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Performance evaluation of complex systems based on hierarchical evidential reasoning rule considering disturbances

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Abstract

To prevent adverse consequences for performance deterioration, it is of great importance to evaluate performance promptly and implement precautions at the right time. Therefore, aiming at the performance evaluation problem of complex systems, a model based on the hierarchical evidential reasoning (HER) rule is proposed to integrate multi-layer uncertain information. The multi-layer indicators collected from complex systems are integrated into a belief structure, considering adaptive weights and adaptive reliability. Besides, complex systems are susceptible to both internal and external disturbances, resulting in performance fluctuations. Therefore, a disturbance analysis method for the HER rule is introduced to measure the influence of disturbance on the system. Finally, a bearing system is examined as a case study to assess the rationality of the HER rule and the effect of disturbances on the whole system.

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Data availability

The experimental data in this article come from the bearing datasets of Google drive. For more information, Please visit: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1ueg67JZcIoAM6KiOz1a4XDkh6lh2Y8Ii.

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Funding

This work was supported in part by the Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 62203461 and Grant 62203365, in part by the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 2020M683736, in part by the Teaching reform project of higher education in Heilongjiang Province under Grant Nos. SJGY20210456 and SJGY20210457, in part by the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province of China under Grant No. LH2021F038, in part by the graduate academic innovation project of Harbin Normal University under Grant Nos. HSDSSCX2022-17, HSDSSCX2022-18 and HSDSSCX2022-19, in part by the Harbin Normal University Start-up Fund-funded Project of doctor under Grant No. XKB201906.

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Author notes

  1. Yunyi Zhang and Jina. E have contributed equally to this work.

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Harbin Normal University, Harbin, China

    Yunyi Zhang, E. Jina, Wei Zhang & Wei He

  2. High-tech Institute, Fan Gong-ting South Street on the 12th, Qingzhou, China

    You Cao

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  1. Yunyi Zhang
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  2. E. Jina
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Contributions

Conceptualization done by YZ; methodology done by YZ and EJ; investigation done by WH, YC and WZ; writing-original draft preparation done by YZ and EJ; writing-review and editing done by WH and YC. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Wei He.

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Authors declare no Conflict of interest. This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.

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Zhang, Y., Jina, E., Cao, Y. et al. Performance evaluation of complex systems based on hierarchical evidential reasoning rule considering disturbances. J Supercomput 80, 22124–22154 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11227-024-06195-6

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