Abstract
Global landscape of scientific activity is changing and becoming more diverse with emerging economies particularly China redrawing the contours of scientific research in the twenty-first century. Research publications, the most cherished output of science, provides robust evidence of this changing landscape. The global publication share of advanced scientific countries is decreasing with significant rise in publication share of China and also of other emerging economies such as India, South Korea, and Brazil. Their publications though are still lagging in global reception as measured through citations. However, with increasing international collaboration and publishing in promising areas and high impact journals, the citation reception of their papers is increasing. Indian publication growth is much behind China whose growth has been dramatic! However, India’s emergence is interesting as from a leading country among developing economies in scientific publications till early 1980s, her publication growth exhibited sharp decline in the late 1980s. Only from 1995 onwards India started making an assertion in the global publication race and in some promising areas of high relevance such as nanotechnology her publication growth has been impressive. India to a large extent epitomises the scientific activity of emerging economies. Thus through the lens of India’s publication trend, the paper underscores the changing global landscape of science. To place India’s publishing activity in proper context, the paper broadly examines the publication activity of some advanced OECD countries and BRICKS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Korea and South Africa) countries. Implications of this study are discussed.









Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
America’s President Barack Obama, State of Union Address at The White House (25 January, 2010). Strategy for American Innovation: Catalyze Breakthroughs for National Priorities (http://www.whitehouse.gov/innovation/strategy/catalyze).
Sometimes even if we observe that the result is non-significant, r values can indicate that the difference do exits. The r values of 0.10 indicates small effect, 0.30 medium effect and above 0.5 large effect (Field 2005).
O represents India’s overall publication.
The study identifies emerging research areas (also sometimes called cutting edge research fields) as those fields which are having growing influence globally. Fields of growing influence can be discerned from dedicated programs/roadmaps and strategies and high investments made by different countries (see for example strategies and funding in nanotechnology in different countries in Bhattacharya et al. 2012a). One can see in recent years, this is happening in biotechnology, nanotechnology, computational biology, synthetic biology/genomics, etc. One characteristic of these research fields is their interdisciplinary and their strong interface with technology. Studies have identified the effect of this dedicated support on research productivity. Explosive increase in nanotechnology papers is one example of this (Chen et al. 2013).
Some authors like Field (2005) consider values above 0.5 as large effect.
Citations accumulate over time and thus older papers have, on average, more citations than more recent papers. Therefore fixed citation window is taken when comparison of citation reception in two different periods is undertaken ensuring that no bias is given for papers in any particular period. However, in this study two different citation windows were taken to show that papers in 2010 are receiving reception faster inspite of longer citation window for 2008.
SJR is a size independent indicator which gives the measure of relative journal’s standing. It takes into account the citations of the journal and the closeness of cited journal using the cosine of the angle between the vectors of the co-citing journals. This quantity is then divided by the fraction of journals citable documents to reduce the effect of size. Bote and Anegon (2012) thus argue that SJR is better measure than other ranking measures like JIF because SJR is more equally distributed in different subject areas and the inclusion of cosine reduces the chances of changed journal standing in closely related areas like Chemistry and Biochemistry.
References
Adams, J. (2012). Collaborations: The rise of research networks. Nature, 490, 335–336.
Adams, J. (2013). Collaborations: The fourth age of research. Nature, 497(7451), 557–560.
Adams, J., Pendlebury, D., & Stembridge, B. (2013). Building BRICKs exploring the global research and innovation impact of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Korea. New York: Thomson Reuters.
Agtmael, A. V. (2007). The emerging markets century: How a new breed of world class companies is overtaking the world. New York: Free Press.
Archambault, E. (2010). 30 years in science: Secular movements in knowledge creation. Montréal: Science-Metrix.
Arora, S. K., Porter, A. L., Youtie, J., & Shapira, P. (2013). Capturing new developments in an emerging technology: an updated search strategy for identifying nanotechnology research outputs. Scientometrics, 95, 351–370.
Balaram, P. (2008). Scientometrics: A dismal science. Current Science, 95(4), 431–432.
