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Determining Geographic Vulnerabilities Using a Novel Impact Based Resilience Metric

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Abstract

Various natural and man-made disasters as well as major political events (like riots) have increased the importance of understanding geographic failures and how correlated failures impact networks. Since mission critical networks are overlaid as virtual networks over a physical network infrastructure forming multilayer networks, there is an increasing need for methods to analyze multilayer networks for geographic vulnerabilities. In this paper, we present a novel impact-based resilience metric. Our new metric uses ideas borrowed from performability to combine network impact with state probability to calculate a new metric called Network Impact Resilience. The idea is that the highest impact to the mission of a network should drive its resilience metric. Furthermore, we present a state space analysis method that analyzes multilayer networks for geographic vulnerabilities. To demonstrate the methods, the inability to provision a given number of upper layer services is used as the criteria for network failure. Mapping techniques for multilayer network states are presented. Simplifying geographic state mapping techniques to reduce enumeration costs are also presented and tested. Finally, these techniques are tested on networks of varying sizes.

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Acknowledgments

This research is supported in part by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. CNS-1217736 and by the Federal Aviation Administration under Cooperative Agreement No. 11-G-0182.

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Correspondence to M. Todd Gardner.

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Gardner, M.T., May, R., Beard, C. et al. Determining Geographic Vulnerabilities Using a Novel Impact Based Resilience Metric. J Netw Syst Manage 24, 711–745 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10922-016-9383-y

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