Abstract
In recent years, prediction models based on deep learning have become more popular owing to their good prediction performance. Of them, the recurrent neural network (RNN) model has shown excellent learning and prediction ability in processing sequence data. However, in the field of information transmission, the existing models only treat the cascade process as a numerical sequence without considering the temporal characteristics of information diffusion and the difference of neighbor influence, making the prediction model unable to capture the characteristics of cascade data. We propose an information diffusion prediction approach based on feature attenuation reinforced recurrent network called Feature Deep Diffusion (FADD) to solve this problem. Firstly, a multi-order neighbor influence mechanism is introduced to distinguish the influence weights of neighbors of different classes, and the user feature representation is updated with the network representation method. Then, combining with the time attenuation effect, the neural network model based on feature attenuation enhancement is constructed. Finally, the model is used to predict information forwarding and information heat. A large set of experiments on two real social networks shows that the performance of the proposed method is better than that of the mainstream propagation prediction method based on an end-to-end neural network.











Similar content being viewed by others
Explore related subjects
Discover the latest articles, news and stories from top researchers in related subjects.References
Ducci F, Kraus M, Feuerriegel S (2020) Cascade-LSTM: a tree-structured neural classifier for detecting misinformation cascades. In: proceedings of the 26th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining, pp 2666-2676
Li C, Ma J, Guo X, Mei Q (2017) Deepcas: an end-to-end predictor of information cascades. In: proceedings of the 26th international conference on world wide web, pp 577-586
Wang J, Zheng VW, Liu Z, Chang KC-C (2017b) Topological recurrent neural network for diffusion prediction. In: 2017 IEEE international conference on data mining (ICDM), pp 475-484
Wang Y, Shen H, Liu S, Gao J, Cheng X (2017a) Cascade dynamics modeling with attention-based recurrent neural network. In: IJCAI, pp. 2985–2991
Yang C, Sun M, Zhao WX, Liu Z, Chang EY (2017) A neural network approach to jointly modeling social networks and mobile trajectories. ACM Trans Inf Syst 35:1–28
Tang J, Tang X, Xiao X, Yuan J (2018) Online processing algorithms for influence maximization. In: proceedings of the 2018 international conference on Management of Data, pp 991-1005
Wang L-Z, Zhao Z-D, Jiang J, Guo B-H, Wang X, Huang Z-G, Lai Y-C (2019) A model for meme popularity growth in social networking systems based on biological principle and human interest dynamics. Chaos: Interdisc J Nonli Sci 29:023136
Dow PA, Adamic L, Friggeri A (2013) The anatomy of large facebook cascades. In: Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media
Deng X, Xu M, Yang LT, Lin M, Yi L, Wang M (2018a) Energy balanced dispatch of mobile edge nodes for confident information coverage hole repairing in IoT. IEEE Internet Things J 6:4782–4790
Deng X, Yang LT, Yi L, Wang M, Zhu Z (2018b) Detecting confident information coverage holes in industrial internet of things: an energy-efficient perspective. IEEE Commun Mag 56:68–73
Wang M, Wang X, Yang LT, Deng X, Yi L (2020) Multi-sensor fusion based intelligent sensor relocation for health and safety monitoring in BSNs. Inf Fusion 54:61–71
Chen F, Tan WH (2018) Marked self-exciting point process modelling of information diffusion on twitter. Ann Appl Stat 12:2175–2196
Kong Q, Rizoiu M-A, Xie L (2020) Modeling information cascades with self-exciting processes via generalized epidemic models. In: proceedings of the 13th international conference on web search and data mining, pp 286-294
Zhao Q, Erdogdu MA, He HY, Rajaraman A, Leskovec J (2015) Seismic: a self-exciting point process model for predicting tweet popularity. In: proceedings of the 21th ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 1513-1522
Yu L, Cui P, Wang F, Song C, Yang S (2015) From micro to macro: uncovering and predicting information cascading process with behavioral dynamics. In: 2015 IEEE international conference on data mining, pp 559-568
Li H, He F, Chen Y, Pan Y (2021) MLFS-CCDE: multi-objective large-scale feature selection by cooperative coevolutionary differential evolution. Memetic Comp 13:1–18
Pan Y, He F, Yu H (2020a) Learning social representations with deep autoencoder for recommender system. World Wide Web 23:2259–2279
Pan Y, He F, Yu H, Li H (2020b) Learning adaptive trust strength with user roles of truster and trustee for trust-aware recommender systems. Appl Intell 50:314–327
Zhang D, Yin J, Zhu X, Zhang C (2018) Network representation learning: a survey. IEEE Trans Big Data 6:3–28