Barabási, A. L., Song, C., & Wang, D. (2012). Publishing: Handful of papers dominates citation. Nature, 40, 491.
Basu, A. (1999). Science publication indicators for India: Questions of interpretation. Scientometrics, 44(3), 347–360.
Bettelle, Rdmag (2012). Global R&D funding forecast. Battelle and R&D. (www.battelle.org, www.rdmag.com).
Bettelle, Rdmag (2013). Global R&D funding forecast. Battelle and R&D. (www.battelle.org, www.rdmag.com).
Bhattacharya, S., Shilpa, & Bhati, M. (2012a). China and India: The two new players in nanotechnology race. Scientometrics, 93(1), 59–87. doi:10.1007/s11192-012-01651-7.
Bhattacharya, S., Jayanthi, A. P., Shilpa, & Bhati, M. (2012b). Knowledge creation and innovation in nanotechnology: Contemporary and emerging scenario in India. Prepared by National Institute of Science Technology and Development Studies. (website link—http://www.nistads.res.in/ under reports).
Bote, V. P. G., & Anegon, F. M. (2012). A further step forward in measuring journals’ scientific prestige: The SJR2 indicator. Journal of Informetrics, 6, 674–688.
Bound, K. (2007). India: The uneven innovator. The Atlas of ideas: Mapping the new geography of science (www.demos.co.uk). London: The Good News Press.
Bound, K. (2008). Brazil the natural knowledge economy. The Atlas of ideas: Mapping the new geography of science (www.demos.co.uk). London: The Good News Press.
Chen, H., Roco, M. C., Son, J., Jiang, S., Larson, C. A., & Gao, Q. (2013). Global nanotechnology development from 1991 to 2012: patents, scientific publications, and effect of NSF funding. Scientometrics, 15(1951), 1–21.
Dolfsma, W. (2008). Knowledge economies—Innovation, organization and location. Routledge Studies in Global Competetion. London and New York: Taylor & Francis.
Doz, Y., Wilson, K., Veldhoen, S., Goldbrunner, T., & Altmann, G. (2006). Innovation: Is global the way forward? A joint study by Booz & Company and INSEAD Survey Results. (pp. 1–13). Fontainebleu France & McLean, Virginia: INSEAD and Booz Allen Hamilton.
Elsevier, B.V. (2012). Bibliometric study of India’s scientific publication outputs during 2001–2010. Study commissioned by Department of Science and Technology—NSTMIS, India.
Evidence. (2011). A bibliometric study of India’s research output and collaboration. Study commissioned by Department of Science and Technology—NSTMIS, India. (website: http://dst.gov.in/whats_new/whats_new12/report.pdf).
Field, A. (2005). Discovering statistics using SPSS (2nd ed.). Chapter seven: Comparing two means. London: Sage publications.
Gibbons, M., Limoges, C., Nowotny, H., Nowotny, H., Schwartzman, S., Scott, P., & Trow, M. (1994). The new production of knowledge-The dynamics of science and research in contemporary societies. CA: Sage Publications Ltd.
Glanzel, W., Debackere, K., & Meyer, M. (2008). ‘Triad’or ‘tetrad’? On global changes in a dynamic world. Scientometrics, 74(1), 71–88.
Grieneisen, M. L. (2010). The prolifereation of nano journals. Nature nanotechnology, 5, 825.
Hassan, M. H. A. (2005). Small things and big changes in the developing world. Science, 309(5731), 65–66.
Huggins, R., & Izushi, H. (2007). Competing for knowledge: Creating, connecting, and growing. London and New York: Routledge and Taylor & Francis.
Kostoff, R. N., Briggs, M. B., Rushenberg, R. L., Bowles, C. A., Icenhour, A. S., Nikodym, K. F., et al. (2007a). Chinese science and technology—Structure and infrastructure. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 74(9), 1539–1573.
