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Research on telecom customer churn prediction based on ensemble learning

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Abstract

As the market in the telecom industry becomes saturated and competition between telecom operators heats up, preventing customer churn has become a company’s top concern. It is, therefore, crucial to identify customers who are likely to churn and the reasons, as it directly impacts the company’s revenue. The main contribution of this study lies in the multidimensional data preprocessing, feature extraction and processing of the dataset provided by the telecom operator. Then, the k-means algorithm is used to cluster different consumer groups, which in turn analyses the factors of concern to different consumer groups and makes targeted suggestions. Finally, to improve the effectiveness and robustness of the model, ensemble learning is introduced into the telecom customer churn field. The experimental results show that the extracted features and the experimental results are satisfactory. Ensemble learning was also applied to the dataset provided by S. Khotijah and it was found that the churn prediction accuracy rate improved regardless of whether the dataset was balanced, especially in the unbalanced dataset.

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Data availability

In our experiment, there are mainly two data sets. Dataset one can be obtained by the link https://gitee.com/jian123654/churn_prediction_dataset; Dataset two can be obtained in the connection of references (Khotijah, 2020).

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Acknowledgements

This work is supported by three projects: Research on High-precision Positioning Technology for Snow and Ice Emergencies in 5G-based VR Scenarios (No. 20470302D), Research Project on Basic Research Funds for Higher Education Institutions in Hebei Province (No. 2021QNJS12) and Deep Learning Behavioural Recognition Fall Detection Research (No. 2022CXTD04).

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Correspondence to Jingjing Fan.

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Liu, Y., Fan, J., Zhang, J. et al. Research on telecom customer churn prediction based on ensemble learning. J Intell Inf Syst 60, 759–775 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10844-022-00739-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10844-022-00739-z

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