Abstract
Pork producers must determine when to sell pigs, which and how many pigs to sell, and to which packer(s) to sell them. We model the decision-making problem as a linear mixed-integer program that determines the marketing strategy that maximizes expected annual profit. By discretizing the barn population into appropriate weight and growth categories, we formulate an mixed-integer program that captures the effect of stocking space and shipping disruption on pig growth. We consider marketing to multiple packers via shipping policies reflecting operational sorting constraints. Utilizing data from Cargill Animal Nutrition, we implement the model to obtain solutions that characterize significant strategic departures from commonly-implemented industry rules-of-thumb and that possess the potential to increase profitability in an industry characterized by narrow profit margins.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bates, R., & Newcomb, M. (1997). Removal of market ready pen mates improved growth of remaining pigs. Journal of Animal Science, 75 (Suppl. 1), 247.
Boland, M., Preckel, P., & Schinckel, A. (1993). Optimal hog slaughter weights under alternative pricing systems. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 25(2), 148–163.
Boland, M., Foster, K., & Preckel, P. (1999). Nutrition and the economics of swine management. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 31(1), 83–96.
Boys, K. A., Li, N., Preckel, P. V., Schinckel, A. P., & Foster, K. A. (2007). Economic replacement of a heterogeneous herd. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 89, 24–35.
Chavas, J., Kliebenstein, J., & Crenshaw, T. (1985). Modeling dynamic agricultural production response: The case of swine production. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 67(3), 636–646.
Cisneros, F., Ellis, M., McKeith, F., McCaw, J., & Fernando, R. (1996). Influence of slaughter weight on growth and carcass characteristics, commercial cutting and curing yields, and meat quality of barrows and gilts from two genotypes. Journal of Animal Science, 74(5), 925–933.
Craig, B., & Schinckel, A. (2001). Nonlinear mixed effects model for swine growth. The Professional Animal Scientist, 17, 256–260.
DeDecker, J. (2002). Effects of space allowance in a wean-to-finish system and pig removal strategies at market on the growth performance and variation in performance of pigs. Ph.D. thesis, University of Illinois.
DeDecker, J., Ellis, M., Wolter, B., Corrigan, B., & Curtis, S. (2002). Effect of removing pigs from a pen at slaughter weight on the growth performance of the remaining animals. In Proceedings from the 2002 British society of animal science meetings (p. 160). York, England.
DeDecker, J., Ellis, M., Wolter, B., Corrigan, B., Curtis, S., & Hollis, G. (2005a). Effect of stocking rate on pig performance in a wean-to-finish production system. Canadian Journal of Animal Science, 85(1), 1–5.
DeDecker, J., Ellis, M., Wolter, B., Corrigan, B., Curtis, S., Parr, E., & Webel, D. (2005b). Effects of proportion of pigs removed from a group and subsequent floor space on growth performance of finishing pigs. Journal of Animal Science, 83(2), 449.
Fourer, R., Gay, D., & Kernighan, B. (2003). AMPL: A modeling language for mathematical programming (2nd edn.) Thomson Brooks/Cole.
Hamilton, D., Ellis, M., Wolter, B., Schinckel, A., & Wilson, E. (2003). The growth performance of the progeny of two swine sire lines reared under different floor space allowances. Journal of Animal Science, 81(5), 1126.
ILOG (2003). ILOG AMPL CPLEX System 9.0—User’s guide. ILOG S.A., Gentilly, France.
Jørgensen, E. (1993). The influence of weighing precision on delivery decisions in slaughter pig production. Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica Section A—Animal Science, 43, 181–189.
Keeler, G. L., Tokach, M. D., Goodband, R. D., Nelssen, J. L., & Langemeier, M. R. (1994). Assisting swine producers to maximize marketing returns. Journal of Extension, 32(1).
Kure, H. (1997). Optimal slaughter pig marketing. In Dutch/Danish symposium on animal health and management economics.
Law, A. (2007). Simulation modeling and analysis (4th edn.) New York: McGraw-Hill.
