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Magnitude decrease of the Matthew effect in citations: a study based on Nobel Prize articles

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Abstract

The Matthew effect is widely used by researchers across disciplines. However, few studies have focused on this effect’s magnitude variation on the background of the open access movement and expanded avenues to obtain information. Citation is the most widespread and basic form of scholarly recognition in the reward system of science, therefore, scientists are motivated to refer to the work of their peers where reference is due. This study assumes that the Matthew effect may not play a major role in science anymore and uses citations as a proxy to measure this effect, and calculates the citation fluctuation of Noble Laureates’ key publications before and after winning the award during 1901–2016. The results show that the coefficient of variation of citations is smaller for publications published after 1980 than for those published before. The median of citations in chemistry is higher than that for in physics, physiology, or medicine. Additionally, over 90% of publications published after 1980 were recognized by their community pre-award, while the ratio consisted of 84% and 75% for 1940–1980 and 1900–1940, respectively. Furthermore, the time range between publication and year awarded plays a role in this phenomenon. The study suggests a potential magnitude decrease in the Matthew effect, which is a reminder that most researchers nowadays will recognize the importance of scientific breakthrough in its early stage.

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Funding

This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Project No. 72204014) and Beijing Natural Science Foundation Project (Project No.9232002).

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All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection and analysis were performed by GL, YL and CH. The first draft of the manuscript was written by GL, LS and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Guoqiang Liang or Chaoguang Huo.

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Liang, G., Li, Y., Song, L. et al. Magnitude decrease of the Matthew effect in citations: a study based on Nobel Prize articles. Scientometrics 128, 6357–6371 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-023-04874-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-023-04874-4

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