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Adaptive bidding in combinatorial auctions in dynamic markets

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Abstract

Combinatorial auction, where bidders can bid on bundles of items, has been the subject of increasing interest in recent years. Although much research work has been conducted on combinatorial auctions, most has been focusing on the winner determination problem. A largely unexplored area of research in combinatorial auctions is the design of bidding strategies, in particular, those that can be used in open and dynamic markets in which market situation is generally constantly changing. Obviously, a good bidding strategy to be used in such realistic markets cannot be obtained by analytical methods, which require all market information be known before a solution can possibly be found. Machine learning based approaches are not completely appropriate, either, as an optimal strategy learned from one market generally no longer perform well when the market situation changes. In this paper, we propose a new adaptive bidding strategy for combinatorial auction-based resource allocation problem in such dynamic markets. A bidder adopting this strategy constantly perceives the market situation, and adaptively reviews and adjusts his bid determination, thus responding to the dynamic market in a timely manner. Experiment results show that agents adopting this adaptive bidding strategy perform very well, even without any prior knowledge about the market.

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Notes

  1. Some research into the bidding strategies in other types of combinatorial auctions was reported in the literature, e.g., Parkes and Ungar (2000) proposed a myopic best-response bidding strategy in the first-price open-cry combinatorial auctions.

  2. Here, an exponential function is used as the left part of the regression curve, and actually, it does not matter too much if we use other functions. This is because in the second set of experiments, we never use Eq. 9 to estimate the optimal profit margin of the market whose rf value falls out of [0.5, 1.2], and the estimated optimal profit will not vary much if other fitting functions are used.

  3. Actually, setting this upper bound does not affect the performance of the adaptive strategy. This is because without this constraint, when the optimal profit margin is a value infinitely close to 1, the profit margin generated by the adaptive strategy is also very close to 1, and the bidder using the adaptive strategy does not losing utility at all.

  4. If we do not set the upper bound of 0.95 for bidder’s profit margin in the adaptive strategies, the bidder can even get the resources nearly free.

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Correspondence to Ho-fung Leung.

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Sui, X., Leung, Hf. Adaptive bidding in combinatorial auctions in dynamic markets. Evolving Systems 2, 219–233 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-011-9035-0

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