Abstract
Mobility prediction is a technique in which the future location of a user is identified in a given network. Mobility prediction provides solutions to many day-to-day life problems. It helps in seamless handovers in wireless networks to provide better location based services and to recalculate paths in Mobile Ad hoc Networks (MANET). In the present study, a framework is presented which predicts user mobility in presence and absence of mobility history. Naïve Bayesian classification algorithm and Markov Model are used to predict user future location when user mobility history is available. An attempt is made to predict user future location by using Short Message Service (SMS) and instantaneous Geological coordinates in the absence of mobility patterns. The proposed technique compares the performance metrics with commonly used Markov Chain model. From the experimental results it is evident that the techniques used in this work gives better results when considering both spatial and temporal information. The proposed method predicts user’s future location in the absence of mobility history quite fairly. The proposed work is applied to predict the mobility of medical rescue vehicles and social security systems.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Pirozmand, P., Wu, G., Jedari, B., and Xia, F., Human mobility in opportunistic networks: Characteristics, models and prediction methods. J. Netw. Comput. Appl. 42:45–58, 2014.
De Domenico, M., Lima, A., and Musolesi, M., Interdependence and predictability of human mobility and social interactions. Pervasive Mob. Comput. 9.6:798–807, 2013.
Papandrea, M., and Giordano, S., Location prediction and mobility modelling for enhanced localization solution. J. Ambient. Intell. Humaniz. Comput. 5(3):279–295, 2014.
Comito, C., Falcone, D., and Talia, D., Mining human mobility patterns from social geo-tagged data. Pervasive Mob. Comput. 33:91–107, 2016.
Etter, V., Kafsi, M., Kazemi, E., Grossglauser, M., and Thiran, P., Where to go from here? Mobility prediction from instantaneous information. Pervasive Mob. Comput. 9.6:784–797, 2013.
Suraj, R., Tapaswi, S., Yousef, S., Pattanaik, K.K., and Cole, M., Mobility prediction in mobile ad hoc networks using a lightweight genetic algorithm. Wirel. Netw. 22.6:1797–1806, 2016.
Do, T.M.T., and Gatica-Perez, D., Where and what: Using smartphones to predict next locations and applications in daily life. Pervasive Mob. Comput. 12:79–91, 2014.
Kim, S.-Y., and Cho, S.-B., Predicting destinations with smartphone log using trajectory-based HMMs. The 4 th International conference on Mobile Services, Resources, and users, 2014.
Fukano, J., Mashita, T., Hara, T., Kiyokawa, K., Takemura, H., Nishio, S., A next location prediction method for smartphones using blockmodels. Virtual Reality (VR), IEEE, 2013.
Prabhala, B., and La Porta, T., Spatial and temporal considerations in next place predictions. Computer Communications Workshops (INFOCOM WKSHPS), IEEE, 2015.
Yu, Z., Wang, H., Guo, B., Gu, T., and Mei, T., Supporting serendipitous social interaction using human mobility prediction. IEEE Trans. Hum Mach. Syst. 45.6:811–818, 2015.
Ghouti, L., Sheltami, T.R., and Alutaibi, K.S., Mobility prediction in mobile ad hoc networks using extreme learning machines. Procedia Computer Science. 19:305–312, 2013.
Dong, W., Duffield, N., Ge, Z., Lee, S., Pang, J., Modeling cellular user mobility using a leap graph. In: International Conference on Passive and Active Network Measurement. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, 2013.
Lee, K., Hong, S., Kim, S. J., Rhee, I., Chong, S., Slaw: a new mobility model for human walks. In: Proceedings of INFOCOM 2009, the 28th IEEE International Conference on Computer Communications. IEEE Communications Society Press, pp. 855–863, 2009.
Song, C., Zehui, Q., Blumm, N., and Barabási, A.-L., Limits of predictability in human mobility. Science. 327.5968:1018–1021, 2010.
Gupta, P., and Sutar, S.S., Study of Various Location Tracking Techniques for Centralized Location, Monitoring & Control System. IOSR J. Eng. (IOSRJEN). 4.3:27–30, 2014.
