Skip to main content
Log in

Optimized Deep Neural Network Based Intelligent Decision Support System for Traffic State Prediction

  • Published:
International Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Importance of efficient short term traffic state prediction has been increased for accurate traffic planning in the domain of an Intelligent Transportation System. Modeling variety of traffic patterns and unanticipated traffic flow changes with time dependencies are the primary problems in traffic prediction. Existing approaches suffer to capture non-linearity of traffic flow complex features efficiently. Therefore, an intelligent decision support system for traffic state prediction has been proposed to boost the efficiency of the traffic state prediction model. Spatio-temporal based optimized Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) has been developed to implement an intelligent decision support system for traffic state classification. Initially spatial features are learnt using the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model. Traffic state is predicted using GRU where the hyper parameters of GRU degrade the performance of traffic state prediction. Therefore, GRU is integrated with Grasshopper Optimization Algorithm (GOA) for the regulation of the hyper parameters in GRU. The CNN-GRU-GOA model was evaluated with CNN-LSTM, LSTM and Stacked auto encoder. The CNN-GRU-GOA achieves 96.8% of accuracy in PeMs dataset and 96.7% of accuracy in china traffic dataset which reveals that performance of traffic state prediction has been enhanced drastically by CNN-GRU-GOA with less computational cost.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Algorithm 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Zhang, J., Wang, F.-Y., Wang, K., Lin, W.-H., Xu, X., Chen, C.: Data-driven intelligent transportation systems: a survey. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 12, 1624–1639 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2011.2158001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Abdulhai, B., Porwal, H., Recker, W.: Short-term traffic flow prediction using neuro-genetic algorithms. J. Intell. Transp. Syst. 7, 3–41 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1080/713930748

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Du, L., Peeta, S., Kim, Y.H.: An adaptive information fusion model to predict the short-term link travel time distribution in dynamic traffic networks. Transp. Res. Part. B Methodol. 46, 235–252 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trb.2011.09.008

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Guo, J., Williams, B.M.: Real-time short-term traffic speed level forecasting and uncertainty quantification using layered Kalman Filters. Transp. Res. Rec J. Transp. Res. Board. 2175, 28–37 (2010). https://doi.org/10.3141/2175-04

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Lee, S., Fambro, D.B.: Application of subset autoregressive integrated moving average model for short-term freeway traffic volume forecasting. Transp. Res. Rec J. Transp. Res. Board. 1678, 179–188 (1999). https://doi.org/10.3141/1678-22

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Williams, B.M., Hoel, L.A.: Modeling and forecasting vehicular traffic flow as a seasonal ARIMA process: theoretical basis and empirical results. J. Transp. Eng. 129, 664–672 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2003)129:6(664)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Van Der Voort, M., Dougherty, M., Watson, S.: Combining kohonen maps with arima time series models to forecast traffic flow. Transp. Res. Part. C Emerg. Technol. 4, 307–318 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0968-090X(97)82903-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Chan, K.Y., Dillon, T.S., Singh, J., Chang, E.: Neural-network-based models for short-term traffic flow forecasting using a hybrid exponential smoothing and Levenberg–Marquardt Algorithm. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 13, 644–654 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2011.2174051

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Castro-Neto, M., Jeong, Y.-S., Jeong, M.-K., Han, L.D.: Online-SVR for short-term traffic flow prediction under typical and atypical traffic conditions. Expert Syst. Appl. 36, 6164–6173 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2008.07.069

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Lv, Y., Duan, Y., Kang, W., Li, Z., Wang, F.-Y.: Traffic flow prediction with big data: a deep learning approach. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 1–9 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2014.2345663 

  11. Wu, Y., Tan, H., Qin, L., Ran, B., Jiang, Z.: A hybrid deep learning based traffic flow prediction method and its understanding. Transp. Res. Part. C Emerg. Technol. 90, 166–180 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2018.03.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Deva Hema, D., Ashok Kumar, K.: Levenberg–Marquardt –LSTM based efficient rear–end crash risk prediction system optimization. Int. J. Intell. Transp. Syst. Res. (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-021-00273-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Lv, M., Hong, Z., Chen, L., Chen, T., Zhu, T., Ji, S.: Temporal multi-graph convolutional network for traffic flow prediction. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 22, 3337–3348 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2020.2983763

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Chen, C., Liu, Z., Wan, S., Luan, J., Pei, Q.: Traffic flow prediction based on deep learning in internet of vehicles. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 22, 3776–3789 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2020.3025856

