Skip to main content
Log in

The iceberg hypothesis revisited

  • Published:
Scientometrics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A study is described of the rank/JIF (Journal Impact Factor) distributions in the high-coverage Scopus database, using recent data and a three-year citation window. It includes a comparison with an older study of the Journal Citation Report categories and indicators, and a determination of the factors most influencing the distributions. While all the specific subject areas fit a negative logarithmic law fairly well, those with a greater External JIF have distributions with a more sharply defined peak and a longer tail—something like an iceberg. No S-shaped distributions, such as predicted by Egghe, were found. A strong correlation was observed between the knowledge export and import ratios. Finally, data from both Scopus and ISI were used to characterize the rank/JIF distributions by subject area.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Egghe, L. (2009). Mathematical derivation of the impact factor distribution. Journal of Informetrics, 3(4), 290–295.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Garfield, E. (1979). Citation indexing. Its theory and application in science, technology and humanities. New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Glänzel, W., & Moed, H. (2002). Journal impact measures in bibliometric research. Scientometrics, 53(2), 171–193.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Glänzel, W., & Schubert, A. (2003). A new classification scheme of science fields and subfields designed for scientometric evaluation purposes. Scientometrics, 56(3), 257–367.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guerrero-Bote, V. P., Zapico-Alonso, F., Espinosa-Calvo, M. E., Gómez-Crisóstomo, R., & Moya-Anegón, F. (2006). Binary pathfinder: An improvement to the Pathfinder algorithm. Information Processing and Management, 42(6), 1484–1490.

    Google Scholar 

  • Guerrero-Bote, V. P., Zapico-Alonso, F., Espinosa-Calvo, M. E., Gómez-Crisóstomo, R., & Moya-Anegón, F. (2007). The iceberg hypothesis: import-export of knowledge between scientific subject categories. Scientometrics, 71(3), 423–441.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lancho-Barrantes, B. S., Guerrero-Bote, V. P., & Moya-Anegón, F. (in press). What lies behind the averages and significance of citation indicators in different disciplines? Journal of Information Science.

  • Leydesdorff, L., & Bensman, S. (2006). Classification and powerlaws: The logarithmic transformation. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 57(11), 1470–1486.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lundberg, J. (2007). Lifting the crown—citation z-score. Journal of Informetrics, 1, 145–154.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Merton, R. K. (1968). The Matthew effect in science. Science, 159, 56–63.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moed, H. F. (2005). Citation analysis in research evaluation (p. 346). Dordrecht: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moya-Anegón, F., Chinchilla-Rodríguez, Z., Corera-Álvarez, E., González-Molina, A., Hassan-Montero, Y., & Vargas-Quesada, B. (2008). Indicadores bibliométricos de la actividad científica española (2002–2006). Madrid: FECYT.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moya-Anegón, F., Chinchilla-Rodríguez, Z., Vargas-Quesada, B., Corera-Álvarez, E., Muñoz-Fernández, F. J., González-Molina, A., et al. (2007). Coverage analysis of Scopus: a journal metric approach. Scientometrics, 73(1), 53–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moya-Anegón, F., Vargas-Quesada, B., Herrero-Solana, V., Chinchilla-Rodríguez, Z., Corera-Álvarez, E., & Muñoz-Fernández, F. J. (2004). A new technique for building maps of large scientific domains based on the cocitation of classes and categories. Scientometrics, 61, 129–145.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pinski, G., & Narin, F. (1976). Citation influence for journal aggregates of scientific publications: Theory, with application to the literature of physics. Information Processing and Management, 12(5), 297–312.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Podlubny, I. (2005). Comparison of scientific impact expressed by the number of citations in different fields of science. Scientometrics, 64(1), 95–99.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pudovkin, A., & Garfield, E. (2002). Algorithmic procedure for finding semantically related journals. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 53(13), 1113–1119.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schvaneveldt, R. W., Dearholt, D. W., & Durso, F. T. (1988). Graph theoretic foundations of Pathfinder networks. Computers and Mathematics with Applications, 15(4), 337–345.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Scimago Journal & Country Rank. (2008). SCImago Research Group. Accessed 26 March, 2009 from http://www.scimagojr.com/.

  • Sombatsompop, N., & Markpin, T. (2005). Making an equality of ISI impact factors for different subject fields. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 56(7), 676–683.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Van Leeuwen, T. N., & Moed, H. F. (2002). Development and application of journal impact measures in the Dutch science system. Scientometrics, 53(2), 249–266.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Van Leeuwen, T. N., Visser, M. S., Moed, H. F., Nederhof, T. J., & Van Raan, A. F. J. (2003). The Holy Grail of science policy: Exploring and combining bibliometric tools in search of scientific excellence. Scientometrics, 57(2), 257–280.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Waltman, L., & Van Eck, N. J. (2009). Some comments on Egghe’s derivation of the impact factor distribution. Journal of Informetrics, 3(4), 363–366.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wormell, I. (1998). Informetric analysis of the international impact of scientific journals: How ‘International’ are the international journals? Journal of Documentation, 54(5), 584–605.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This work was financed by the Junta de Extremadura—Consejería de Educación Ciencia & Tecnología and the Fondo Social Europeo as part of research project PRI06A200, and by the Plan Nacional de Investigación Científica, Desarrollo e Innovación Tecnológica 2008-2011 and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER) as part of research projects TIN2008-06514-C02-01 and TIN2008-06514-C02-02.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Vicente P. Guerrero-Bote.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Lancho-Barrantes, B.S., Guerrero-Bote, V.P. & Moya-Anegón, F. The iceberg hypothesis revisited. Scientometrics 85, 443–461 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-010-0209-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-010-0209-5

Keywords