Creixell, W., Sezaki, K., Mobility prediction algorithm for mobile ad hoc network using pedestrian trajectory data. In: TENCON 2004, 2004 I.E. Region 10 Conference, IEEE, 2004.
Farooq, H., and Imran, A., Spatiotemporal Mobility Prediction in Proactive Self-Organizing Cellular Networks. IEEE Commun. Lett. 21.2:370–373, 2017.
Stynes, D., Brown, K. N., Sreenan, C. J., A probabilistic approach to user mobility prediction for wireless services. In: Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing Conference (IWCMC), 2016 International, IEEE, 2016.
Duong, T.V.T., and Tran, D.Q., An effective approach for mobility prediction in wireless network based on temporal weighted mobility rule. Int. J. Comput. Sci. Telecommun. 3.2:29–36, 2012.
Amirrudin, N. A., Ariffin, S. H. S., Abd Malik, N. N. N., Effiyana Ghazali, N., User's mobility history-based mobility prediction in LTE femtocells network. RF and Microwave Conference (RFM), IEEE, 2013.
Bellahsene, S., and Kloul, L., A new Markov-based mobility prediction algorithm for mobile networks. In: Computer Performance Engineering. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer, 2010.
Silveira, L.M., de Almeida, J.M., Marques-Neto, H.T., Sarraute, C., and Ziviani, A., MobHet: Predicting human mobility using heterogeneous data sources. Comput. Commun. 95:54–68, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.comcom.2016.04.013.
Zheng, Y., Zhang, L., Xie, X., Ma, W.-Y., Mining interesting locations and travel sequences from GPS trajectories. In: Proceedings of the 18 th International conference on World Wide Web. Pages 791–800, 2009.
Zheng, Y., Li, Q., Chen, Y., Xie, X., Ma, W.-Y., Understanding Mobility Based on GPS Data. Proceedings of the 10th International conference on Ubiquitous Computing. Pages 312–321, 2008.
Yu, Z., Xie, X., Ma, W.-Y., GeoLife: a collaborative social networking service among user, location and trajectory. In: Bulletin of the IEEE Computer Society Technical Committee on Data Engineering, 2010.
Chen, C., Liu, X., Qiu, T., Liu, L., and Sangaiah, A.K., Latency estimation based on traffic density for video streaming in the internet of vehicles. Comput. Commun. 111:176–186, ISSN 0140-3664, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.comcom.2017.08.010.
Hawelka, B., Sitko, I., Kazakopoulos, P., and Beinat, E., Collective Prediction of individual Mobility Traces for Users with Short Data History. PLoS ONE. 12(1):e0170907, 2017.
Qiu, T., Zhang, Y., Qiao, D., Zhang, X., Wymore, M.L., and Sangaiah, A.K., A Robust Time Synchronization Scheme for Industrial Internet of Things. IEEE Trans. Ind. Inform., 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/TII.2017.2738842.
Cha, S.-H., Lee, J.-E., and Ryu, M., Directed broadcasting with mobility prediction for vehicular sensor networks. Int. J. Distrib. Sens. Netw. 12.7:1–9, 2016.
Somaa, F., Adjih, C., Korbi, I., Saidane, L., A Bayesian model for mobility prediction in wireless sensor networks. In: 5th IFIP International Conference on Performance Evaluation and Modeling in Wired and Wireless Networks (PEMWN 2016), 2016.
Medhane, D.V., and Sangaiah, A.K., ESCAPE: Effective Scalable Clustering Approach for Parallel Execution of continuous position-based queries in position monitoring applications. IEEE Trans. Sustain. Comput., 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSUSC.2017.2690378.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of Interest
Roshan Fernandes declares that he has no conflict of interest. Dr. Rio G. L. D’Souza declares that he has no conflict of interest.
Ethical Approval
This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.
Additional information
This article is part of the Topical Collection on Mobile & Wireless Health
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Fernandes, R., D’Souza G. L., R. A New Approach to Predict user Mobility Using Semantic Analysis and Machine Learning. J Med Syst 41, 188 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10916-017-0837-x
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10916-017-0837-x