Skip to main content
Log in

A multi-view time series model for share turnover prediction

  • Published:
Applied Intelligence Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Share turnover is a key indicator for investing in the stock market, which represents how easy or difficult it is to trade a stock. Several techniques have been proposed to predict share turnover values. However, they are often inaccurate because they utilize single-view models that have an incomplete picture of the temporal dynamics. To address this issue, a multi-view time series model (MvT) is proposed to capture temporal dynamics using three views on two data groups. The temporal dynamics of target turnover data and exogenous turnover data are captured by a view generation component. The component generates three views in three different aspects. The predictions are then made by a view combination component and a full connected layer. Extensive experiments on two real stock datasets show the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed MvT model, when compared with ten algorithms on four groups of stock data in terms of three metrics.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

Data Availability

The data used to support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.

Notes

  1. Southbound trading refers to the trading of certain SEHK securities from mainland investors. It is likely named so because Hong Kong is located south of Shanghai and Shenzhen.

References

  1. Chao G, Sun J, Lu J, Wang A-L, Langleben DD, Li C-S, Bi J (2019) Multi-view cluster analysis with incomplete data to understand treatment effects. Inf Sci 494(2):146–168

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  2. Chao G, Sun S (2016) Consensus and complementarity based maximum entropy discrimination for multi-view classification. Inf Sci 367(7):296–310

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Chao G, Sun S (2018) Semi-supervised multi-view maximum entropy discrimination with expectation laplacian regularization. Inf Fusion 45(2):296–306

    Google Scholar 

  4. Cho K, van Merrienboer B, Bahdanau D, Bengio Y (2014) On the properties of neural machine translation: Encoder-decoder approaches. In: Proceedings of 8th Workshop on Syntax, Semantics and Structure in Statistical Translation. Association for Computational Linguistics, Doha, pp 103–111

  5. Kim HY, Won CH (2018) Forecasting the volatility of stock price index: a hybrid model integrating lstm with multiple garch-type models. Expert Syst Appl 103:25–37

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Lee C-Y, Soo V-W (2017) Predict stock price with financial news based on recurrent convolutional neural networks. In: Proceedings of the Conference on Technologies and Applications of Artificial Intelligence. IEEE, Taipei, pp 160–165

  7. Lin H, Zhou D, Liu W, Bian J (2021) Learning multiple stock trading patterns with temporal routing adaptor and optimal transport. In: Proceedings of the 27th International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. ACM, Virtual Event, pp 1017–1026

  8. McNally S, Roche J, Caton S (2018) Predicting the price of bitcoin using machine learning. In: Proceedings of the 26th Euromicro International Conference on Parallel, Distributed and Network-based Processing, Cambridge, pp 339–343

  9. Minami S, et al. (2018) Predicting equity price with corporate action events using lstm-rnn. J Math Finance 8(01):58

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Ozbayoglu AM, Gudelek MU, Sezer OB (2020) Deep learning for financial applications : a survey. Appl Soft Comput 93:106384

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Selvin S, Vinayakumar R, Gopalakrishnan E, Menon VK, Soman K (2017) Stock price prediction using lstm, rnn and cnn-sliding window model. In: Proceedings of the international conference on advances in computing, communications and informatics. IEEE, Udupi, pp 1643–1647

  12. Sermpinis G, Stasinakis C, Dunis C (2014) Stochastic and genetic neural network combinations in trading and hybrid time-varying leverage effects. J Int Financ Markets Inst Money 30:21–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Sezer OB, Gudelek MU, Ozbayoglu AM (2020) Financial time series forecasting with deep learning: a systematic literature review: 2005–2019. Appl Soft Comput 90:106181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Shih S, Sun F, Lee H (2019) Temporal pattern attention for multivariate time series forecasting. Mach Learn 108(8-9):1421–1441

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  15. Sun S, Chao G (2013) Multi-view maximum entropy discrimination. In: Proceedings of the 23rd International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. AAAI Press, Beijing, pp 1706–1712