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Huang, W., Hong, H., Li, M., Hu, W., Song, G., Xie, K.: Deep architecture for traffic flow prediction. International Conference on Advanced Data Mining and Applications 165–176 (2013)

  16. Zheng, H., Lin, F., Feng, X., Chen, Y.: A hybrid deep learning model with attention-based conv-LSTM networks for short-term traffic Flow Prediction. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 1–11 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2020.2997352

  17. Tian, Y., Pan, L.: Predicting short-term traffic flow by long short-term memory recurrent neural network. In: 2015 IEEE International Conference on Smart City/SocialCom/SustainCom (SmartCity). pp. 153–158. IEEE (2015)

  18. Łukasik, S., Kowalski, P.A., Charytanowicz, M., Kulczycki, P.: Data Clustering with Grasshopper Optimization Algorithm. Presented at the September 24 (2017)

  19. Dinh, P.-H.: A novel approach based on Grasshopper optimization algorithm for medical image fusion. Expert Syst. Appl. 171, 114576 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.114576

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Mafarja, M., Aljarah, I., Heidari, A.A., Hammouri, A.I., Faris, H., Al-Zoubi, A.M., Mirjalili, S.: Evolutionary population dynamics and grasshopper optimization approaches for feature selection problems. Knowl.-Based Syst. 145, 25–45 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2017.12.037

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Bhandari, A.K., Rahul, K.: A novel local contrast fusion-based fuzzy model for color image multilevel thresholding using grasshopper optimization. Appl. Soft Comput. 81, 105515 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2019.105515

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Bairathi, D., Gopalani, D.: An improved opposition based grasshopper optimisation algorithm for numerical optimization. In: International Conference on Intelligent Systems Design and Applications. pp. 843–851. Springer (2018)

  23. Hall, F.L.: Traffic stream characteristics, Traffic flow theory–A state-of-the-art report (Washington DC). Transp. Res. Board. 36, (1992)

  24. Ermagun, A., Chatterjee, S., Levinson, D.: Using temporal detrending to observe the spatial correlation of traffic. PLoS ONE. 12, e0176853 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0176853

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Bala, A., Ismail, I., Ibrahim, R., Sait, S.M., Oliva, D.: An improved grasshopper optimization algorithm based echo state network for predicting faults in airplane engines. IEEE Access 8, 159773–159789 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3020356

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Shi, Y., Li, Y., Fan, J., Wang, T., Yin, T.: A novel network architecture of decision-making for self-driving vehicles based on long short-term memory and grasshopper optimization algorithm. IEEE Access 8, 155429–155440 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3019048

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Hema, D.D.: D.K.A.K.: Hyperparameter optimization of LSTM based driver’s aggressive behavior prediction model. In: International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Smart Systems (ICAIS 2021). pp. 751–756. IEEE, Coimbatore (2021)

  28. Veeramuthu, A., Meenakshi, S., Ashok Kumar, K.: A neural network based deep learning approach for efficient segmentation of brain tumor medical image data. J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst. 36, 4227–4234 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-169980

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Fu, R., Zhang, Z., Li, L.: Using LSTM and GRU neural network methods for traffic flow prediction. In: 2016 31st Youth Academic Annual Conference of Chinese Association of Automation (YAC). pp. 324–328. IEEE (2016)

  30. Deva Hema, D., Kumar, A.: Novel algorithm for multivariate time series crash risk prediction using CNN-ATT-LSTM model. J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst. 43(4), 1–13 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Manual, H.C.: Highway capacity manual. Wash. DC 2(1), (2000)

  32. Chen, X., Chen, Y., He, Z.: Urban Traffic Speed Dataset of Guangzhou, China (2018). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1205229,

  33. Chen, X., He, Z., Sun, L.: A bayesian tensor decomposition approach for spatiotemporal traffic data imputation. Transp. Res. Part. C Emerg. Technol. 98, 73–84 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Chen, X., He, Z., Wang, J.: Spatial-temporal traffic speed patterns discovery and incomplete data recovery via SVD-combined tensor decomposition. Transp. Res. Part. C Emerg. Technol. 86, 59–77 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Dai, G., Ma, C., Xu, X.: Short-term traffic flow prediction method for urban road sections based on space–time analysis and GRU. IEEE Access 7, 143025–143035 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2941280

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to D. Deva Hema.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of Interest

We have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Deva Hema, D., Kumar, K.A. Optimized Deep Neural Network Based Intelligent Decision Support System for Traffic State Prediction. Int. J. ITS Res. 21, 26–35 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-022-00332-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-022-00332-2

Keywords

Navigation