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Agentenbasierte Modellierung urbaner Energiesysteme

Agent-based modeling of urban energy supply systems

  • WI - Schwertpunktaufsatz
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WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK

Kernpunkte

Agentenbasierte Energiesystemmodelle stellen einen innovativen Ansatz dar, mit dessen Hilfe die zukünftige Entwicklung urbaner Energiesysteme analysiert werden kann. Hierbei wird die Heterogenität der energiewirtschaftlichen Akteure ebenso erfasst wie die sich aus der vorhandenen Infrastruktur ergebenden technischen Restriktionen.

  • Agentenbasierte Energiesystemmodelle erlauben es, die Rahmenbedingungen, die durch die Liberalisierung der Energiemärkte, durch die Klimapolitik und durch die zunehmende Attraktivität dezentraler Technologien geschaffen wurden, in angemessener Art und Weise zu berücksichtigen.

  • Die Kopplung eines Agentenmodells mit einem zeitlich hoch aufgelösten Energiesystemoptimierungsmodell ermöglicht es, die Rückwirkung der Investitionsentscheidungen der energiewirtschaftlichen Akteure auf die Performance des Energieversorgungssystems zu erfassen.

  • Im Rahmen einer „Proof-of-Concept“-Anwendung konnten die Markteinführung dezentraler Technologien analysiert und die Nützlichkeit des Ansatzes nachgewiesen werden.

Abstract

The paper presents a novel agent-based modeling approach that is especially designed to investigate the future development of urban energy supply systems embedded in liberalized markets. Private energy investment decisions are modeled using representative agents exhibiting bounded rationality. A highly resolved energy system optimization model is combined with the agent model and applied to investigate the overall influence of the different investment decisions on the performance of the urban energy supply system. Within a proof of concept application, diffusion curves are derived that describe the time-dependent market penetration of competing energy saving and energy conversion technologies.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institut für Energietechnik, Technische Universität Berlin, Marchstraße 18, 10587, Berlin, Germany

    Tobias Wittmann & Thomas Bruckner

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  1. Tobias Wittmann
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  2. Thomas Bruckner
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Correspondence to Tobias Wittmann.

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Wittmann, T., Bruckner, T. Agentenbasierte Modellierung urbaner Energiesysteme. Wirtsch. Inform. 49, 352–360 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11576-007-0079-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11576-007-0079-5

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