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Enhanced neighborhood node graph neural networks for load forecasting in smart grid

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Abstract

Deep learning technology creates the condition for the optimization of the smart grid, and the big data analytical technique has the most efficient way to analyze and share the power load spatio-temporal data in the smart grid. Utilizing the graph-based method to learn the structure of load date distribution and load prediction has become hot-spot research. This paper proposes EnGAT-BiLSTM, an enhanced graph neural networks framework to realize short-term load prediction. The EnGAT-BiLSTM model aims to improve the prediction accuracy of the load and solve the sampled data sparsity in the short-term prediction. In this model, the Box-Cox transformation technology is used to denoise and obtain the effective load sampled data set; a dynamic load knowledge graph (DLKG) is designed to map the internal attribute of the various electrical load and the correlation of the external influencing factors; the graphic attention mechanism is introduced in the local network structure of graph neural network (GNN) to extract the high-quality load spatio-temporal features; the deep bi-directional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) framework is used for the lifelong learning of the load prediction. The extensive load-sampled datasets in the real world are employed to evaluate our method. The experimental results indicate that EnGAT-BiLSTM improves significantly in load prediction accuracy and has good robustness. The model will provide a valuable theoretical basis and guidance for the smart grid IoT system.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. State Key Laboratory of Reliability and Intelligence of Electrical Equipment, Hebei University of Technology, No. 5340 Xiping Road, Beichen District, Tianjin, 300401, China

    Jiang Yanmei & Liu Mingsheng

  2. National Engineering Research Center for Risk Perception and Prevention, CAEIT, Wanshou Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100846, China

    Li Yangyang & Liu Yifeng

  3. Department of Rail Transportation, Hebei Jiaotong Vocational and Technical College, No.219 Zhujiang Avenue, Shijiazhuang, 050035, China

    Jiang Yanmei & Liu Yaping

  4. School of Cyber Science and Technology, Beihang University, No. 37 Xue Yuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China

    Zhang Jingyun

  5. Didi Chuxing, No. 8 Dongbei Wang Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100193, China

    Liu Chunyang

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Yanmei, J., Mingsheng, L., Yangyang, L. et al. Enhanced neighborhood node graph neural networks for load forecasting in smart grid. Int. J. Mach. Learn. & Cyber. 15, 129–148 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13042-023-01796-8

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