Li, N., Preckel, P., Foster, K., & Schinckel, A. (2003a). Analysis of economically optimal nutrition and marketing strategies for Paylean® usage in hog production. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 28(2), 272–286.
Li, N., Schinckel, A., Preckel, P., & Richert, B. (2003b). Using a stochastic model to evaluate swine production management with Paylean I: Model development and optimal management strategies (Swine research report). Departments of Agricultural Economics and Animal Sciences, Purdue University.
Li, N., Schinckel, A., Preckel, P., & Richert, B. (2003c). Using a stochastic model to evaluate swine production management with Paylean II: Investigating optimal Paylean onset time (Swine research report). Departments of Agricultural Economics and Animal Sciences, Purdue University.
Li, N., Schinckel, A., Preckel, P., & Richert, B. (2003d). Using a stochastic model to evaluate swine production management with Paylean III: Fixed schedule environment (Swine research report). Departments of Agricultural Economics and Animal Sciences, Purdue University.
Li, N., Schinckel, A., Preckel, P., & Richert, B. (2003e). Using a stochastic model to evaluate swine production management with Paylean® IV: Return of accurate sorting for marketing (Swine research report). Departments of Agricultural Economics and Animal Sciences, Purdue University.
McBride, W. D., & Key, N. (2003). Economic and structural relationships in US hog production. US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
Morgan, M., & Henrion, M. (1990). Uncertainty: A guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Niemi, J. (2006). A dynamic programming model for optimising feeding and slaughter decisions regarding fattening pigs. Agricultural and Food Science, 15 (Suppl. 1), 1–121.
Plà, L. (2007). Review of mathematical models for sow herd management. Livestock Science, 106(2–3), 107–119.
Ritter, M., Ellis, M., Brinkmann, J., DeDecker, J., Keffaber, K., Kocher, M., Peterson, B., Schlipf, J., & Wolter, B. (2006). Effect of floor space during transport of market-weight pigs on the incidence of transport losses at the packing plant and the relationships between transport conditions and losses. Journal of Animal Science, 84(10), 2856.
Ritter, M., Ellis, M., Bertelsen, C., Bowman, R., Brinkmann, J., DeDecker, J., Keffaber, K., Murphy, C., Peterson, B., Schlipf, J., & Wolter, B. (2007). Effects of distance moved during loading and floor space on the trailer during transport on losses of market weight pigs on arrival at the packing plant. Journal of Animal Science, 85(12), 3454–3461.
Schinckel, A., & Craig, B. (2002). Evaluation of alternative nonlinear mixed effects models of swine growth. The Professional Animal Scientist, 18, 219–226.
Schinckel, A., & de Lange, C. (1996). Characterization of growth parameters needed as inputs for pig growth models. Journal of Animal Science, 74(8), 2021–2036.
Schinckel, A., Li, N., Preckel, P., & Miller, D. (2002). Use of a stochastic model to evaluate alternate marketing strategies (Swine research report). Departments of Agricultural Economics and Animal Sciences, Purdue University.
Schinckel, A., Li, N., & Preckel, P. (2003a). Effect of increased average daily gain after removal of pigs on the optimal management of ractopamine (Swine research report). Departments of Agricultural Economics and Animal Sciences, Purdue University.
Schinckel, A., Pas, N. L., Preckel, P., Einstein, M., & Miller, D. (2003b). Development of a stochastic pig compositional growth model. The Professional Animal Scientist, 19, 255–260.
Scroggs, L., Kattesh, H., Morrow, J., Stalder, K., Dailey, J., Roberts, M., Schneider, J., & Saxton, A. (2002). The effects of split marketing on the physiology, behavior, and performance of finishing swine. Journal of Animal Science, 80(2), 338–345.
Woodworth, J., Dritz, S., Tokach, M., Goodband, R., & Nelssen, J. (2000). Examination of the interactive effects of stocking density and marketing strategies in a commercial production environment. Journal of Animal Science, 78(Suppl. 2), 56.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Ohlmann, J.W., Jones, P.C. An integer programming model for optimal pork marketing. Ann Oper Res 190, 271–287 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-008-0466-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-008-0466-3