Kostoff, R. N., Briggs, M. B., Rushenberg, R. L., Bowles, C. A., Pecht, M., Johnson, D., et al. (2007b). Comparisons of the structure and infrastructure of Chinese and Indian science and technology. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 74(9), 1609–1630.
Kostoff, R. N., Johnson, D., Bowles, C. A., Bhattacharya, S., Icenhour, A. S., Nikodym, K., et al. (2007c). Assessment of India’s literature. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 74, 1574–1608.
Krishna, V. V., Patra, S. K., & Bhattacharya, S. (2012). Internationalization of R&D and global nature of innovation: Emerging trends in India. Science Technology & Society, 17(2), 165–199.
Leydesdorff, L., & Wagner, C. (2008). International collaboration in science and the formation of a core group. Journal of Informetrics, 2(4), 317–325.
Leydesdorff, L., & Wagner, C. (2009). Is the United States losing ground in science? A global perspective on the world science system. Scientometrics, 78(1), 23–36.
Moiwo, J. P., & Tao, F. (2013). The changing dynamics in citation index publication position China in a race with the USA for global leadership. Scientometrics, 95(3), 1031–1050.
Montgomery, P. H. (1999). Promises and threats of knowledge-based economy. Nature, 397(6714), 1–88. Editorial.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. (1996). The Knowledge-based economy. Paris: OECD.
Panat, R. (2014). On the data and analysis of research output of India and China: India has significantly fallen behind China. Scientometrics, 100(2), 471–481. doi:10.1007/s11192-014-1236-4.
Raghuram, N., & Madhavi, Y. (1996). India’s declining ranking. Nature, 383, 572.
Rosenthal, R. (1991). Meta-analytic procedures for social research (Revised). Newbury Park, CA: Sage.
Rosnow, R. L., & Rosenthal, R. (2005). Beginning behavioral research: A Conceptual Primer (5th ed.). Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Pearson/Prentice Hall.
Royal Society. (2010). The Scientific century: Securing our future prosperity. UK: Royal Society Publishing.
Royal Society. (2011). Knowledge, network and nations. UK: Royal Society Publishing.
Sandhya, G.D., Nath, P., Mrinalini, N., Bannerji, P., Bhattacharya, S., Mandal, K. (2013). A comparative study on S&T, innovation and development strategies of China and Korea vis-à-vis India’, Study commissioned by the Office of the Principal Scientific Advisor, Government of India, to CSIR-National Institute of Science Technology and Development Studies.
Shrivats, S. V., & Bhattacharya, S. (2014). Forecasting the trend of international scientific collaboration. Scientometrics, 101(3), 1941–1954. doi:10.1007/s11192-014-1364-x.
Sveiby, K. E. (1997). The new organizational wealth: Managing and measuring knowledge-based assets (1st ed.). San Francisco: Berrett-Koehler Publishers.
United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). (2010). The current status of science around the world. Belgium: DB Print.
US National Academy of Sciences, National Academy of Engineering and Institute of Medicine. (2005). Rising above the gathering storm: Emerging and employing America for a brighter economic future. Washington, DC: The National Academies press.
Wagner, C. S. (2008). The new invisible college. Washington, DC: Brookings Press.
Wilsdon, J., & Keeley, J. (2007). China: The next science superpower? The Atlas of ideas: Mapping the new geography of science (www.demos.co.uk). London: The Good News Press.
Winning, A. (2014). The research and innovation performance of the G20 and its impact on decisions made by the world’s most influential economic leaders. New York: Thomson Reuters.
Acknowledgments
We acknowledge the support of the ISTIP (Indian Science, Technology and Innovation Policy) project undertaken by the CSIR-NISTADS (National Institute of Science Technology and Development Studies). We thank both the referees for critical reading of our manuscript and very useful comments.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Disclaimer: The opinions, estimates and finding contained in the research paper are based on the information available at the date of publication. The views in this study are those of the authors. Inquiries may be addressed to the corresponding author.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Bhattacharya, S., Shilpa & Kaul, A. Emerging countries assertion in the global publication landscape of science: a case study of India. Scientometrics 103, 387–411 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1551-4
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1551-4