Perozzi B, Al-Rfou R, Skiena S (2014) Deepwalk: online learning of social representations. In: proceedings of the 20th ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 701-710
Xiong Y, Zhang Y, Fu H, Wang W, Zhu Y, Philip SY (2019) Dyngraphgan: dynamic graph embedding via generative adversarial networks. In: International Conference on Database Systems for Advanced Applications, pp. 536–552, DynGraphGAN: Dynamic Graph Embedding via Generative Adversarial Networks
Horawalavithana S, Skvoretz J, Iamnitchi A (2020) Cascade-LSTM: predicting information cascades using deep neural networks. arXiv preprint arXiv:.12373
Yang C, Tang J, Sun M, Cui G, Liu Z (2019) Multi-scale information diffusion prediction with reinforced recurrent networks. In: IJCAI, pp. 4033–4039
Li D, Wang W, Jin C, Ma J, Sun X, Xu Z, Li S, Liu J (2019) User recommendation for promoting information diffusion in social networks. Physica A: Stat Mech Appl 534:121536
Wang Y, Shen H, Liu S, Cheng X (2015) Learning user-specific latent influence and susceptibility from information cascades. In: Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Yi Y, Zhang Z, Yang LT, Gan C, Deng X, Yi L (2020) Reemergence modeling of intelligent information diffusion in heterogeneous social networks: the dynamics perspective. IEEE Trans Netw Sci Eng, Reemergence Modeling of Intelligent Information Diffusion in Heterogeneous Social Networks: The Dynamics Perspective
Gleeson JP, Onaga T, Fennell P, Cotter J, Burke R, O'Sullivan DJ (2020) Branching process descriptions of information cascades on twitter. arXiv preprint arXiv:.08916
Gao J, Shen H, Liu S, Cheng X (2016) Modeling and predicting retweeting dynamics via a mixture process. In: proceedings of the 25th international conference companion on world wide web, pp 33-34
Cao Q, Shen H, Cen K, Ouyang W, Cheng X (2017) Deephawkes: bridging the gap between prediction and understanding of information cascades. In: proceedings of the 2017 ACM on conference on information and knowledge management, pp 1149-1158
Mishra S, Rizoiu M-A, Xie L (2016) Feature driven and point process approaches for popularity prediction. In: proceedings of the 25th ACM international on conference on information and knowledge management, pp 1069-1078
Tsur O, Rappoport A (2012) What's in a hashtag? Content based prediction of the spread of ideas in microblogging communities. In: Proceedings of the fifth ACM international conference on Web search and data mining, pp. 643–652
Shulman B, Sharma A, Cosley D (2016) Predictability of popularity: gaps between prediction and understanding. In: Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media
Cheng J, Adamic L, Dow PA, Kleinberg JM, Leskovec J (2014) Can cascades be predicted? In: proceedings of the 23rd international conference on world wide web, pp 925-936
Molaei S, Zare H, Veisi H (2020) Deep learning approach on information diffusion in heterogeneous networks. Knowl-Based Syst 189:105153
Wang Z, Chen C, Li W (2018a) Attention network for information diffusion prediction. In: Companion Proceedings of the The Web Conference 2018, pp. 65–66
Islam MR, Muthiah S, Adhikari B, Prakash BA, Ramakrishnan N (2018) DeepDiffuse: predicting the'Who'and'When'in cascades. In: 2018 IEEE international conference on data mining (ICDM), pp 1055-1060
Yang C, Sun M, Liu H, Han S, Liu Z, Luan H (2018) Neural diffusion model for microscopic cascade prediction. arXiv preprint arXiv:.08933
Wang Z, Chen C, Li W (2018b) A sequential neural information diffusion model with structure attention. In: proceedings of the 27th ACM international conference on information and knowledge management, pp 1795-1798
Chen X, Zhou F, Zhang K, Trajcevski G, Zhong T, Zhang F (2019) Information diffusion prediction via recurrent cascades convolution. In: 2019 IEEE 35th international conference on data engineering (ICDE), pp 770-781
Filimonov V, Sornette D (2015) Apparent criticality and calibration issues in the Hawkes self-excited point process model: application to high-frequency financial data. Quant Finance 15:1293–1314
Hodas NO, Lerman K (2014) The simple rules of social contagion. Sci Rep 4:1–7
Zhong E, Fan W, Wang J, Xiao L, Li Y (2012) Comsoc: adaptive transfer of user behaviors over composite social network. In: proceedings of the 18th ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 696-704
Grover A, Leskovec J (2016) node2vec: scalable feature learning for networks. In: proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 855-864
Acknowledgments
Supported by China National Social Science Fund (19BXW110).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Pan, L., Xiong, Y., Li, B. et al. Feature attenuation reinforced recurrent neural network for diffusion prediction. Appl Intell 53, 1855–1869 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-022-03413-7
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-022-03413-7