  16. Sun S, Xie X, Dong C (2019) Multiview learning with generalized eigenvalue proximal support vector machines. IEEE Trans Cybern 49(2):688–697

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Wang J, Yang Y, Mao J, Huang Z, Huang C, Xu W (2016) Cnn-rnn: a unified framework for multi-label image classification. CoRR arXiv:1604.04573

  18. Wang Y, Gu J, Zhou Z, Wang Z (2015a) Diarrhoea outpatient visits prediction based on time series decomposition and multi-local predictor fusion. Knowl-Based Syst 88:12–23

  19. Wang Y, Li J, Gu J, Zhou Z, Wang Z (2015b) Artificial neural networks for infectious diarrhea prediction using meteorological factors in shanghai (china). Appl Soft Comput 35:280–290

  20. Wang Z, Cai B (2021) COVID-19 cases prediction in multiple areas via shapelet learning. Appl Intell 51:1–12

  21. Wang Z, Huang Y, Cai B, Ma R, Wang Z (2021a) Stock turnover prediction using search engine data. J Circ Syst Comput 30:2150122:1–2150122:18

  22. Wang Z, Huang Y, He B (2021B) Dual-grained representation for hand, foot, and mouth disease prediction within public health cyber-physical systems. Softw Practice Exper 51:2290– 2305

  23. Wang Z, Huang Y, He B, Luo T, Wang Y, Fu Y (2020) Short-term infectious diarrhea prediction using weather and search data in Xiamen, China. Sci Programm 2020:8814222:1–8814222:12

  24. Wang Z, Wang Z, Lin Y, Liu J, Fu Y, Zhang P, Cai B (2021c) Prediction of HFMD cases by leveraging time series decomposition and local fusion. Wirel Commun Mob Comput 2021:5514743:1–5514743:10

  25. Xie X (2018) Regularized multi-view least squares twin support vector machines. Appl Intell 49 (2):688–697

    Google Scholar 

  26. Xie X, Sun S (2019) General multi-view learning with maximum entropy discrimination. Neurocomputing 332:184–192

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Xie X, Sun S (2020a) General multi-view semi-supervised least squares support vector machines with multi-manifold regularization. Inf Fusion 62:63–72

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Xie X, Sun S (2020b) Multi-view support vector machines with the consensus and complementarity information. IEEE Trans Knowl Data Eng 32(12):2401–2413

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Xu C, Tao D, Xu C (2013) A survey on multi-view learning. CoRR arXiv:1304.5634

  30. Zhang B, Chan JCC, Cross JL (2020) Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts. Int J Forecast 36:1318–1328

  31. Zhang L, Aggarwal CC, Qi G (2017) Stock price prediction via discovering multi-frequency trading patterns. In: Proceedings of the 23rd International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. ACM, Halifax, pp 2141–2149

  32. Zhao J, Xie X, Xu X, Sun S (2017) Multi-view learning overview: Recent progress and new challenges. Inf Fusion 38:43–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Zhou X, Pan Z, Hu G, Tang S, Zhao C (2018) Stock market prediction on high-frequency data using generative adversarial nets. Math Probl Eng 2018:1–11

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This work was supported in part by Jimei University (nos. ZP2021013, ZQ2018008 and ZP2020043), the Science project of Xiamen City (no. 3502Z20193048), the Education Department of Fujian Province (CN) (nos. JAT200277, JAT200232, JAT170327 and JAT200273), and the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province (CN) (nos. 2019J05099 and 2021J01859).

The authors would like to thank the editor and anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments in improving the manuscript quality.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Qiankun Su.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

None.

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

This article belongs to the Topical Collection: Special Issue on Multi-view Learning

Guest Editors: Guoqing Chao, Xingquan Zhu, Weiping Ding, Jinbo Bi and Shiliang Sun

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Wang, Z., Su, Q., Chao, G. et al. A multi-view time series model for share turnover prediction. Appl Intell 52, 14595–14606 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-021-02979-y

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-021-02979-y

Keywords

Navigation