Abstract
In this paper, we investigate a new version of stock model under uncertain circumstances for uncertain stock markets. Firstly, solutions to some uncertain fractional differential equations are presented by employing the Mittag-Leffler function. Then, a new uncertain stock model with mean-reverting process is formulated on the basis of uncertain fractional differential equations. Finally, European option pricing formulas based on the proposed model are investigated as well as some numerical examples.
Similar content being viewed by others
Explore related subjects
Discover the latest articles, news and stories from top researchers in related subjects.References
Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81, 637–654.
Chen, X., & Liu, B. (2010). Existence and uniqueness theorem for uncertain differential equations. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, 9(1), 69–81.
Chen, X. (2011). American option pricing formula for uncertain financial market. International Journal of Operations Research, 8(2), 32–37.
Chen, X., Liu, Y., & Ralescu, D. A. (2013). Uncertain stock model with periodic dividends. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, 12(1), 111–123.
Chen, X., & Park, G. K. (2014). Uncertain expected utility function and its risk premium. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 28(3), 581–587.
Ji, X., & Ke, H. (2017). No-arbitrage theorem for multi-factor uncertain stock model with floating interest rate. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, 16(2), 221–234.
Kilbas, A. A., Srivastava, H. M., & Trujillo, J. J. (2006). Theory and application of fractional differential equation. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Li, B., Zhu, Y., Sun, Y., Aw, Grace, & Teo, K. L. (2018). Multi-period portfolio selection problem under uncertain environment with bankruptcy constraint. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 56, 539–550.
Liu, B. (2007). Uncertainty theory (2nd ed.). Berlin: Springer.
Liu, B. (2008). Fuzzy process, hybrid process and uncertain process. Journal of Uncertain Systems, 2(1), 3–16.
Liu, B. (2009). Some research problems in uncertainty theory. Journal of Uncertain Systems, 3(1), 3–10.
Liu, B. (2013). Toward uncertain finance theory. Journal of Uncertainty Analysis and Applications, 1(1), 1–15.
Liu, H., Ke, H., & Fei, W. (2014). Almost sure stability for uncertain differential equation. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, 13(4), 463–473.
Merton, R. C. (1973). Theory of rational option pricing. Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, 4(1), 141–183.
Podlubny, I. (1999). Fractional differential equation. San Diego: Academic Press.
Peng, J., & Yao, K. (2011). A new option pricing model for stocks in uncertainty markets. International Journal of Operations Research, 8(2), 18–26.
Sun, J., & Chen, X. (2015). Asian option pricing formula for uncertain financial market. Journal of Uncertainty Analysis and Applications, 3(11), 1–11.
Sun, Y., & Su, T. (2017). Mean-reverting stock model with floating interest rate in uncertain environment. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, 16(2), 235–255.
Tao, N., & Zhu, Y. (2015). Attractivity and stability analysis of uncertain differential systems. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 25(2), 1550022-1–1550022-10.
Yao, K., & Chen, X. (2013). A numerical method for solving uncertain differential equations. Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems, 25, 825–832.
Yao, K., Ke, H., & Sheng, Y. (2015). Stability in mean for uncertain differential equation. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, 14(3), 365–379.
Yao, K. (2015). Uncertain contour process and its application in stock model with floating interest rate. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, 14(4), 399–424.
Zhu, Y. (2010). Uncertain optimal control with application to a portfolio selection model. Cybernetics and Systems: An International Journal, 41(7), 535–547.
Zhu, Y. (2015a). Uncertain fractional differential equations and an interest rate model. Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences, 38(15), 3359–3368.
Zhu, Y. (2015b). Exitence and uniquence of the solution to uncertain fractional differential equation. Journal of Uncertainty Analysis and Appliations, 3(5), 1–11.
Acknowledgements
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 61673011) and Science Foundation of Jiangsu province (China) for Young Scientists (No. 164101181).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Appendix
Appendix
In this appendix, some special functions and their properties will be recalled, and two types of fractional order derivatives of a function will be reviewed. More details can be seen in Podlubny (1999) and Kilbas et al. (2006). The gamma function defined by
has the properties that \(\varGamma (p+1)=p\varGamma (p), p>0\); \(\varGamma (1)=1\), \(\varGamma (\frac{1}{2}) =\sqrt{\pi },\varGamma (n+1)=n!\). The Mittag-Leffler function is defined by
We usually denote \(E_{\eta }(z)=E_{\eta ,1}(z)\) and \(E_{1,1}(z)=\sum _{k=0}^{\infty }\frac{z^k}{\varGamma (k+1)}=e^z\).
Definition 7
For a function f(t) given on the interval [a, b], and \(p>0\). Then the p-th fractional order integral of f is defined as
Definition 8
For a function f given on the interval [a, b], and \( 0\le n-1\le p<n\). Then the p-th Riemann–Liouville fractional derivative of f is defined by
Remark 5
For an arbitrary positive number p with \(0\le n-1\le p<n\), the fractional derivative and the fractional integral have the relations:
-
(i)
\(D_{a+}^p\)\(I_{a+}^pf(t)=f(t)\);
-
(ii)
\(I^{p}_{a+}\) \(D_{a+}^{p}f(t)=f(t)-\sum _{j=1}^{n}[D_{a+}^{p-j}f(t)]_{t=a}\frac{(t-a)^{p-j}}{\varGamma (p-j+1)}.\)
Definition 9
Let \(f:[a,b]\rightarrow R\) be a differentiable function at least n-order, and \( 0\le n-1< p\le n\). Then the p-th Caputo fractional derivative of f is defined by
where \(f^{(n)}(t)\) represents the n-order derivatives of f(t).
Remark 6
For an arbitrary positive number p with \(0\le n-1< p\le n\), the fractional derivative and the fractional integral have the relations:
-
(i)
\(^cD_{a+}^p\)\( I_{a+}^pf(t)=f(t)\);
-
(ii)
\(I^{p}_{a+}\) \( ^cD_{a+}^{p}f(t)=f(t)-\sum _{k=0}^{n-1}\frac{(t-a)^{k}}{\varGamma (k+1)}f^{(k)}(a).\)
Remark 7
For \(0\le n-1<p\le n\) and \(t>0\), the relationship between these two type of fractional derivatives satisfies
Remark 8
Denote the \(I_{0+}^p, D_{0+}^p\) and \(^cD_{0+}^p\) by the abbreviations \(I^p, D^p\) and \(^cD^p\) respectively.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Lu, Z., Yan, H. & Zhu, Y. European option pricing model based on uncertain fractional differential equation. Fuzzy Optim Decis Making 18, 199–217 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10700-018-9293-4
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10700-018-9293-4