluctuation analysis. Energy 256:124722

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Schuster M, Paliwal KK (1997) Bidirectional recurrent neural networks. IEEE Trans Signal Process 45(11):2673–2681

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Yu F, Koltun V (2015) Multi-scale context aggregation by dilated convolutions. arXiv preprint arXiv:1511.07122

  41. Oreshkin BN, Carpov D, Chapados N, Bengio Y (2019) N-beats: neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecasting. arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.10437

Download references

Acknowledgements

This study is funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2021YFB2601604).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Xiaohua Cao.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest statements.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Cao, J., Chen, Y., Cao, X. et al. SP2LSTM: a patch learning-based electrical load forecasting for container terminal. Neural Comput & Applic 35, 22651–22669 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-023-08878-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-023-08878-2

Keywords

Navigation