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Performance Assessment for Leader-Following Multi-Agent Systems with Unpredictable Disturbances and Switching Topologies Via Belief Rule Base

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Abstract

Performance assessment is crucial for managing the health of complex systems, including single-agent and multi-agent systems. However, research on the latter has been relatively sparse. Approaches to assessing system performance must consider both assessment result accuracy and process explainability, especially in cases with small or unbalanced samples, which limits the application of data-driven approaches. In this paper, the Belief Rule Base (BRB) grey-box expert system is adopted to assess the performance of leader-following multi-agent systems subject to switching topologies and unpredictable disturbances. By fusing historical data and expert knowledge, the precision of assessment results and the traceability of the assessment process are balanced. Two time-varying features based on the states and distributed communication characteristics of the leader-following MASs are designed as model input. The robustness of the feature matching degree is quantitatively analysed, and the obtained robustness factors can reflect their effectiveness on the final performance utility produced by the BRB model. This approach helps raise the cognitive ability of specialists and devise more rational model structures and initial parameters. In comparative studies, better prediction accuracy of the proposed BRB performance assessment model is demonstrated compared to other classical models based on small training samples, while avoiding an opaque inference process.

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Funding

This work was supported partly by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 62203461 and No. 62203365, partly by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant No. D5000210690, partly by the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi under Grant No. 2022JQ-580, partly by the Young Talent Promotion Program of Shaanxi Association for Science and Technology under Grant No.20220121, partly by the Harbin Normal University Graduate Student Innovation Program under Grant No. HSDSSCX2023-4. Authors Wei He and Zhichao Feng have received research support from the State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Control and Decision of Complex Systems.

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All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection and analysis were performed by Haoran Zhang. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Haoran Zhang and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Ruohan Yang.

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Zhang, H., He, W., Yang, R. et al. Performance Assessment for Leader-Following Multi-Agent Systems with Unpredictable Disturbances and Switching Topologies Via Belief Rule Base. J Intell Robot Syst 109, 62 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10846-023-01990-4

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