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A Modification of the Stochastic Cell Transmission Model for Urban Networks

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Abstract

This study proposes a modified stochastic cell transmission model (M-SCTM) that can apply the conventional SCTM to urban networks. SCTM represents the uncertainty of traffic states and changing travel demands or supply conditions and has also been applied to freeways or simple networks with only one origin–destination pair. In M-SCTM, we introduce vehicle agents and their route choice behavior on an urban network for applications to more complex urban networks. From the results of empirical studies, we compared M-SCTM and SCTM to confirm the former’s prediction accuracy and calculated its reproducibility of travel times.

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Acknowledgments

This work was partially supported by a NICT program called “Social Big Data Applications and Fundamental Technologies” and a JST RISTEX program called “IT-enabled Novel Societal Service Design”.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Nagoya Institute of Technology, Nagoya, Japan

    Sho Tokuda

  2. Institute of Innovation for Future Society, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan

    Ryo Kanamori

  3. School of Techno-Business Administration, Graduate School of Engineering, Nagoya Institute of Technology, Nagoya, Japan

    Takayuki Ito

Authors
  1. Sho Tokuda
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  2. Ryo Kanamori
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  3. Takayuki Ito
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Correspondence to Sho Tokuda.

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Tokuda, S., Kanamori, R. & Ito, T. A Modification of the Stochastic Cell Transmission Model for Urban Networks. Int. J. ITS Res. 15, 73–84 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-015-0122-7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-015-0122-7

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