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A stochastic epidemic model with infectivity in incubation period and homestead–isolation on the susceptible

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Abstract

A stochastic epidemic model with infectivity rate in incubation period and homestead–isolation on the susceptible is developed with the aim of revealing the effect of stochastic white noise on the long time behavior. A good understanding of extinction and strong persistence in the mean of the disease is obtained. Also, we derive sufficient criteria for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the model. Our theoretical results show that the suitably large noise can make the disease extinct while the relatively small noise is advantageous for persistence of the disease and stationary distribution.

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Acknowledgements

The work is supported by the NNSF of China (Nos. 11871201, 11961023), and the NSF of Hubei Province, China (No. 2019CFB241).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Mathematics and Statistics, Hubei Minzu University, Enshi, 445000, Hubei, People’s Republic of China

    Dongchen Shangguan, Zhijun Liu, Lianwen Wang & Ronghua Tan

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  1. Dongchen Shangguan
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  2. Zhijun Liu
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Correspondence to Zhijun Liu.

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Shangguan, D., Liu, Z., Wang, L. et al. A stochastic epidemic model with infectivity in incubation period and homestead–isolation on the susceptible. J. Appl. Math. Comput. 67, 785–805 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12190-021-01504-1

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