Skip to main content
Log in

Anticipating technological breakthroughs: Using bibliographic coupling to explore the nanotubes paradigm

  • Published:
Scientometrics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

There is general consensus that the field of nanotechnology will be very important in the future. An open question is, however, which technological approaches or paradigms will be important in the field. The paper assumes that the carbon nanotube will be a key element of an emerging technological paradigm in nanotechnology. This study employs a bibliometric method — bibliographic coupling — to identify important nanotubes-related ‘leitbilder’ — a concept meaning ‘guiding images’ that provide a basis for different professions and disciplines to work in the same direction. Until recently, bibliographic coupling has been applied rarely for purposes of research evaluation, not to mention technology foresight. Our case study seems to suggest that bibliographic coupling is particularly suitable for anticipating technological breakthroughs. Bibliographic coupling analysis of recent nanotube-related patents focused our attention to recent patents owned by Nantero Inc. Nantero’s main focus is the development of NRAM — a high-density nonvolatile random access memory. The NRAM leitbild seems to be an important emerging leitbild. It connects technical opportunities and promising applications relating to the memories in devices such as cell phones, MP3 players, digital cameras, as well as applications in networking arena.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ansoff, I. (1984), Implanting Strategic Management, Prentice Hall International, New Jersey.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brown W., Jin, S., Zhu, W. (2001), In-Situ Nano-Interconnected Circuit Devices and Method for Making the Same, US patent 6,297,063 full text.

  • Dosi, G. (1988), The nature of the innovative process, In: G Dosi et al. (Eds), Technical Change and Economic Theory, Pinter, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dosi, G. (1982), Technical paradigms and technological trajectories, Research Policy, 11(3): 147–162.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Egghe, L., Rousseau, R. (2002), Co-citation, bibliographic coupling and a characterization of lattice citation networks, Scientometrics, 55: 349–361.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Glänzel, W. (2003), Bibliometrics as a Research Field, K.U. Leuven, F.E.T.E.W.: Leuven.

    Google Scholar 

  • Glänzel, W., Czerwon, H. J. (1996), A new methodological approach to bibliographic coupling and its application to the national, regional and institutional level, Scientometrics, 37: 195–221.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hicks, D. (1987), Limitations of co-citation analysis as a tool for science policy, Social Studies of Science, 17: 295–316.

    Google Scholar 

  • Katz, J. S., Stewart, S., Gow, T. A. K., Martin, B. (2001), Science Foresight Project Final Report, Porton Down, Salisbury, Wiltshire: Defense Science and Technology Laboratory UK. www.sussex.ac.uk.Units/spru/foresight

    Google Scholar 

  • Kessler, M. M. (1963), Bibliographic coupling between scientific papers, American Documentation, 14: 10–25.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kuusi, O. (1999), Expertise in the Future Use of Generic Technologies, Government Institute for Economic Research (VATT), Doctoral thesis, Helsinki, B 59.

  • Kuusi, O., Meyer M. (2002), Technological generalizations and leitbilder — the anticipation of technological opportunities, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 69: 625–639.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Luzzi, D., Smith B. (2005), Hybrid Materials and Methods for Producing the Same, US patent 6,863,857.

  • Marshakova, I. V. (1973), System of connections between documents based on references (as the Science Citation Index), Nauchno-Tekhnicheskaya Informatsiya, Seriya 2, (6): 3–8 (in Russian).

  • Marz, L., Dierkes, M. (1994), Leitbildprägung und Leitbildgestaltung, In: G. Bechmann, T. Petermann (Eds), Intedisziplinäre Technikforschung, Genese, Folgen, Diskurs. Campus, Frankfurt/M, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mau, A. et al. (2005), Patterned Carbon Nanotube Films, US patent 6,811,957 full text.

  • Merkerk, R., van Lente, H. (2005), Tracing emerging irreversibilities in emerging technology: the case of nanotubes, Report from the EU-US seminar: New Technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, Seville 13–14 May 2004.

  • Meyer, M. (2000), What is special about patent citations? Differences between patent and scientific citations, Scientometrics, 49: 93–123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meyer, M., Kuusi, O. (2004), Nanotechnology: Generalizations in an Interdisciplinary Field of Science and Technology, HYLE — International Journal for Philosophy of Chemistry, 10(2): 155–170.

    Google Scholar 

  • Persson, O. (1994), The intellectual base and research fronts of JASIS 1986–1990, Journal of the American Society for Information Science, 45(1): 31–38.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rueckes, T., Segal, B. (2004), Methods of Nanotube Films and Articles, US patent 6,835,591 full text.

  • Rueckes, T. et al. (2000), Carbon nanotube-based nonvolatile random access memory for molecular computing, Science, 289: 94–97.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schmoch U. (1993), Tracing the knowledge transfer from science to technology as reflected in patent indicators, Scientometrics, 26: 193–211.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schmoch, U. (1997), Indicators and the relations between science and technology, Scientometrics, 38: 103–116.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sen, S. K., Gan, S. K. (1983), A mathematical extension of the idea of bibliographic coupling and its applications, Annals of Library Science and Documentation, 30: 78–82.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharabchiev, J. T. (1988), Comparative analysis of two methods of cluster analysis of bibliographic references, Nauchno-Tekhnicheskaya Informatsiya, Seriya 2, (4): 25–28 (in Russian).

  • Small, H. (1973), Co-citation in the scientific literature: A new measure of the relationship between two documents, Journal of the American Society for Information Science, 24: 265–269.

    Google Scholar 

  • Small, H. (1978), Cited documents as context symbols, Social Studies of Science, 8: 327–240.

    Google Scholar 

  • Small, H. (1982), Citation context analysis, Progress in Communication, Science, 3: 287–310.

    Google Scholar 

  • Small, H. (1988), A general framework for general large-scale maps of science in two or three dimensions: The SciViz system, Scientometrics, 41: 125–133.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vladutz, G., Cook, J. (1984), Bibliographic coupling and subject relatedness, In: Challenges to an Information Society, Proceedings of the 47th ASIS Annual Meeting (compiled by B. Flood, J. Witiak, T. H. Hogan), White Plains: Knowledge Industry Publications, 204–207.

    Google Scholar 

  • von Wartburg, I., Teichert, T., Rost, K. (2005), Inventive progress measured by multi-stage patent citation analysis, Research Policy, 34(10): 1591–1607.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Osmo Kuusi.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Kuusi, O., Meyer, M. Anticipating technological breakthroughs: Using bibliographic coupling to explore the nanotubes paradigm. Scientometrics 70, 759–777 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-007-0311-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-007-0311-5

Keywords

Navigation